Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - February 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6 $26.75 $20.75 346%
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-6-3 $28.00 $25.00 833%
AQU-2   DD (3/6/4)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-2 $17.20 $8.20 91%
AQU-3   PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00  4-2-3 $52.50 $25.50 94%
AQU-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.30 $1.30 22%
    DD (2/1/4/6)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $25.50 $13.50 113%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:124     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARBOROUGH FAIR 4 1 32 32   13 1 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 5% 18.20 5.20 W
SHE'S WICKED SMART 6 2 21 2½   23 2 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 122 2.50 12% 7.10 3.35 P
YO LEVEN 3 5 54 55   44 3 (morey w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 2.00 62% 0.60 1.50 S
LUMENIQUE 5 4 42 4   57 4 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 4.80  
CAJUNETTE 1 3 11 1½   33 5 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 3.75  
GOULDIAN 2 6 6 611½   622 632¾ (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 34.25  
 
AQU-2   02/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:13 1:263   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION SUIT 2 1 1 11 11 12 1½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 62% 0.60 1.15 W
KAREN'S HONOR 3 4 2 21 21 22 2½ (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 4.40  
CARBON 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 (samsund)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30 S
MITI FAST FLOWER 4 2 34 5 5 4 4 (deiter ly)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
LADY LAOBAN 1 3 4 43 4 57 512 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 123 2.50 2.15  
SCR  LA GROTTE               (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
 
AQU-3   02/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:121     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERIC FROM MIAMI 3 3 22 22   1 110½ (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 15% 5.60 1.45 W
CAMM' DUKE 1 2 12 12   2 210½ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 44% 1.30 1.10 P
ALPHA SONNY 5 1 3 35   3 314½ (ferraro james )BROWN DALTON 123 10.00 8.80  
SKELLIG ISLAND 2 4 54 512½   513½ 415¼ (reynolds pa)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 30.00 24.50  
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 4 5 44 48   48 515½ (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 123 8.00 11% 7.70 4.70  
SCR  AINT NO JOKE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00    
 
AQU-4   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:22 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUAZARAH 5 1 1 1   1 1 (trites lands)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 5.40  
J D FACTOR 3 4 55 54   3 2 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 36% 1.80 0.95 P
NEUSCHWANSTEIN 2 3 45 4   2 35 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 3.55  
I GOT BUSTED 4 2 3 3   4 415 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 2.50 4.30  
JAVA BUZZ 1 5 2 2   57 520 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 20% 4.00 6.70  
SCR  MIDNIGHT WORKER               (legall )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   02/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:14 1:273   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY AND GORGEOUS 1 6 3 34 21 2 1hd (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.50 25% 3.10 2.90 W
LOOKING FOR GINNY 3 4 7 46 45 34 2hd (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 5.80  
DANNEEL 7 1 1 1 11 1 3 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 2.50 3.65  
HAYES BAY 5 2 2 2 3 4 4 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 3.00  
BARSTOOL BABE 2 5 43 7 58 510½ 514½ (rice linda)LUZZI J 122 3.00 50% 1.00 2.80  
EXOTIC CAT 4 7 6 5 6 611 616 (pregman joh)MARTINEZ R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
SHERMAN'S MARLIN 6 3 53 6 718½ 721 732½ (schettino domi)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
 
AQU-6   02/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:114 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTERNATE REALITY 3 4 32 3.2 1nk 1½ 1¾ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 27% 2.70 2.65 W
1A  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 6 5 2½ 1nk 2nk 2½ 2¾ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60 1.05  
BOLD VICTORY 7 6 6 6 68 5 39 (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
UNBRIDLED BOMBER 2 7 53 4¾ 43 3 411¼ (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 5.50  
WHITE SERIES 4 2 4 5 56 6 514 (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 28.25  
UNINVITED GUEST 1 3 7 711¼ 711½ 712½ 618 (ness j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 1.60 1.05  
SUERTE 5 1 1½ 2nk 3 47 718¼ (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 25% 2.90 7.60  
 
AQU-7   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL BE FAMOUS 3 2 2nk 1   14 1 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 2.35  
FLOGE 4 3 4 4   3 2 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 23% 3.40 2.40 P
MY FIRST LOVE 2 4 31 2   24 34 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 44% 1.30 1.75 S
FABULOUS FOX 1 1 1nk 33   4 411½ (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 3.05  
SCR  COLLECT DATTT               (johnston rob)OLVER MADISON 121 12.00    
SCR  KITTEN'S APPEAL               (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00    
SCR  WILLFUL DESIRE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40    
 
AQU-8   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:222 :47 :60     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE EYED SCOUT 2 1 21 1nk   1nk 1 (abreu r)COA J 120 0.80 68% 0.50 0.30 W
TURBO TRAIN 5 5 3 2nk   2nk 2 (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.10 P
OBSERVER 4 4 5 4   3 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 7.00  
MARY IN THE IRONS 6 6 77 610   6 4 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
LADY OF MERCIA 7 7 42 55   5 513¾ (keithan )VILLA FAVINHO 120 20.00 40.25  
SKY TRAVEL 3 2 11 32   47 617 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 8% 11.00 12.90  
JE T'ADORE 1 3 6 711½   713¾ 721½ (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 11.60  
SCR  ALYVIA MAVIS               (gallimore t)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
SCR  JOEVIA'S DIVA               (giglio g)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.