Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - March 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (8/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/5)-(1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/5)-(1/8/2)-(8/6/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-2   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/2)-(1/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(8/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2)-(8/6/3/9)-(3/4/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-3   WIN (8/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/9)-(8/6/3/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/9)-(8/6/3/2/9)-(8/6/3/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/3/9)-(3/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/9)-(3/4/1/7)-(2/1/11/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/7)-(2/1/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/7)-(2/1/11/3)-(5/4/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-5   WIN (2/1/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/11/3)-(2/1/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/11/3)-(2/1/11/3)-(2/1/11/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/11/3)-(5/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/11/3)-(5/4/7/6)-(4/5/8/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-6   WIN (5/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/6)-(4/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/6)-(4/5/8/3)-(11/14/10/7/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (4/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/3)-(11/14/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (11/14/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/14/10/7/8)-(11/14/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/14/10/7/8)-(11/14/10/7/8)-(11/14/10/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALCYON DAYS Feb22 Feb09 Jan18 Jan03   (short thomas)ORM CORY 120 5.00    
2  REDHEADEDSTRANGER Feb23 Feb07 Jan13 Dec01 Nov11 (nesbitt a)ULLOA JOAN 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
3  WHITE DOVE Feb22 Feb09 Feb01 Jan18 Aug01 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 4.50    
4  PEACOCK ROAD Mar06 Feb09 Jan10 Dec27 Nov29 (hernandez)CORREA L 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  JOIA RARA Feb29 Feb14 Jun10 May10 Apr12 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  TICKET TO FLY Feb09 Jan18 Dec16 Sep06 Jul20 (greenhill j)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
7  CATALINA NINA Jan27 Dec30       (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
8  OUTRAGEOUSLY Feb22 Jan17       (blair jordan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
TP-2   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEGRASS PARKWAY Feb28 Jan26 Jan03 Nov30 Oct25 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.50 54% 0.80    
2  GRACEFUL KITTEN Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 (richard)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  NOT YET CHARLIE Feb21 Feb07 Jan04 Dec10 Nov01 (cline c)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
4  COLBALOAF Mar02 Feb09 Dec21 Nov18 Oct12 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 3.00    
5  EPIMYTHIUM Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 Jan18 Jan05 (garcia ge)CORREA L 121 8.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY COOL Aug05 Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 Mar31 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 121 10.00    
SCR  NOBLE PURSUIT Jan28 Dec29 Nov23 Oct04 Sep21 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00    
8  COMMAND CENTRAL Feb21 Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 Nov29 (estvanko richard)LEON SONNY 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  BLESS THE KITTEN Mar07 Jan31 Dec30 Dec02 Sep15 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00    
 
TP-3   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE GENTLEMAN Feb09 Dec22 Dec09 Nov08 Oct24 (demeritte la)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 6.00    
2  MISSION READY Mar02 Jan18 Dec22 Nov25 Oct26 (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 120 3.00 ★    
3  MR. FAVERSHAM Mar02 Feb15 Jan06 Nov25 Oct11 (lyster stephen)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
4  PAPA YO Jan25 Jan06       (davis chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
5  HIGH HEADED Feb01 Jan06 Nov19     (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 110 8.00    
6  TAGLIATELLE Mar08 Jan06 Dec20 Nov26   (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
7  SAINT ROCCO Feb09 Jun30 Jun10 Apr27   (delacruz mejia)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00    
8  GREAT RICHIE M Feb02 Jan18 Dec28 Nov18 Oct11 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
9  EPIC KNIGHT Feb02 Jan18 Dec21 Oct11   (harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-4   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SENSE Jan27 Nov25 Oct25 Sep29 Aug10 (fletcher kevin)LEON SONNY 117 8.00 6% 16.50    
2  TAKE SHAPE Feb07 Dec22 Nov23 Sep13 Jul08 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 6.00    
3  FORTUNE BOUND Feb14 Dec15 Nov05 Jul27 Jun24 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
4  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Mar01 Jan13 Dec23 Nov30 Oct14 (kubinova elisk)ROMAN A 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  I GOTTA BOLT Feb23 Feb07 Jan03 Dec15 Oct30 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 124 15.00    
6  SILENT REVENGE Feb24 Jan13 Dec02 Nov09 Oct26 (pino mich)LEPAROUX R 127 2.00    
7  CRYSTAL SNOW Mar06 Feb07 Jan03 Dec09 Oct03 (cristel)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RESILIENT BEAUTY Feb22 Jan13 Dec23     (knippenbe)CORREA L 124 15.00    
 
TP-5   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELANEY'S GRACE Mar06 Feb24 Jul08 Jun08 May19 (galindo-t)CORREA L 125 5.00 6% 15.40    
2  DOUBLE OVERTIME Oct03 Sep06 Jul10 Apr14   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 8.00 64% 0.60    
3  LINDSY'S SHADOW Dec19         (reed r)MCKEE J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLD OAK Dec02 Nov08 Sep04 Aug24 Aug13 (lynch e)MOJICA JR 125 4.50    
SCR  CHANEL POINT Feb24 Jan27 Dec15 Oct22 Sep15 (catalano wayne)ASHTON GAVIN 125 3.00    
6  NEXT DOT Feb24 Jan17 Dec06 Aug20 Jul09 (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 113 12.00    
SCR  ABSCONDER Nov16 May09 Apr25     (egbert james)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 30.00    
8  TOP HAT TIGRESS Feb14 Feb02 Jan17 Dec27 Dec15 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
SCR  CRAFTY GAL         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 125 4.00    
SCR  BEDTIME FOR BUFFY Apr21         (garner peter)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00    
11  WALLAHOLLY Jan20 Mar18 Mar02     (brooks geral)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 15.00 6% 15.90    
12  BEAKER Feb21 Dec23       (acevedo is)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  BLOSSOM DIVA Mar06 Feb24 Feb15 Dec07 Oct06 (galindo-torr)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 8.00    
 
TP-6   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAMI ANN Mar02 Feb10 Jan11 Oct07 Sep20 (barrett grant)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
2  ENDLESS Mar02 Jan24 Jan03 Dec08 Nov02 (adams l)HESS SARA 113 6.00    
SCR  POINT WELL TAKEN Feb15 Jan13 Dec20 Oct07 May24 (corrigan )CORREA L 120 12.00    
4  TRUE BLUE PEARL Feb25 Jan25 Dec31 Dec08 Nov12 (mcmahon hugh)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 8% 11.50    
5  POLKA POLENTA Feb03 Jan11 Dec23 Dec07 Oct18 (davis joseph )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 63% 0.60    
6  BOTOX KATIE Feb17 Feb03 Jan05 Dec22 Nov16 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LEMON BOMB Feb03 Jan25 Dec28 Nov04 Oct11 (orantes r)MCKEE J 120 3.00 7% 13.00    
8  DIALED INNA Sep30 Aug20 Jul12 Jun01 May07 (girten tim)FELIX E 120 15.00    
9  TWIRLING RUTH Feb17 Feb03 Jan05 Dec22 Dec08 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00    
10  BLOSSOMING Feb25 Feb18 Jan20 Nov19 Oct30 (alessi )DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
 
TP-7   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOERIS Dec28 Dec02 Nov02 Sep17 Jul29 (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 5.00    
2  FRANGO ELECTRICO Feb08 Jan25 Nov16 Oct20 Sep27 (salas f)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
3  GOSHEN Jan24 Nov29 Nov15 Sep27 Aug16 (foster er)CORREA L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HIDEKI Oct01 Sep22 Jul16 Jun15 Apr20 (walsh rya)LEPAROUX R 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  UP AND DOWN Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Dec13 Nov05 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  KENDAL GRACE Feb23 Feb07 Jan10 Nov29 Nov09 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 116 10.00    
7  KRISPY RICE Feb21 Jan04 Nov29 Sep18 Aug16 (walsh d)ASHTON GAVIN 123 6.00    
8  NOM DE PLUME Nov01 Aug05 Feb03 Dec11   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
TP-8   03/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO NUTS Feb29 Jan13 Dec22 Sep26 Aug31 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
2  GHOST BIKE Mar09 Feb08 Jan24 Jan11 Dec30 (pasley alvi)PETERSON FERRIN 124 15.00    
3  PANORAMA TRUCK Mar09 Jan27 Jan11 Dec22 Aug23 (acevedo is)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00    
4  HUNTINGTON Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Dec09 Sep22 (delacruz mejia)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
5  LIEUTENANT JACK Feb29 Feb01 Jan11 Dec30 Dec09 (livers charli)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 15.00    
SCR  RED HORNET Oct24 Sep07 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 (vanden britt)FELIX E 124 4.50    
7  FUTURE VICTORY Feb07 Jan13 Dec22 Sep28 Sep09 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CALLOWAY PEAK Feb22 Feb01 Dec07 Oct05 Sep10 (garcia genar)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOHNNY'S MOMENT Feb29 Jan13 Dec27 Nov16 Oct30 (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 124 15.00    
10  MISTER MESEEKS Feb29 Feb01 Dec15 Nov10 Oct20 (van tho)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 8% 11.80    
11  WARRIOR'S PLACE Feb23 Jan31 Jan11 Dec23 Nov29 (west ethan )CONCEPCION AXEL 127 3.00 47% 1.10    
12  GOLDEN TEXT Feb29 Jan31 Dec22 Dec07 Nov10 (clark lee)MCKEE J 124 8.00    
13  SAN MARCO CITY Mar09 Feb14 Jan31 Jan11 Dec23 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
14  PERFECT PAINTING Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 Jan04 Dec07 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.