Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-2   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (4/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (5/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   04/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMIES INHERITANCE Mar11 Feb18 Feb01     (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.50    
STARDUST DREAMS Mar12         (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 49% 1.00    
SHE'D RATHER DANCE Mar05         (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 10% 9.40    
OCEAN OF LIES Mar11 Feb21       (bratcher ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00    
MISCHIEF MAME Mar12         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
TAMA SETS DA PACE Dec09 Nov26 Oct28     (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
TUP-2   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNSTOPPABLE ME Mar21 Feb22 Feb08     (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
CREME DE LA CHROME Mar06 Mar11 Feb18 Jan30 Jan13 (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.50 24% 3.30    
INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Jan31 Oct21 Sep24 Sep09 Aug26 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
CORN POP Mar18 Jan12 Dec08 Nov19 Oct02 (howe)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50    
POPS AWESOME Mar06 Feb02 Jan24 Dec28 Dec13 (williams dewey)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 13% 6.90    
WIND RIVER Feb22 Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 Dec08 (person a)VERGARA P 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-3   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AND I KNOW Mar19 Feb21 Feb14 Jan14 Jan03 (mend)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
WORKIN NINETOFIVE Mar05 Feb14 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 (gutierrez j)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
LUCKY STEPPER Mar19 Feb21 Nov14 Sep19 Sep12 (weaver gordon)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
BRITE TAN Mar13 Feb21 Feb12 Jan31 Jan06 (rosales jorge)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00    
BIG CYN Mar13 Feb27 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 (chamberlin ti)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
RED PANTY NIGHT Mar13 Feb26 Jan26 Dec17 Nov05 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
DEL MAR FLASH Mar13 Feb11 Jan06 Dec02 Oct22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 8% 12.00    
 
TUP-4   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALDINI Mar15 Feb27 Jan21 Dec30 Nov24 (villamar candelar)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
FINE POINT ASSAY Mar15 Feb18 Jan31 Jan09 Dec14 (martinez a)LEON A 124 8.00    
MY MOONDANCER Mar20 Mar11 Feb25 Jan14   (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
MUCH ABOUT ONE Jan11 Nov07 Sep10 Aug27 Jan31 (garcia jesus)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
SCR  ROUSING YOU BABE Mar07 Apr05 Mar06 Feb11 Jan22 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
MAMALONA Mar20 Feb16 Feb04 Jan25 Dec03 (soto antonio)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00    
DADDY'SFAVORITESON Mar15 Mar07 Feb18 Feb08 Jan25 (silva rodrigu)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 6% 14.70    
GRANDIOSE SUMMER Mar15 Feb27 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 (silva rodriguez)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
TUP-5   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY A MESS Mar13 Mar01 Feb15 Jan30 Jan17 (bullene micha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
EASY DOES IT Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 Nov12 Sep10 (gangidino lisa)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
COME CORRECT Feb19 Feb02 Jan17 Dec22 Aug25 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  GIROLAMO LUCY Mar13 Feb20 Feb13 Jan26 Oct08 (dennis clifton)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
LADY CREATIVE Mar13 Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 Dec22 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
CAMDEN HIGH Mar13 Feb27 Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50 15% 5.90    
UPTOWN RHAPSODY Mar12 Feb19 Feb02 Jan10 Dec10 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
 
TUP-6   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC CANDY Mar18 Feb21 Feb02 Jan19 Dec26 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
SOCAL RED Mar06 Feb15 Feb02 Jan21 Dec30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  PERFECT COME BACK Mar13 Feb19 Jan31 Jan18 Dec10 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 9% 10.70    
TAP THE BRAKES Mar20 Dec10 Dec01 Nov18 Oct26 (gleason m)CORBETT W 122 12.00    
STREET RUCKUS Mar17 Jan28 Dec03 Nov06 Oct09 (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
FURY KAP Mar21 Mar07 Jan15 Nov25 May21 (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.00    
PUSH THROUGH Mar18 Feb25 Mar25 Feb11 Jan08 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
FORT LANGLEY Feb28 Jan19 Dec20 Nov16 Oct15 (leaney patricia)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
 
TUP-7   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Feb22 Jan11 Dec17 Oct15 Oct01 (pearman jaymi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 8% 12.30    
FLASH FLOOD Mar13 Feb25 Feb11 Jan04 Dec13 (aspr)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
DAZZLING MIST Feb01 Jan11 Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 5.00 8% 11.20    
REIGN OF FIRE Mar08 Feb18 Feb09 Jan31 Jan19 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 6.00 56% 0.80    
SPEEDY GIGI Mar08 Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 Dec15 (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 3.50    
ELDORADO DREAM Mar08 Feb22 Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 (valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
JANERO ROSE Mar06 Feb18 Jan11 Dec15 Nov05 (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00    
SCR  V BUCKS Mar14 Feb16 Jan12 Dec27 Nov21 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   04/01/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARIMAR Mar19 Feb22 Jan14 Jan04 Dec10 (gutierrez jua)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
ZEYARAAT May03 Mar27 Feb19     (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 5% 18.10    
LOOPY Jan28 Dec21 Dec08 Nov26 Sep28 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 7% 12.70    
DIPLOMATICA Mar14 Feb21 Feb01 Jan14 Dec26 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
SINGLE LADY Feb22 Feb07 Jan26 Jan17 Jan03 (vitali m)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.00 32% 2.10    
BURROW DOWN Sep10 Aug20 Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
YES PLEASE Feb22 Jan19 Jan09 Dec15 Nov11 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
SPUN LINE Feb07 Dec15 Sep24 Sep12 Aug22 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
MY CRAFTY GAL Aug11 Jul17 May26 Apr21 Feb17 (leon priscilla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.