Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (1/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/8)-(4/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/8)-(4/3/2/6)-(3/4/1/2/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-2   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(3/4/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/6)-(3/4/1/2/9)-(12/4/3/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-3   WIN (3/4/1/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2/9)-(3/4/1/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2/9)-(3/4/1/2/9)-(3/4/1/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/1/2/9)-(12/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/2/9)-(12/4/3/5)-(1/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-4   WIN (12/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/4/3/5)-(12/4/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/4/3/5)-(12/4/3/7/5)-(12/4/3/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/4/3/5)-(1/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/4/3/5)-(1/11/9)-(9/5/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-5   WIN (1/11/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/11/9)-(1/11/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/11/9)-(1/11/2/6/9)-(1/11/2/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/11/9)-(9/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/11/9)-(9/5/3/6)-(12/3/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-6   WIN (9/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/6)-(9/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/6)-(9/5/3/6)-(9/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/3/6)-(12/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/3/6)-(12/3/7/8)-(1/4/3/11) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-7   WIN (12/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/3/7/8)-(12/3/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/3/7/8)-(12/3/7/5/8)-(12/3/7/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/3/7/8)-(1/4/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-8   WIN (1/4/3/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/11)-(1/4/3/11/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/11)-(1/4/3/11/12)-(1/4/3/11/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN'S NOTICE Feb10 Dec28 Nov17     (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  BETTE DAVIS Feb10 Jan25 Dec09 Nov12 Sep21 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
3  GO MARGIE GO Jan27 Nov13 Oct11 Sep29 Aug10 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
4  VOICE FROM ABOVE Feb21 Jan18 Dec09 Nov16   (danner kelsey)CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00    
5  PAROLA SICURA Feb29         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  NOSHUGFORPOP Feb23 Jul16 May27     (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
7  FOURFIFTYSEVEN Feb08 Jan10 Dec09 Oct30 Oct12 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00    
8  GIGI'S WORLD Mar01 Feb10 Jan25 Jan05 Dec13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-2   03/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Jan26 Dec07 Oct25 Oct03 Sep18 (villa fr)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
2  CUPID'S CLAWS Feb28 Jan31 Dec15 Nov26 Nov05 (anderso)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
3  P H FACTOR Feb09 Dec21 Nov16 Aug18 Jul27 (foster eric)FELIX E 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  FOUNDER Feb16 Jan31 Dec07 Nov07 Aug28 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
5  MOBSTER GUN Feb16 Jan25 Dec07 Nov17 Jun02 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.50    
6  HURRY ON OUT Feb09 Jan04 Dec07 Oct13 Sep12 (tooley jen)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MADISON LUVS DUKE Jan31 Jan05 Dec07 Nov08 Oct11 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
8  FERRYBOAT Feb07 Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 Sep29 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
 
TP-3   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR OF CAESAREA Feb23         (amoss tho)CORREA L 120 5.00 9% 9.90    
2  PRINCE COLTON Feb17 Jan31 Jan18 Dec28 Jun22 (elliott michel)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00 5% 18.20    
3  MIDNIGHT AMBITION Feb23 Nov11       (foley greg)CORRALES GERARDO 116 4.50 47% 1.10    
4  HOLDING THE LINE (IRE) May13         (ward a)ASHTON GAVIN 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
5  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS Feb16         (brafford michell)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
SCR  BUCKSHOT SHELL         (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
7  ROPE A DOPE         (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
8  MIGHTY LES         (ruis sr)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
9  MILLARD A MAVERICK Feb16         (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  AL AMEEQ         (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
 
TP-4   03/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA TOURISTA Jan11 Dec06 Nov18 Oct01 Sep17 (pino michae)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
2  LAMASCO Feb18 Feb07 Dec20 Aug19 Aug01 (gutierrez faus)CEDILLO ABEL 120 10.00    
3  KICK OUT THE JAMS Feb10 Jan17 Dec20 Oct23 Oct07 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 10.00 17% 5.00    
4  R ROSE' ALL DAY Jan31 Dec21 Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
5  QUARTERFLASH Feb21 Jan11 Nov15 Oct24 Oct04 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIZZEN ASH Feb24 Jan17 Dec30 Nov17 Oct23 (pino mich)CORREA L 120 3.00    
7  AALIYAH EZRI Jan24 Dec14 Nov03 Sep03 Aug11 (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 ★    
8  LUNAR ICE Feb24 Jan17 Dec20 Dec06 Nov08 (garcia )DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
SCR  LADY HAMILTON Feb24 Feb08 Jan27 Jan04 Dec21 (contreras ci)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 15.00    
10  BALI KUTA Feb14 Jan18 Dec06 Nov04 Oct05 (foster eric)ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00    
11  MISS MOON PIE Feb10 Jan26 Dec20 Dec06 Oct25 (beck rowena)FELIX E 120 20.00    
12  FIRESIDE KITTEN Feb28 Jan17 Dec07 Oct23 Jul15 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
 
TP-5   03/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOATE Sep02         (nihei michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 120 5.00 48% 1.10    
  (by CUPID out of SCHMISS by HARD SPUN)
2  BEST KISS YET         (catalano )HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TOP KISSER by OLD TOPPER)
3  MAHJONG GIRL Nov19         (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
4  JUST BASKING         (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SPANISH STAR by BLAME)
5  I'M A COOKIE LOVER         (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PRINCESS AUBREY by ATTICUS)
6  ON PARADISE HILL         (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 ★    
  (by FLATTER out of PARADISE ALLEY by FLOWER ALLEY)
7  CHITARRA (IRE) May11         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
  (by ADVERTISE out of ARDIENTE by AUSTRALIA (GB))
8  NIKI NINE DOORS Jan31         (davis chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
9  EMBARK         (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SMART N SOFT by SMART STRIKE)
10  SENSE OF PEARL         (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOMEFIELDADVANTAGE by GHOSTZAPPER)
11  MOURNE MOUNTAINS Sep10 May12       (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS MAMBO by KINGMAMBO)
12  ANQA         (harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MOCKERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  TAMMY'S CRUISER Feb07 Dec14       (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of STOP THE LIGHTS by STORM CAT)
SCR  CHASE BY THE MOON         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 120 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MIA KARINA by JAZIL)
 
TP-6   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEESESTEAK Feb09 Jan11 Dec29 Dec06 Sep23 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 15.00    
SCR  KARMA DIRECTOR Feb02 Dec08 Nov05 Aug02 Jul12 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 5.00    
3  GO CATS Feb02 Dec29 Nov11 Oct15 Sep28 (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 124 8.00 10% 9.20    
4  WINSTON WOLF Feb02 Jan10 Dec14 Nov10 Oct19 (baez sergio)LEON SONNY 124 15.00    
5  ROAD TO VERSAILLES Feb09 Dec10 Nov05     (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  MY FRIEND LOUIE Feb08 Jan12 Dec29 Dec02   (murphy cono)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  YORK TAVERN Feb02 May28 Apr15 Mar04 Jan25 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.00    
SCR  WRITE OFF JERRY Feb14 Feb02 Jan10 Dec14 Nov08 (orantes r)MCKEE J 124 12.00    
9  DARK SIDE (IRE) Apr15 Mar10       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.50 39% 1.50    
10  REDHILL Mar01 Feb10 Jan12 Nov29 Nov11 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 20.00    
 
TP-7   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESME Feb23 Feb08 Dec27 Dec02 Dec10 (king l)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 30.00    
2  MALAWNIA Jul13 May12 Jan12 Dec03 Sep17 (tomlinson mich)CONNER TYLER 125 12.00    
3  UNDER THE BED Feb01 Jan13 Dec13 Jan13 Dec07 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  PROUVER Jan31 Oct26 Feb03 Dec14 Oct13 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 8.00    
5  BUYBACK Feb07 Dec03 Nov12 Oct06 Jun24 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 125 5.00 ★    
6  LEUCADIA Oct25 Sep20 Aug31     (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
7  AMAZON QUEEN Feb15 Jan18 Dec09 Oct15 Aug31 (delacour arnau)ROCCO S 125 4.50 11% 7.80    
8  BABY GUNDIN Jan31 Nov18 Oct09 Sep11 Jul03 (rodriguez hugo)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  POR UNA CABEZA Feb07 Jan03 Oct27 Sep09 Feb19 (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 125 20.00    
SCR  ENZI Feb14 Jan24 Jan10 Nov29   (o'donnell marc)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00    
11  CALL ME TONI Feb14 Jan25 Nov30 Nov09 Oct26 (hughes g)LEON SONNY 125 10.00    
12  NO TAPPIN OUT Feb23 Nov29 Oct18 Sep28 Jan21 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 125 4.00 36% 1.80    
13  MISS GOODBAR Feb24 Feb01 Jan13 Dec21 Dec06 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 12.00    
SCR  CANT KEEP ME DOWN Feb24 Feb01 Jan03 Nov23 Oct27 (salas f)DE CRUZ 125 12.00    
 
TP-8   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE NICK (NZ) Feb22 Jan05 Oct25 Sep02 Aug19 (vaccarezza )CONCEPCION AXEL 126 3.00 65% 0.50    
2  SHANNONRUN Feb17 Jan26 Dec28 Aug28 Aug02 (perez c)MORALES JOSHUA 126 20.00    
3  CHANNEL Z Feb09 Jan26 Nov17 Oct12 Sep25 (wisner j)MOJICA O 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  EL CERRITO Feb10 Jan25 Jan10 Dec07 Nov16 (baez sergio)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  LET IT RIDE CLYDE Jan12 Apr27 Mar10 Feb02 Jan19 (kinmon keith)LEON SONNY 126 30.00    
SCR  SMART PRIZE Nov14 Oct09 Sep25 Aug26 Jan27 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 126 8.00    
7  BATTLE BORN Feb24 Jan10 Dec20 Dec13 Nov24 (king l)ASHTON GAVIN 126 15.00    
8  LOLAS BEAU Feb17 Nov01 Sep23 Aug18 Jul21 (guerrero sal)ELLIOTT JANE 126 30.00    
9  COAL BOSS Feb17 Jan12 Dec29 Nov11 Oct15 (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 126 6.00    
SCR  WE WILL CONQUER Mar02 Jan26 Dec29 Nov22 Nov01 (medina robert)ACHARD ALEX 126 3.50    
11  MIDNIGHT TIL DAWN Feb11 Oct31 Sep25 Aug22 Aug11 (contreras ci)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  NORBERT Feb08 Jan26 Jan11 Dec15 Nov10 (orantes yoni )CANNON DECLAN 126 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.