Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - January 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-2   EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $13.20 $7.20 120%
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-5-3 $23.75 $20.75 692%
AQU-3   EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $7.10 $1.10 18%
AQU-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $20.00 $14.00 233%
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $30.50 $24.50 408%
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-1 $28.50 $19.50 217%
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(2/6/3)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00  1-6-1 $48.50 $21.50 80%
AQU-5   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.50 $1.50 25%
    DD (3/2/1)-(7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-7 $48.25 $39.25 436%
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(3/2/1)-(7/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00  6-1-7 $113.50 $86.50 320%
    PK4 (1/3/5)-(2/6/3)-(3/2/1)-(7/1/5) 81 $0.50 $40.50  1/2-6-1-7 $122.00 $81.50 201%
AQU-8   WIN (5/8/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $12.40 $2.40 24%
    TRI (5/8/4/1/3)-(5/8/4/1/3)-(5/8/4/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-8-5 $40.37 $10.37 35%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:14     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKIBLE 1 4 1nk 3   1 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 1.20  
M G DASH 4 2 2nk 1nk   33 2 (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.65 P
REAL ELEVE 5 1 41 2nk   2 35 (englehart jerem)VIVES SOFIA 122 3.50 27% 2.70 2.70 S
TINO IN TOGA 3 3 57 57   4 4 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 12.00 13.70  
KLIMT MASTER 2 5 3½ 4   512½ 517¾ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 122 15.00 6% 16.10 29.00  
SCR  SPIRIT DRAGON               (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 122 2.00    
 
AQU-2   01/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAND DEVIL 1 1 2½ 2nk 1 18 112½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80 65% 0.50 0.35 W
CORVUS 4 2 5 5 56 310 212½ (jimene)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 23.00 P
BUTTAH 2 3 43 43 32 410 315 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 10.00 5% 18.60 12.80 S
SMILENSAYCHEESE 5 5 31 3 2 28 415¾ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 2.20  
MCDIESEL 3 4 1½ 1nk 44 513½ 525 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 31.50  
SCR  NEW MATTHEW               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
 
AQU-3   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR STRIDE 5 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 27% 2.70 1.55 W
NEUSCHWANSTEIN 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 P
MIDNIGHT WORKER 4 2 31 3   3 3 (legall ricar)HARKIE K 123 15.00 24.50  
GOOD REUNION 2 4 52 4   4 4 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
1A  GIANT'S FIRE 3 5 4 5   510 513¾ (potts wayne)COA J 123 4.00 9.60  
MY COOL HAND LUKE 6 6 617 622¼   628 626¾ (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 12.00 17.30  
SCR  DEVIL'S CAY               (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 4.00    
SCR  MUAZARAH               (trites land)OLVER MADISON 123 6.00    
 
AQU-4   01/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE AND FORGOTTEN 5 3 42 5 4 31 1¼ (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 5% 19.00 9.00 W
MALU 1 1 2nk 2nk 3.2 2½ 2¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 25% 3.00 1.20 P
RACING COLORS 3 5 5 42 1nk 1½ 3¼ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 121 12.00 17.70  
ELLIPTIC (IRE) 2 2 1nk 1nk 2nk 41 4 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 52% 0.90 0.80  
CARBON 4 4 3½ 3½ 5 5 5 (samsu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 24.50  
SCR  BERNT AGAIN               (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
SCR  MOSIENKO               (kantarma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 6.00    
 
AQU-5   01/02/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:132     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURN RUBBER 7 6 4¾ 4   1½ 1 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 50% 1.00 2.75 W
STORMY'S DREAMING 3 7 7 6   63 2 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 4.90  
WIND DANCER 4 5 6 5   31 3 (donk david)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 S
1A  DRIVE THRU 6 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 4 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 122 5.00 14% 6.10 2.65  
BREAK THE FALL 5 2 3.2 3.2   41 5 (de paz )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 1.40 1.95  
SOLO FLIGHT 2 3 5 7   5 6 (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 2.65  
MAXIMUS MONSTER 1 4 1nk 1nk   76 714½ (reynolds p)RIVERA R 122 20.00 41.00  
SCR  SICILIANAIRE               (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 8.00    
 
AQU-6   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:12     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORARY DEGREE 3 4 3 32   3½ 1 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 1.60  
QUICK HAMMER 6 1 12 1½   1nk 2 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 2.65  
AIR SHOW 5 5 22 2½   2nk 3 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.80 1.80  
UNION LIGHTS 1 3 4 42   42 4 (toscano )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00 21% 3.70 11.00  
DADDY KNOWS 4 2 5 57   5 5 (schettino d)MARTINEZ R 121 12.00 26% 2.90 13.60  
ALWAYS CHARMING 2 6 6 68   6 617½ (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 27.25  
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER               (bhigroog)VILLA FAVINHO 121 20.00    
 
AQU-7   01/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. BENEDICTS PREP 4 3 11 1nk   1 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.60 65% 0.50 0.20 W
RACHEL'S ROCK 1 6 4 4   3 2 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 3.35  
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 6 2 5 31   2 3 (cash russe)RIVERA R 121 10.00 33.00  
EARLY EDITION 2 5 6 67   5 49 (mcmullin)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00 5% 19.00 63.75  
SIMPLY STATED 5 1 21 2nk   46 510½ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 5% 18.60 17.50  
SECURITY CODE 3 4 3 53   610 613 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 21.30  
 
AQU-8   01/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:114 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENGE 1 1 2nk 1½ 1nk 12 1 (d'alessa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
MR. SWAGGER 8 7 6 3 3 33 2 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 14% 6.40 1.95 P
WINTER'S GHOST 5 2 1nk 2½ 2nk 22 3 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50 51% 1.00 7.40 S
PRINCE OF JOY 6 10 9 7 54 45 4 (legall r)DAVIS A 121 30.00 58.75  
FRONT MAN 4 6 8 9 7 5 511¼ (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00 8% 12.20 8.40  
HIGHER QUALITY 3 9 10 1011¼ 911¼ 911 611½ (potts wayn)RIVERA R 121 12.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
BECAUSE THE NIGHT 2 8 7 64 8 79 714 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 3.40  
10  BAR FOURTEEN 10 3 3.2 4 43 6 815¾ (reynolds patric)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00 21.20  
PIPES AND DRUMS 7 4 5 5 6 810½ 919 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.00 6.00  
CO CONSPIRATOR 9 5 4¾ 8 1014¾ 1017 1022½ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 121 30.00 91.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.