Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - February 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/1/2)-(7/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(7/1/4)-(5/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(5/2/4)-(4/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(4/2/5)-(9/3/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(9/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(9/3/2/5)-(2/8/1/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (9/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/5)-(9/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/5)-(9/3/2/5)-(9/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/2/5)-(2/8/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/2/5)-(2/8/1/4/6)-(2/1/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/8/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/4/6)-(2/8/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/4/6)-(2/8/1/4/6)-(2/8/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/1/4/6)-(2/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (2/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE CREAM BOAT Oct13 Aug23       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of SPECIAL TREAT by FAST PLAY)
1A  VANILLA SUNDAE Nov21 Aug18       (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of VANILLA BEAN BACK by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  LADY GUNNER Jan05 Nov14 Oct03     (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SISTER DAWN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  MORE THAN GRACE Jan10 Nov08       (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 1.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRACE OF GRACE by PETIONVILLE)
4  STONE COLD KELLY Jan23         (lawrence james)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40 69% 0.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  LUCKFORYOU Jan23 Dec13 Aug22 Jul04 Jun14 (romero jes)RIVERA R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
 
AQU-2   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATTY BROWN EYES Jan31 Nov29 Oct21 Aug23 Aug02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 25% 3.00    
1A  PAM PAM Jan23 Jan12 Dec01 Oct06 Aug30 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.60 ★    
2  LA GROTTE Feb02 Jan18 Dec27 Nov20 Nov06 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BACKSTRETCH ROSE Jan31 Dec29 Nov14 Sep28 Aug30 (abreu r)COA J 123 2.50    
4  SCARLET'S DREAM Jan31 Dec15 Nov22 Jul24 Jul07 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50    
5  SOUNDBITE Jan31 Jan10 Dec14 Nov16 Oct10 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  LOOKS FIRST Feb15 Jan31 Jan16 Dec13 Nov16 (samsund)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00    
 
AQU-3   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O P FIRECRACKER Dec12 Nov15 Oct26 Sep28 Aug21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  WAKE SURF Jan31 Jan16 Dec12 Dec06 Oct24 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50    
3  NARCISO DALI Jan31 Apr04 Mar10 Feb10 Jan14 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
4  PRINCE OF CHILL Feb04 Jan16 Nov26 Nov12 Oct22 (padilla esteban)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  STJAMES Jan31 Dec28 Apr06 Mar15 Feb11 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00    
6  COLLECT FROM IKE Feb09 Jan04 Dec06 Nov02 Oct13 (pregman j)CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00    
7  CASTLE ISLAND Jan31 Jan16 Dec06 Jun08 May17 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 57% 0.80    
 
AQU-4   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Nov10 Oct24 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00    
2  SHORT SHIFT (IRE) Feb02 Jan16 Dec08 Nov03 Jun11 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  TROUBLED LUCK Feb02 Jan16 Nov25 Nov04 Jul04 (delaur)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
4  ALLEY'S SONG Feb02 Dec08 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY ARWEN Jan18 Dec27 Nov10 Oct22 Sep24 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  MAJULU Jan18 Dec29 Dec01 Nov17 Nov07 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20    
7  BIG HAZEL Jan18 Dec27 Nov29 Nov10 Oct06 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 20.00    
 
AQU-5   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOLD VICTORY Feb13 Feb01 Jan03 Nov24 Oct19 (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
SCR  TONED UP Jan30 Jan12 Oct19 Aug01 Jul11 (kantarmaci ilka)VIVES SOFIA 118 10.00    
2  DR. KRAFT Jan23 Dec14 Nov23 Aug25 Aug01 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
3  PRAETORIAN GUARD Jan29 Dec16 Nov05 Oct22 Sep21 (linder louis )OCASIO M 123 8.00    
4  GOOD SKATE Jun08 Apr28 Mar21 Feb03 Jan07 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
5  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Feb13 Jan23 Dec28 Nov15 Oct12 (abreu fernand)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 15% 5.80    
6  CLEVER FOREVER May24 Apr26 Mar22 Feb29 Feb04 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Feb13 Nov15 Sep26 Aug23 May09 (barrera oscar )COA J 123 10.00    
 
AQU-6   02/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NIKKI BRAINBURST Jan16 Nov25 Oct20 Sep26 Aug23 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 5.00    
2  MY ANGEL Feb07 Jan24 Dec13 Mar18 Feb11 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.00 15% 5.50    
3  EASTERN STAR Jan31 Jan12 May11 Apr13 Mar22 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  SHE'S A NATURAL Feb07 Jan12 Dec01 Nov16 Nov07 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 125 12.00    
5  HEAVENS LEE Dec06         (levine bruc)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SECRET FIRE Feb07         (bhigr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
7  MISS UPROAR Jan16 Dec29 Nov17 Oct12 Apr07 (abreu f)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
SCR  SPUN SIZE Jan01 Dec26 Dec01     (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
9  GOOD MISSION Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 Nov17 Aug28 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-7   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKSON'S DIXIE Jan10 Jan01 Dec14 Nov21 Nov07 (goberdhan chan)CHANDRA PREM 111 15.00 6% 15.80    
2  DOLOMITE Jan17 Aug25 Jul25 Dec02 Oct22 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.20 55% 0.80    
3  FAST AND FRISKY Jan17 Dec15 May25 Apr14 Mar14 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
4  MONETARY MONARCH Feb06 Jan12 Dec13 Nov22 Jan05 (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  KRYSTALHEIR Dec07 Nov18 Oct29 Oct10 Sep13 (coffey m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 50.00    
6  BERNT AGAIN Jan17 Nov15 Aug22 Jul24 Jan28 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  RACING COLORS Jan17 Jan02 Dec07 Nov03 Oct10 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 121 12.00    
8  P MUTTER PICKLE Jan12 Dec07 Jun09 Dec14 Nov19 (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 17% 4.70    
9  KHALI MAGIC Jan05 Nov23 Nov03 Oct06 Jun20 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50    
 
AQU-8   02/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOTTISH STORM Jan16 Oct20       (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 122 3.50    
  (by MITOLE out of WARM BREEZE by WILLIAMSTOWN)
1A  BADGE OF WAR Jan01 Nov13 Nov08 Oct18 Sep08 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BROOCH by HALO)
2  MAJESTIC MICHAEL Mar09 May20 Apr21     (green )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 41% 1.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of EMILY B by SMART STRIKE)
3  CUANDO Oct05 Sep01 Aug15 Jul06 Jun15 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
4  ATROCIOUS Feb10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 Aug24 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FIFTYSHADESOFHAY by PULPIT)
SCR  TIMING DIFFERENCE Jan26 Feb18 Dec31 Nov15   (brown ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BERNADREAMY by BERNARDINI)
6  GOOD AS HE GETS Jan26 Nov29 Nov01 Oct12 Sep14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BROWN EYED WOMAN by DE NIRO)
7  STURDY Mar09 Feb24 Oct27 Sep01   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 8% 11.20    
  (by MITOLE out of HOLIDAYS SARATOGA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  GOLDEN SYMPHONY Dec27 Dec04 Nov17 Oct24 Aug29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SOUND THE TRUMPETS by BERNARDINI)
9  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Dec27 Nov30 Mar24 Mar03 Jan27 (pregman j)CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MISSISSIPPI SOUND by UNION RAGS)
10  EGYPT Jan26 May19 Apr09 Mar08 Dec08 (de hor)RIVERA R 122 12.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.