Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6/2)-(3/4/5/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/5/6)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/6)-(4/1/3)-(1/3/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/3/4/2)-(4/7/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2/6)-(1/3/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(4/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2)-(4/7/5/2)-(9/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/2)-(9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/2)-(9/2/7)-(7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (9/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/7)-(9/2/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/7)-(9/2/5/3/7)-(9/2/5/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/2/7)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7)-(7/1)-(6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(6/4)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/1/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/1/5/3)-(6/4/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIAROSSA Jan01 Sep04 Aug05     (bond j)OLVER MADISON 112 4.00    
2  SARAH'S PRIDE Jan20 Sep12       (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 6.00 ★    
3  AFILADA Jan01 Nov21 Sep22 Aug06 Jun23 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  MOSTLY HARMLESS Jan01 Dec08 Nov25 Oct21 Sep22 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 15% 5.90    
5  GRACEFULLY WILD Jan01 Dec08 Nov12 Oct13 Jun17 (barker edwar)TORRES A 115 6.00 13% 6.50    
6  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE Jul18 Feb12 Jan14     (clarke dylan)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
AQU-2   01/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACH ONE Dec29 Sep16 Aug21 Aug14 Jul29 (persaud eddi)HARKIE K 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
2  BERT BERT BERT Dec18 Nov11 Oct07 Aug06 Jul09 (baker charlt)TORRES A 116 8.00 ★    
3  HATCH (GB) Dec29 Dec16 Nov18 Oct22 Sep03 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 7% 13.30    
4  MAURITIUS Dec17 Oct30 Mar27 Mar05   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 28% 2.60    
SCR  BASIS RISK Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 Aug31 Apr30 (coffey m)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
SCR  BUCKINGHAM PRINCE Aug03 Jun22 May07 Apr13 Mar12 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-3   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLINS CHOIR Dec10         (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60 34% 2.00    
2  LADY QUINN Dec18 Nov04 Sep05 Aug04   (breen j)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SICILIAN GRANDMA Dec18 Sep26 Aug21 Aug04 Jul09 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
4  JESSICA'S RACE Jan06 Dec18 Oct26 Oct05 Sep16 (martin carlos)OLVER MADISON 110 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  MAGIC MISS Jan06 Oct16 Oct02     (ryerson jame)TORRES A 113 12.00    
6  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Jan06 Dec02 Nov26 Oct23 Sep15 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.00 ★    
7  AUDIT COMMITTEE Jan13 Nov10       (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
 
AQU-4   01/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONE MORE SCORE Jan12 Apr08 Mar28 Mar02 Feb06 (brown bru)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
2  EXXTOP Jan12 Dec16 Nov20 Oct23 Oct10 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENFORCER Jan10 Dec19 Nov30 Nov08 Oct17 (pino v)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  MAJESTIC TIGER Jan12 Dec10 Oct28 Oct06 Sep04 (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 22% 3.50    
5  PRINCE OF JOY Jan01 Dec18 Nov19 Oct14 Sep17 (legall r)DAVIS A 123 6.00 5% 18.80    
6  EL MAYOR Jan12 Dec18 Oct28 Oct13 Aug20 (toscano john )FUENTES ERICK 110 12.00    
7  JADE'S DREAM Jan14 Dec18 Dec10 Nov04 Oct18 (jacobson dav)TORRES A 113 3.50 7% 13.70    
 
AQU-5   01/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FERRIS MULER Dec10         (hosang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of CURIOUS LUCK by TRUST N LUCK)
2  BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Jan07 Nov18 Oct27     (baker charlt)TORRES A 113 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GITCHEE GOOMIE by CITY ZIP)
3  GEM MINT TEN         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 ★    
  (by LAOBAN out of DIXIE GEM by ROBYN DANCER)
SCR  ZEALOUS LEGACY         (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00    
  (by HERE'S ZEALOUS out of PENNYMINE by MINESHAFT)
5  DR. KRAFT Dec31 Nov26 Oct09     (englehar)DAVIS A 120 2.50 ★    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
6  ELECTRIC STUFF         (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FIRST CHARMER by SMART STRIKE)
7  AWESOME FORCE         (diprima gre)MARTINEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of EVER AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  CHALKY CAT         (bond jam)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of FOLLOW THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  LAUNCH CONTROL         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by FREUD out of MIGHTY GOOD by GOOD AND TOUGH)
 
AQU-6   01/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE JAMES Dec04 Jul20 Jun18 May21 Apr28 (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 15.00 9% 9.50    
SCR  SENOR JOBIM Nov06 Sep24 Jul31 Jun03 Apr30 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  RAGTIME BLUES Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 Sep01 Aug05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
SCR  JEMOGRAPHY Jan01 Dec02 Oct15 Sep17 Aug05 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
SCR  REED KAN Jan01 Oct27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 12.00 6% 14.80    
6  PRISONER Jan01 Dec17 Sep17 Jul23 Jun10 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
7  LAFITTE'S FLEET Jan01 Dec04 Nov05 Sep25 Aug14 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
AQU-7   01/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE PRINCESS Dec30 Oct30 Sep30 Aug26 Jul31 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 ★    
2  FAR AWAY LOVE (ARG) Dec01 Oct27 Jul20     (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
3  MOMMASGOTTARUN Jan12 Dec31 Nov13 Oct06 Aug17 (ric)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★    
4  TIMELESS JOURNEY Dec30 Nov27 Oct29 Apr09   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
5  SOFIA'S SECRET Dec20 Nov13 Oct06 Sep11 Jul31 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 ★    
6  LET HER INSPIRE U Dec17 Oct30 Sep24 Aug26 Jul22 (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 41% 1.40    
 
AQU-8   01/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SUSPECT Jan05 Dec29 Dec09 Nov14 Oct25 (huerta)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
2  SIMPLY Jan05 Dec09 Oct16 Sep27 Sep05 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
3  MASON MANIA Jan05 Dec09 Nov02 Sep15 Sep02 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 26% 2.80    
4  TIMBUKTU Dec18 Nov05 Oct07 Sep04 Aug10 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 ★    
5  THE REVENGER Dec29 Nov15 Oct24 Oct05 Sep07 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  OVERSTEP         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  TRA LAD Jan11 Dec09 Nov13 Oct11 Sep16 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  ALITE Jan14 Dec11 Nov05 Oct14 Oct02 (pringle edmun)FUENTES ERICK 110 50.00    
9  SON OF AN EX Jan05 Dec18 Jun30 May28 May08 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
10  DR. MARBOOZ Jan05 Dec09 Nov15 Oct25 Oct10 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
11  UNO Jan08 Nov02 Oct03 Sep05 Aug24 (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00    
12  HERE'S WALDO Dec16 Nov25 Oct05 Sep07 Jul27 (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.