Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - May 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/6)-(3/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(3/4/1)-(6/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/3/1)-(5/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(5/6/2)-(2/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/6/4)-(3/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(3/4/6)-(5/1/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(5/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7)-(5/1/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEER CHASER Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 Jan08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00    
2  AYE AYE SIR Nov19 Oct22 Oct10 Sep15 Sep06 (rettele richa)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  CHANNEL FURY May08 Oct14 Oct04 Sep08 Aug23 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
4  ITASCA Aug31 Aug16 Jul14 Jun30 Jun11 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00 7% 14.40    
5  SHY GUY May16 Dec10 Nov23 Nov06 Oct04 (sauer barba)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00    
6  SO DIALED IN May08 Apr15 Mar22 Mar13 Dec06 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 123 4.50    
7  LIBERATE May15         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 3.00 10% 9.00    
 
TDN-2   05/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSPECTIVE FORUM Oct11 Sep08 Aug16 Jul06   (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
2  BLUSHING BETTY May15 Apr24 Feb08 Dec19 Dec08 (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  RENO TOUCH May15 Apr24 Feb28 Jan04 Dec19 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 1.60 45% 1.20    
4  CEVICHE May09 Mar15 Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00    
5  DIVINE MARTHA May06 Apr24 Mar28 Mar15 Nov01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
6  SIERRA DIAMOND Apr24 Mar02 Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICEASAKITTENSEYES May17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar23 Feb28 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 7% 14.40    
2  J J'S FANCY May17 May03 Nov10 Nov01 Oct10 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
3  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Feb15 Jan19 Dec01 Nov21 Oct26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  MOBIL CHIC May17 Apr15 Mar30 Mar15 Mar02 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  BOSSY LADY May17 Apr27 Nov16 Sep23 Aug25 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00    
SCR  ANGEL WINGS May17 Feb15 Jan17 Dec15 Nov16 (flores israel)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
 
TDN-4   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN HEIR Apr25 Apr06       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  KRISTIN Oct25         (rettele ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 10.00    
3  KISS IT GOODBYE May02 Apr05 Feb22 Jan11 Dec11 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  WICKED REESE May15 Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 (radcli)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
5  SWAMP WITCH HADDY Jul18 Jun25       (syed riaz)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 12.00    
6  SAUNTER May02 Apr05       (sweeting craig)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 32% 2.20    
 
TDN-5   05/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGNELLO'S DREAM May16 Apr27 Mar28 Feb21 Feb08 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.00    
2  CENTSOFWANDER Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Feb21 Jan17 (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 13% 6.70    
3  UNCLEJACKOMO May13 Apr11 Dec19 Dec05 Nov16 (faulkner)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
4  CHROMED IMPULSE May13 Apr11 Mar21 Mar08 Feb22 (skeens je)CORREA L 119 3.00    
5  MR. BOUMA May09 Apr13 Mar09 Jan12 May15 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  GUN LAP May11 Apr26 Aug18 Aug09 Jul11 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
TDN-6   05/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMITIA LUCILLA May02 Apr03 Feb28 Feb15 Jan20 (estvank)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
2  MEET THE BEAUTY Mar22 Feb22 Dec21 Nov27 Oct29 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  MITESSE May10 Mar26 Mar02 Feb09 Jan04 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 1.60    
4  BOURBONWITHGINGER May02 Mar28 Feb14 Jan09 Dec01 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LEWD Dec01 Nov02 Oct05 Sep20 Aug28 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
6  MISS BETTY Apr25 Sep15 Aug25 Jul27 Jun18 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-7   05/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ISLAND WINTER Oct03 Sep14 Aug23 Aug10 Jul05 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
SCR  SCATERRA May15 Nov03 Oct13 Sep20   (syed riaz)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 20.00    
3  KICHI KITSU Apr27 Mar23 Feb23 Jan31 Jan18 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  CANDLELIGHT HOURS May11 Apr25 Sep27 Aug13 Jul19 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 15% 5.80    
5  FLOWZANO May16 Apr25 Apr10 Mar15 Feb22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
6  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Feb15 Jan28 Dec30 Dec07 Nov09 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SENORA PANQUEQUES May12 Apr27 Feb15 Jan31 Jan03 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00    
 
TDN-8   05/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR CLINE May08 Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 Dec16 (cline c)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 6% 15.70    
2  K P SILVER BULLET May15 Apr27 Sep26 Sep13 Aug15 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
3  GRAND DEAL May17 Apr27 Apr11 Mar28 Mar21 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 2.50 5% 19.00    
4  SEE SPOT RUN May16 Feb19 Feb04 Jan08 Dec09 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
5  KHOPILOT May15 Apr15 Mar06 Feb16 Nov08 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 116 4.00 61% 0.60    
6  HAD RIGHT May16 Apr22 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 (huffma)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
7  EL SICARIO May17 Mar30 Mar21 Feb28 Feb06 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.