Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - October 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/3/7)-(7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/7)-(7/1/4)-(2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(2/5/4)-(1/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/3/6)-(2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(2/7)-(5/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/7)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(5/1/3)-(2/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/6/4)-(6/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLICK EDDIE Feb24 Feb08 May22 Jan04 Dec19 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  ROLLIN MY WAY Sep11 Aug16 Jul31 Jul06 Jun27 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 115 1.80    
3  LOTSA MATCHA Sep18 Aug21 Jul18 Oct10 May08 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHOWTIME BOY Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun18 (galloway kha)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.50    
5  CLOUD PRINCESS Sep12 Sep02 Aug10 Jul23 Jul02 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 116 15.00    
6  ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Sep23 Sep04 Aug19 Aug07 Jul22 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 5.00    
7  WINDY VALLEY Sep12 Jul22 Jul04 Jan09 Dec11 (winters mich)HALDAR J 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  KINGDOM DIAMOND Sep11 Aug05 Jul15 Jun27 Jun08 (meyers shane)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-2   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO DONT NO Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 Jun13 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
2  VISUAL MISSION Sep10 Aug22 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
3  ROMANTIC COWBOY Sep12 Aug20 Jul09 Jun22 Nov30 (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
4  INDIAN FEVER Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Oct02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 14% 5.90    
5  SPIRIT OF AKRON Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 8.00    
6  SAMMY'S SMILE Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 Jun27 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 ★    
7  DR. ZARNETT Sep18 Aug30 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-3   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Greg Veit Scarlet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT WONDER Aug29 Aug01 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LELA by WILLIAMSTOWN)
2  BACK TO OHIO Sep05 Aug13 Jul11 Dec16 Nov20 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEZA RUNAWAY STAR by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
3  SWEET UNIQUE Sep05 Aug13 Jul04 Jun07 May13 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 121 4.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
4  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Sep19 Jul25 Nov20 Nov02 Oct05 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GATHERING DREAMS by MERCER MILL)
5  GENEROUS LOVER Sep01 Aug10 Jul19 Jun15 May02 (sharp jo)MARTINEZ A 123 2.00 18% 4.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
 
TDN-4   10/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Sep16 Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 Jul01 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 48% 1.10    
2  TAHLEQUAH JOE Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 Jun18 Jun11 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 115 2.00    
3  SMOOCHER Mar06 Feb21 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  ONE STEP ASIDE Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 Jul11 Jun19 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50    
5  GIBBY MY CORN Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 Jun05 Oct30 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
6  ORVILLE B Sep12 Jul31 Jun19 May28 May08 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE LOVE Sep18 Oct24 Oct02 Sep13 Aug21 (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 ★    
2  ONASA Aug29 Jul17 Jun22 Jul20 Jun24 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  ROAD TO STARDOM Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jun18 May27 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
4  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
5  HITSVILLE Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
6  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul11 May21 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50    
7  NOTSO MISCHIEVOUS Sep19 Aug12 Jul16 Jun17   (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 117 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
TDN-6   10/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON OVER ICE Sep12 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOUBLE THUNDER Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May12 (young r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
3  DEEP FAITH Sep18 Jul20 Jun29 May29 Apr28 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAMMERIN AAMER Sep10 Aug13 Jul24 Jun24 May30 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.50    
5  SWEEPING GIANT Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 1.80 64% 0.60    
6  MY BROTHER CAM Sep11 Jun03 May09 Apr22 Mar27 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   10/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WASHINGTON'S UNION Sep29 Aug12 Jul28 Jun15 May23 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
2  SPELLCAST Sep03 Jul29 Jun22 Jun07 May10 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00 32% 2.20    
3  SCRIMPER Sep02 Aug12 Jul18 Jun22 Jun05 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 6.00    
4  RANDELLO Sep11 Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Sep10 Jul29 Jul05 May15 Dec04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
6  EKATI'S WAY Sep17 Aug21 Jul23 Jun27 Jun07 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
TDN-8   10/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May22 May06 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
2  OVERLOAD Jul10 May15 Apr02 Mar13 Feb15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  WORTHY OPPONENT Sep19 Aug20 Jul18 Jul03 Jun11 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
4  WOLFINE Aug19 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 Apr24 (winters mich)HALDAR J 119 12.00 10% 8.70    
5  BLUE NOMORE Aug19 Jul15 Jun22 Jun07 May04 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 2.00    
6  GOLDEN FLAG Sep14 Aug20 Aug01 Jul15 Jun26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.