Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/5/2)-(1/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BEL-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(1/6/4)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/5/1)-(5/4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(5/4/1/3)-(1/2/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-5   WIN (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3)-(1/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/3)-(1/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/3)-(1/2/4/3)-(8/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-6   WIN (1/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/3)-(8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/3)-(8/1/3)-(8/4/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-7   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/3)-(8/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/3)-(8/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3)-(8/4/7/1)-(1/5/8/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-8   WIN (8/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/1)-(8/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/1)-(8/4/7/1)-(8/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/7/1)-(1/5/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7/1)-(1/5/8/6/7)-(1/8/5/3/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
BEL-9   WIN (1/5/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/6/7)-(1/5/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/6/7)-(1/5/8/6/7)-(1/5/8/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/8/6/7)-(1/8/5/3/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
BEL-10   WIN (1/8/5/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/3/2)-(1/8/5/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/3/2)-(1/8/5/3/2)-(1/8/5/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   07/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Port Washington Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY RUMOUR May29 Apr16 Oct30 Sep30 Sep03 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  SANURA May29 Apr27 Mar23 Mar11 Jan15 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 118 1.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of NEHANTIC KAT by TOMORROWS CAT)
3  GOLDEN ROCKET Dec29 Dec01 Oct20 Sep18 Aug18 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
  (by ALPHA out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
4  FREDDYMO FACTOR Jun11 May29 May14 May04 Apr28 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY NOBLE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
5  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE May26 Apr27 Oct20 Sep05 Aug12 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of JONATA by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE Jun16 May04 Oct30 Sep24 Aug17 (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 124 1.20    
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
BEL-2   07/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSSIPING PANDO Jun23         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUMORS OF GLORY by STORM CAT)
2  UNION TRAIL May20 Mar12 Feb11     (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FOREST TRAIL by FOREST WILDCAT)
3  REFUAH Jun09 May20 Apr21 Mar26 Feb17 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  I'M JUST May29 Apr21 Mar18     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
5  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON Jun09 May06 Apr21 Oct08 Aug25 (danner kels)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  BASTION         (albertrani t)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of STAR GRAZING by SKY MESA)
 
BEL-3   07/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 YIELDING Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACKINNON Oct22 Sep03 Jul22 Feb12 Jan01 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.80 43% 1.30    
1A  SY DOG Aug06 Jul09 May07 Apr08   (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 ★    
2  ST ANTHONY May11 Dec03 Nov11 Oct22 Sep14 (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00    
3  SAFE CONDUCT Apr02 Mar04 Oct09 Aug06 Jun18 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
4  MASTER PIECE (CHI) Apr01 Mar04 Jan28 Nov05 Sep03 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  SHOOGER RAY TOO Jun18 Jan07 Nov07 Oct03 Aug19 (servis tyl)TORRES A 113 12.00    
6  PORTFOLIO COMPANY May27 Apr15 Jan01 Oct29 Aug13 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
BEL-4   07/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OMNI KING May13 Apr15       (kelly blake)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 7% 14.20    
  (by OXBOW out of SOLOMEA by A.P. INDY)
2  GOLDEN PURCHASE Jun15 May27 May21 May06 Apr21 (jones eduardo )BROWN DALTON 124 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RANSOMED HEART by GALILEO)
SCR  HONOR KING         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LANTERN GLOW by MINESHAFT)
4  FRAT PACK Jul21         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MISS BABY BETTY by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  MAGICO         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of POTESTA by MACHO UNO)
6  DISAPPEARANCE Jun10 May06       (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
 
BEL-5   07/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARREBATO Jun25 Jun09 Apr08 Mar11 Feb24 (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 120 3.50 ★    
1A  CENTAVO Jun10 May21 May13 Apr23 Apr13 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 3.50 13% 6.60    
2  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Apr02 Mar11 Jan14 Dec10 Nov27 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
3  HANG TIGHT Jun04 May13 Apr15 Mar30 Feb17 (romero j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLASSIC MARK May20 Apr13 Mar11 Jul01 May21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
5  MISTICAL CURLIN May20 Apr08 Feb02 Dec15 Nov06 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  WARRIOR RICHARD May27 Apr23 Mar31 Mar12 Feb09 (falcone robe)TORRES A 115 6.00    
7  WINNING CONNECTION Jun04 May21 Apr27 Apr02 Mar11 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
 
BEL-6   07/04/2023 4620ft TURF RC3 YIELDING Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES AND YES Jun10 May06 Apr13 Nov25 Oct01 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
1A  THIN WHITE DUKE Jun10 May06 Apr13 Nov25 Oct27 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  CAZADERO Jun16 Nov05 Oct08 Aug27 Jan14 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 28% 2.50    
3  SLIPSTREAM Jun01 Apr13 Mar10 Apr10   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  VOODOO ZIP Jun04 May06 Apr13 Nov25 Oct01 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 6% 14.50    
5  LUCKY CURLIN May06 Apr01 Feb26 Feb04 Dec11 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50    
6  HEAVEN STREET Jun01 May06 Apr02 Sep10 Jul22 (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
7  DUKE OF HAZZARD (FR) Jun22 Apr07 Oct13 Sep14 Aug06 (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
SCR  BOURBON CALLING Jun17 May05 Mar19 Feb20 Jan06 (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 123 1.40    
SCR  MR PHIL Jun22 May13 Apr20 Aug10 Jun10 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80    
 
BEL-7   07/04/2023 6600ft TURF RC3 YIELDING Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARINA (GER) May19 Apr21 Mar25     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  AMANI'S IMAGE May20 Apr20 Jul16 Jun03 Apr28 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
3  BE UP Jun11 Apr27 Mar31 Mar15 Feb02 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  CHARMED WAY May24 Jan25 Dec26 Jun11 May07 (cibelli jan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  BROADWAY BOOGIE Apr26 Mar04 Jan05 Oct23 Sep07 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 124 5.00    
SCR  FEDERALIST PAPERS Jun11 Oct07 Sep01 Jun05 Apr27 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
SCR  SHAD NATION Jun11 Apr26 Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
8  MYRISKYAFFAIR May19 Apr22 Nov13 Oct23 Sep25 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 36% 1.80    
9  PEACE SEEKER Jun11 May19 Mar26 Mar05 Feb08 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
SCR  TONED UP May18 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 1.80    
 
BEL-8   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA BANKER May07 Apr13 Mar19 Mar03 Jan27 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA Jun02 Mar19 Feb05 Jan08 Dec29 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
2  MON PETIT CHOU Jun02 May07 Apr06 Feb24 Jan27 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
SCR  ALPINE QUEEN May07 Apr06 Mar10 Feb09 Jan13 (toscano joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
4  ICY STARE DOWN May04 Mar12 Feb20 Jan01 Dec09 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  I'M BUZZY Jun18 May07 Apr16 Mar11 Feb25 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL KAREN May11 Apr20 Apr13 Feb19 Jan29 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50    
7  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Jun02 May12 Apr06 Mar18 Feb10 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 9% 9.80    
8  AWESOME INDRA May27 Feb17 Dec26 Oct14 Sep28 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
BEL-9   07/04/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORTUS Jun09 May06 Mar17     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
2  BE THE BOSS Jun09 May21 Nov19 Sep24 Sep01 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
3  BE OF COURAGE Jun09 May19 Apr15 Nov05 Oct21 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
4  EDDIE THE GREAT Jun02 Dec11 Oct30 Oct20 Sep25 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
5  GOLDEN ARM May29 Apr27       (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  FEATHERS ROAD Jun09 May13 Apr15 Aug27 Jul30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  KREESA Jun09 May29 May05 Sep25 Aug27 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  FACTUALLY CORRECT Jun25 May29 May05 Apr07 Jan28 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  KING MOONRACER Jun24 May28 May13 Nov05 Oct06 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
10  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Jun09 Nov26 Sep23     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
SCR  AGILITY May29 Apr22 Mar24 Feb05 Dec29 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.40    
SCR  NEWPORT BRIDGE Jun09 May05 Apr07     (rice linda)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
 
BEL-10   07/04/2023 6600ft TURF RC10 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLKOVSKHA (FR)         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  LULLABY LAND Jun01 Apr21 Mar12 Feb25 Jan21 (abrams jack)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUT OF SIGHT May29 May07 Oct30 Sep30 Aug14 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 126 12.00 8% 11.90    
4  RHOMBIQUE Nov27 Nov18 Oct23 Sep30 Aug27 (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
5  HIGHLAND GRACE Jun03 May07 Mar05 Jan22 Nov05 (tagg barclay)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  SWOOP TO FINISH Jun16 Oct29 Sep11 Jul24 Jun16 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 15.00    
7  MARIAH'S FORTUNE May26 Apr27 Mar26 Feb17 Dec21 (reynolds patric)CARMOUCHE K 126 20.00    
8  PEGS A. K. GIRL Jun11 May28 Dec31 Oct20 Sep06 (toscano john)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 20% 4.10    
9  ANATOLIAN Jun01 Apr21 Jul08 Jun18 May08 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
10  SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) May26 May07 Apr16     (johnson clevela)DAVIS KATIE 126 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.