Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - June 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/4)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/4)-(4/6)-(7/14/12/5/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(7/14/12/5/2)-(4/1/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-3   WIN (7/14/12/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/14/12/5/2)-(7/14/12/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/14/12/5/2)-(7/14/12/5/2)-(7/14/12/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/14/12/5/2)-(4/1/2)-(9/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(9/1)-(1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/1)-(1/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (9/1)-(1/2/3)-(6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(6/3)-(8/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/3)-(8/3/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/2)-(8/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/2)-(8/3/5/2)-(8/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ROSIE May11 Apr27 Mar18 Mar02 Feb02 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 5.00    
ACT LIKE A LADY Mar07 Feb16 Jan19 Dec05 Aug24 (cline rob)CORREA L 121 4.00 11% 8.20    
LOOKIN ROYAL May27 May16 Apr27 Nov24 Nov17 (huffman pat)CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00    
LUCKY US May24 May13 Apr27 Mar17 Feb22 (adams l)REYES R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH MEADOWS May25 May17 May05 Feb02 Jan13 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 20.00    
SCR  NARROWS BRIDGE Mar18 Mar02 Jan14 Jan04 Jun22 (jarvis kathy)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00    
WINWARD FLO Jun03 May17 Mar04 Jan26 Dec30 (wong jonatha)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.00 19% 4.20    
CAJUN DELIGHT Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 Sep08 Aug16 (skeens jeremy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
BTP-2   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTUM'S STAR May18 Aug25       (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 119 3.50    
  (by FACTUM out of APHRODISIAC by ARCH)
SCR  BIONGATTI         (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00 17% 4.70    
  (by BIONDETTI out of MEDIA RULES by MASS MEDIA)
SCR  A K A FIBBER MCGEE Mar13 Feb16 Jan04 Sep21 Sep07 (danner do)CORREA L 125 4.50    
  (by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
MAMAS HOME COOKING Apr29 Jul10 Jun11     (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CORFU out of TACTICAL WARNING by TACTICAL CAT)
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 Jan12 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 4.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
BALU         (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 8.00 23% 3.30    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of WHAT A TWIT by UNBRIDLED MAN)
 
BTP-3   06/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS MATCHMAKER Apr05 Feb23 Feb01 Jan05 Dec02 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 5.00    
CHI TOWN HEAT May19 Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb01 (esquivel )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
OCEAN HONEY Jun03 May20 Apr16 Mar30 Mar09 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 117 20.00    
ROUGH ENOUGH Mar05 Feb12 Jan13 Dec30 Dec09 (james gerald)REYES R 123 20.00    
MISS SOVELIA May31 May19 Apr26 Mar16 Mar04 (quezada inoce)CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISS FOXANN May31 May18 Aug19 Jul02 Jun05 (chavez manue)CRUZ JUAN 123 8.00    
MENDHAM MILL Apr01 Feb03 Nov20 May01 Mar05 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 3.50 73% 0.40    
SLENDER BETSY May18 May05 Mar04 Feb11 Feb03 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 125 20.00    
SCR  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Apr01 Mar09 Feb22 Jan26 Oct27 (knippenbe)CORREA L 123 2.50    
10  SOULSTONE May18 Apr29 Apr05 Mar08 Feb22 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 15.00    
SCR  SCAPITURE May20 May04 Feb23 Jan13 Jul01 (wells duane)OUZTS W 123 12.00    
12  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB May04 Mar11 Feb22 Jan25 Jan05 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
13  ONTOTHENEXT May20 May11 May04 Apr25 Apr06 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 117 20.00    
14  SIS BOOM BOB May19 Mar13 Feb09 Feb01 Dec28 (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-4   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN SO PERFECT May11 Mar30 Feb15 Jan16 Dec12 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
PECKS NOT BAD Feb15 Jan16 Dec01 Nov12 Sep28 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  TEQUILA FLATS May25 May17 May06 Mar20 Feb15 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Nov22 Nov07       (bennett c)MCKEE J 121 3.50 30% 2.40    
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER May17 Apr22 Aug09 Jul10   (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 115 4.50    
 
BTP-5   06/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO WAY IT'S TODAY (GB)         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
  (by SHOWCASING out of WAY TO MY HEART by GALILEO (ARG))
1A  PIVOT TO THE POWER (GB)         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 4.50    
  (by PIVOTAL out of VASHTI by SHOWCASING)
SCR  MORE THAN ROSES May24         (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 119 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ZELDA ROSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
SCR  HOLD MY CROWN May29 May09 Mar15 Sep05 Aug28 (laugherty joe)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 16% 5.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BEAUTIFUL PRINCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GOOD TURN May04         (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 125 2.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOURNER by HARD SPUN)
GOGO GEISHA May22 Sep09 Aug18     (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of ROUNDNROUNDWEGO by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  SLEEPLESS DREAM Apr29 Mar31       (delacruz meji)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SLEEPLESS DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  PINK SOLITAIRE         (kendall elis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of JULIE'S MEMORY by ETESAAL)
SCR  COZEE MAGIC May24 May06 Mar25     (enni)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of COZZETTE by COZZENE)
LA CORONA May04 Aug01 Jul07     (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by PAYNTER out of SPRING WATER by SPRING AT LAST)
10  WILMA         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of REVELSTOKE by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
SCR  OPTIMIZME Jun01 Jan05 Dec14 Oct24 Sep30 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 5.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of SOMETHING FIERCE by VALIANT NATURE)
 
BTP-6   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST ROO May19 Apr29 Mar15 Feb22 Jan28 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
THREE MILE LIMIT May19 Apr27 Mar30 Feb03 Dec14 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
ROOKWOOD May22 May11 Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
ALTERNATE NIGHTS Nov17 Nov02 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 (lauer micha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 5.00    
DUDLEY May19 May06 Apr27 Apr04 Mar06 (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 121 4.50    
SCR  CUPID'S NUMBER May26 May11 Apr28 Mar17 Mar05 (donjuan s)CORREA L 117 4.00    
 
BTP-7   06/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CORNER OFFICE Jun02 May11 Apr15 Oct04 Sep15 (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 8.00    
SCR  MAGNA RULER May25 May12 Mar19 Mar05 Feb15 (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 12.00    
SCAT SHACK May25 May17 Apr23 Apr06 Mar10 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 121 20.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  WEEKENDER Apr12 Mar20 Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.00    
SCR  WAKE SURF May13 Dec15 Oct26 Oct12 Sep08 (arnold r)MCKEE J 121 6.00    
FIRST SONG May31 Nov23 Oct24 Sep22 Aug30 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 15.00 57% 0.80    
SILENT STEVE May31 May13 Apr19 Mar17 Feb24 (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00    
SCR  FORT LOWELL Apr13 Feb24 Jan13 Dec02 Oct26 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00    
SCR  OUT WORK'N May17 May05 Feb18 Jan06 Dec30 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE May31 Apr19 Mar31 Dec22 Nov30 (cundiff w)CORREA L 121 12.00    
SCR  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN Jun03 Apr01 Mar15 Feb25 Feb09 (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50    
SCR  PERFECT PAINTING May31 Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 Jan20 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 121 12.00    
13  SILVESTRE May11 Apr16 Jan28 Dec30 Nov30 (cambray igna)CRUZ JUAN 121 30.00    
SCR  EPIMYTHIUM Dec14 Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Jul21 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00    
SCR  FINGERS May19 Feb22       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 115 12.00    
SCR  OXWOOD May20 Apr29 Apr12 Feb24 Dec16 (woodbury judy)AYALA ISAIAS 121 30.00    
 
BTP-8   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH FRONT Mar28 Mar09 Feb27 Feb15 Jan31 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00    
DESOTO'S WAR May04 Jan18 Dec22 Dec05 Nov17 (wong jonathan)REYES R 121 4.00 10% 9.30    
ELLE'SBIGSEACRET May16 Apr27 Apr12 Mar30 Mar02 (shifflett cheryl)MCKEE J 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  TOE TAPPIN LUKE May25 May08 Mar30 Mar11 Feb22 (hernandez deb)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
SOUTH SEA May18 Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 Jan06 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
ZIP IT SCOTTY May27 May13 Apr27 Mar18 Oct24 (jazdzewski jon)AYALA ISAIAS 123 10.00    
SCR  EL BOHEMIO May18 Apr27 Mar13 Feb03 Jan04 (esquivel )CORREA L 123 8.00    
WELL CONNECTED Apr15 Mar10 Dec11 Nov29 Jun30 (march william)BUSH V 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  SAY IT AIN'T SO May27 Oct11 Sep30 Sep09 Aug22 (cook k)OUZTS W 121 20.00    
10  HAGLER Jun05 May17 Apr29 Mar31 Mar17 (cash l)HEARD TYLER 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.