Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3/6/2/5/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/6/2/5/7)-(2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/6/2/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5/7)-(3/6/2/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5/7)-(3/6/2/5/7)-(3/6/2/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5/7)-(2/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5/7)-(2/5)-(8/1/6/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/1/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/1/6/4)-(2/5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(8/1/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(8/1/6/2)-(7/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2/4)-(8/1/6/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/6/2)-(7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/2)-(7/4/3)-(8/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(8/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(8/7/2)-(6/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/2)-(8/7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/2)-(8/7/2/1)-(8/7/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/7/2)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2)-(6/2/5)-(4/9/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(4/9/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(4/9/2/3)-(1/3/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/9/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/3)-(4/9/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/3)-(4/9/2/3/8)-(4/9/2/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/2/3)-(1/3/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6/4)-(1/3/2/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPPLY CHAIN Jan15 Jan07 Dec04 Nov18 Oct31 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 17% 4.90    
2  GOLDINI Jan07 Dec10 Dec04 Nov17 Oct21 (jacobson )VARGAS A 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  AMERICAN LINCOLN Jan22 Oct01 Sep03 Jul10 Jun25 (romero jesus)TORRES A 113 15.00    
SCR  SICILIA MIKE Jan27 Dec20 Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
5  MICROSCOPE Jan22 Jan07 Dec02 Mar06 Feb11 (quic)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 3.50 ★    
6  ROYAL REALM Dec14 Jul19 Jun08 May06 Mar11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 ★    
7  JUMPSTER Jan15 Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 15.00    
 
AQU-2   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THERISASTORMBREWIN Jan06 Oct16 Sep24 Aug12 Jul10 (giangiulio mich)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00    
2  WILD BANKER Jan06 Dec08 Oct16 Sep13 Aug27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00 9% 10.70    
3  MUSICAL HEART Jan07         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  BLAKE B. Jan15 Dec18 Nov19 Oct22 Jul21 (romero jesus)TORRES A 116 20.00    
5  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Jan21 Jan14 Dec08 Nov18 Aug06 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 8% 10.80    
6  BOURBON BAY Jan06 Dec08 Nov05 Oct21 Apr09 (arriaga antoni)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  GENTLEMAN JOE Dec15 Nov02 Oct15 Sep05 Jul23 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 7% 12.50    
 
AQU-3   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET LOVE (ARG) Jan05 Dec02 Oct30 Oct06 Aug12 (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 ★    
2  PIECE OF MY HEART Jan21 Jan05 Dec08 Nov11 Sep16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  SELF ISOLATION Jan21 Dec03 Nov11 Oct27 Sep22 (jacobson david)PENNINGTON F 123 6.00    
4  EASY TO BLESS Jan05 Dec11 Jun10 May19 Apr28 (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 12.00 ★    
5  MOSIENKO Dec08 Oct30 Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 (lalman d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 32% 2.20    
6  EXOTIC WEST Jan01 Dec03 Nov04 Aug19 Jul24 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   02/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAOCHI Jan22 Aug26 Mar11 Jan22 Jan16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of SAICHI SWEEPIN by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
2  LEM ME DRINK Jan19 Nov26 Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 (levine br)VARGAS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of FIGHTER WING by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  VIRTUAL BEAUTY Jan22 Dec16 Dec02     (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 50.00    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of TRUE BLUE ELLIE by E DUBAI)
4  BON ADIEU Dec16         (gargan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 ★    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VIVA SHEILA by TIZNOW)
5  LIMANI Apr10 Feb13       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
  (by MASTERY out of SEEKING HER GLORY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  PRACTICAL JULIA         (de p)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 5.00 10% 9.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JULIETTE AVA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  SHE'S A NATURAL Dec16 Nov26 Oct29 May30   (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
8  BAVARIAN CREME Nov26 Oct29 Sep30 Aug11 Jun24 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by BAYERN out of CRITICAL CATHY by GOLD TOKEN)
 
AQU-5   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MELTING SNOW Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 Nov05 Sep01 (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
2  VALLARAND Jan06 Dec10 Nov13 Oct13 Jul15 (martin carlos )PENNINGTON F 118 8.00 ★    
3  MIA BEA STAR Jan19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec04 Nov11 (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 9% 10.30    
4  MOVIE MOXY Jan29 Dec30 Dec04 Oct29 Oct06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  IRIE EMPRESS Dec20 Dec07 Nov04 Oct25 Oct05 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 15.00    
6  AMITY ISLAND Jan29 Dec30 May01 Mar18 Feb18 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 20.00    
7  MY SWEET WIFE Jan28 Dec16 Nov10 Oct13 Aug04 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
AQU-6   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAGETOWN Feb04 Jan19 Jan07 Dec03 Oct16 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 ★    
1A  STEINBECK Dec27 Dec14 Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 (cash norman )TORRES A 116 10.00    
2  IN DREAMS Dec30 Nov25 Feb05     (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG ENGINE Jan21 Dec30 Nov25 Oct30 Sep23 (ric)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Feb05 Dec30 Dec17 Nov17 Oct01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 27% 2.60    
5  HEIR PORT Dec06 Nov20 Oct22 Oct11 Sep11 (jacobson david)PENNINGTON F 123 20.00    
6  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Dec03 Nov05 Sep17 Aug06 May07 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
7  CEES GET DEGREES Jan27 Jan11 Dec16 Nov16 Oct28 (jacobson )VARGAS A 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
8  NOVA RAGS Dec30 Nov12 Jul16 Jun19   (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
9  CHATEAU Dec30 Jun17 May14 Mar05   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
 
AQU-7   02/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIZ GRACIE May09 Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 Jan25 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
2  ALARM CLOCK Jan21 Dec11 Nov17 Nov04 Oct14 (follett norm)HARKIE K 123 5.00 14% 6.30    
3  HYDRA Jan27 Jan08 Dec16 Nov26 Nov08 (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
4  BABA Jan29 Jan08 Nov26 Nov13 Oct20 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 113 6.00    
5  ITS COLD IN DEHERE Dec30 Dec11 Oct27 Mar26 Feb24 (tos)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 6% 14.50    
6  SISTER ANNIE Dec02 Oct19 Sep14 Aug12 Jul10 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
7  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Jan08 Dec11 Nov26 Oct27 Oct06 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 ★    
8  TRIPLE P Jan27 Jan15 Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREW PUB Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 Nov17 Oct22 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 20.00    
2  SCILLY CAY Jan07 Dec30 Dec17 Nov10 Oct27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 9% 10.40    
3  MORE GRAYTFUL Dec30 Apr28 Feb20 Jan01   (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 118 6.00 5% 17.50    
4  WARRIORS REVENGE Jan08 Dec11 Nov22 Oct11 Sep05 (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
5  JEMOGRAPHY Jan01 Dec02 Oct15 Sep17 Aug05 (englehart chri)PENNINGTON F 118 8.00    
6  VICTORY BUILT Nov26 Nov09 Nov01 Oct05 Sep12 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 10.00    
7  BOLD JOURNEY Jan07 Dec10 Nov13 Oct01 Aug27 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
8  SCOCCIATORE Apr07 Mar19 Feb12 Jan28   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 ★    
9  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 Aug23 Jul29 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 14% 6.10    
 
AQU-9   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIA'S ANGEL Jan05 Dec09 Nov05 Sep25 Sep03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 56% 0.80    
1A  STORM SHOOTER Jan12 Dec10 Nov13 Oct01 Sep18 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80    
2  REGALITY Jan14 Jan02 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 7% 12.60    
3  PHOEBE'S FROSTY Jan21 Jan05 Nov25 Aug18 Jul29 (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 4.00 11% 8.10    
4  PRINCE OF JOY Jan26 Jan01 Dec18 Nov19 Oct14 (legall r)DAVIS A 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  JONNY QUIST Jan29 Jan07 Dec07 Nov24 Nov05 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 12.00    
6  VOLIERO Jan14 Dec10 Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  JADE'S DREAM Jan26 Jan14 Dec18 Dec10 Nov04 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
8  EXXTOP Jan26 Jan12 Dec16 Nov20 Oct23 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.