Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - May 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(1/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(1/4/6/8)-(3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/8)-(3/2/6)-(4/1/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(4/1/6/7)-(7/4/10/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7)-(4/1/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/7)-(7/4/10/9/6)-(1/6/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-5   WIN (7/4/10/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/10/9/6)-(7/4/10/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/10/9/6)-(7/4/10/9/6)-(7/4/10/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (7/4/10/9/6)-(1/6/7/4)-(5/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4)-(5/7/3)-(8/4/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(8/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (8/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMP INTO SANITY Jan09 Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 (skerrett jeffr)TORREALBA JG 114 5.00    
2  IMA SURE BET Mar01 Feb20 Jan31 Jan12 Dec21 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 15.00    
3  SICILIAN STYLE TWO         (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00 11% 7.80    
4  BLUEBERRY QUEEN Mar30 Mar16 Jan13     (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00    
5  SOLDAT TEMPTATION May03 Mar29 Nov28 Nov09 Oct24 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  DANCING FOR MONEY May03 Mar01 Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 10.00    
7  ROWDY DAISY May04 Apr14 Mar25 Mar02 Feb05 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.60 41% 1.50    
 
TDN-2   05/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ABRIL May11 Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 Dec27 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 1.80 48% 1.10    
2  SASSY POWER May11 Apr26 Apr13 Feb07 Dec07 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
3  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS May11 Apr26 Mar29 Jun27 Mar18 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
4  COSTUME JEWELRY May16 May06 Dec27 Dec12 Nov28 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 2.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  EASTER PRIDE May11 Apr26 Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 (schuster ro)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
6  CAN I GO TOO May11 Apr27 Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 119 4.50 8% 11.50    
7  SWEET CHELSEA Oct13 Sep13 Aug22 Aug13 Jul27 (genovese richa)CULP BRIANNE 119 12.00    
8  DISCREET ENERGY Jan03 Nov19 Sep12 Aug25 Aug10 (syed riaz)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 6% 16.50    
 
TDN-3   05/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF May06 Mar06 Feb22 Jan18 Jun18 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEONA'S KNIGHT by SUAVE PROSPECT)
2  C C'S CLEAR CREEK May16 May06 Apr05 Mar21 Oct12 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
3  CONNECT ME May15 Apr26 Apr05 Mar23 Mar11 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by CONNECT out of LET'SLEAVEITATTHAT by BODEMEISTER)
4  TWELVE MINUS ONE May11 Apr25 Apr10     (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  PACE May16 Apr14 Mar17 Feb17 Jan21 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of MAKE IT SNAPPY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  MO SNOW Mar17 Jan21 Sep08     (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SNOW MESA by SKY MESA)
 
TDN-4   05/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOL OF VAQUERO May10 Apr24 Apr12 Feb08 Jul28 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 123 3.00 14% 6.30    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
2  VEGAS PLAYER May10 Apr12       (poole m)BIRT BRAXON 119 6.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
3  BIRD GONE WEST Feb23 Jan24       (west m)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of PAHLMUHREE by GONE WEST)
4  OUR BUCKWHEAT         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of AIDE by ARCH)
SCR  HARTSTEIN         (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 8.00    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
6  NIKAO         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 15.00 13% 6.80    
  (by ALWAYS WILDCATIN' out of MADAME ROYALE by LUHUK)
7  AGNELLO CITY         (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 13% 6.80    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of HERE'S TO ROSE by MAGNA GRADUATE)
8  IPPOLITO'S WONDER May10 Feb14 Jan12 Dec30 Dec14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
 
TDN-5   05/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLAVALENCIA Jul11 Jun11 May31 Mar23 Mar04 (fadlovich m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50    
2  LADY GIULIANA May10 Apr25 Mar23 Mar07 Feb22 (skerrett jeffr)TORREALBA JG 110 15.00    
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN May11 Apr25 Apr06 Mar21 Feb27 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 12.00    
4  MS. THE LAW May10 Apr18 Mar18 Feb15 Jan18 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 115 3.50 10% 9.00    
5  MY DANCING QUEEN Jan19 Dec29 Nov23 Nov09 Oct10 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
6  TABOO HOO Apr28 Mar29 Mar10 Jan24 Dec07 (anderson susan)GONZALEZ A 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CANDYMONIUM May03 Apr05 Feb20 Aug14 Jul15 (skerrett jeffre)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 55% 0.80    
8  LITTLE EMPIRE Dec08 Oct05 Aug24 Aug10 Jul18 (reust megan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
9  TWILIGHT VISION May10 Apr25 Oct05 Sep13 Aug24 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 7% 13.30    
10  SAKONNA Apr11 Feb15 Dec28 Oct24 Oct11 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 7% 12.70    
 
TDN-6   05/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEALTH MODE Apr25 Jul08 Jun22 May27   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 41% 1.50    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of SOUTHERN SILENCE by DIXIE UNION)
2  FULL TIME STRUTIN May11 Apr25 Apr13 Mar29 Mar21 (gonz)SALAZAR VICTOR 118 12.00    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  MISTY MIDNIGHT Jul12         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of MIDNIGHTINPOSITANO by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4  BANK BUSTER Apr22 Apr12 Mar10 Feb17 Feb03 (morales m)DIAZ I 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MAGGIE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  SISTER CODE May11 Apr25 Mar16 Feb27 Feb09 (vazquez ivan)TORREALBA JG 113 5.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
6  COROMANDEL May11 Apr30 Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by TEKTON out of WOOD ROSE by TIZNOW)
7  TRAMA QUEEN         (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 118 10.00 10% 8.90    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TRICIA'S TRAMA by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
8  GRACIE DANCE Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Oct13 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SALAD MOOD by MALIBU MOON)
 
TDN-7   05/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORORITY SISTER Apr27 Apr10 Feb23 Jan23 Dec12 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
2  KERRI'S MIRACLE Apr27 Mar30 Mar20 Feb16 Feb01 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00    
3  LA ROSA Feb15 Jan17 Dec20 Nov16 Oct05 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 12% 7.30    
4  EMERSON JONES Apr27 Apr15 Mar23 Mar02 Feb23 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 115 2.00    
5  DIAMONDS N DEW May10 Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 Mar02 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  GOODNESS SAKES May11 Apr27 Oct10 Sep23 Aug12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
7  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS May10 Apr27 Mar23 Jan31 Jan03 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-8   05/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANSPIRED May10 Apr24 Apr12 Mar29 Jan26 (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of BACK FOR DINNER by PUT IT BACK)
2  STRIKING AGAIN May10 Apr24 Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 6.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
3  MY BUDDY MICAH Dec14 Nov14 Oct11 Sep22   (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
4  HEIDI FIVE         (cline c)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 29% 2.50    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
SCR  HURRYCANE DON May10         (bookman dona)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WILD ISLAND STORM by WILD HORSES)
6  WHY KENNY WHY May10 Apr24 Mar06 Feb14 Jan12 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
7  MY HOMBRE May10 Apr24 Mar13 Jun29 Jun14 (treharne dave)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
8  COLOR BEARER         (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BELLA TRELLA by CHEROKEE RUN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.