Handicappers' Racing Form
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Aqueduct
Thursday - February 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-3   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-8   Win (4/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
AQU-1   02/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUNETTE Dec19 Nov29 Sep22 Sep01 Aug09 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00    
2  GOULDIAN Jan24 Jan03 Oct25 Oct13 Sep06 (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
3  YO LEVEN Jan10 Dec11 Nov06 Oct16 Sep19 (morey wil)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 2.00 62% 0.60    
4  SCARBOROUGH FAIR Dec27 Sep07 Aug11     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 5% 18.20    
5  LUMENIQUE Apr19 Mar10 Feb11     (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
6  SHE'S WICKED SMART Jan24 Dec15 Nov10 Aug02 Jun06 (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 122 2.50 12% 7.10    
 
AQU-2   02/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LAOBAN Jan18 Nov29 Nov01 Oct13 Sep14 (duggan david)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
2  UNION SUIT Feb06 Oct26 Oct04 Aug22 Jul27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 62% 0.60    
3  KAREN'S HONOR Jan23 Jan05 Dec12 Nov17 Sep28 (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
4  MITI FAST FLOWER Jan23 Nov06 Oct05 Sep19 Aug29 (deiter lynn)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA GROTTE Feb02 Jan18 Dec27 Nov20 Nov06 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
6  CARBON Jan23 Jan12 Jan02 Dec14 Nov22 (samsundar)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   02/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMM' DUKE Jan19 Dec27 Nov01 Oct04 Aug09 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
2  SKELLIG ISLAND Jan18 Dec28 Oct12 Oct05 Aug04 (reynolds patr)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 30.00    
3  ERIC FROM MIAMI Jan18 Jan01 Nov11 Sep01 Aug06 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  AINT NO JOKE Jan26 Oct10 Sep08 Nov25 Nov02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.00    
5  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Jan19 Jan03 Nov29 Nov03 Oct04 (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 123 8.00 11% 7.70    
6  ALPHA SONNY Jan19 Dec15 Nov29 Nov11 Oct28 (ferraro w)BROWN DALTON 123 10.00    
 
AQU-4   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAVA BUZZ Jan11 Nov24 Oct25 Sep15 Aug14 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
2  NEUSCHWANSTEIN Jan26 Jan02 Nov24 Oct25 Oct13 (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 3.00    
3  J D FACTOR Jan16 Dec28 Nov29 Oct10 Sep21 (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 36% 1.80    
4  I GOT BUSTED Jan11 Nov20 Oct14 Sep30 Feb19 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 2.50    
5  MIDNIGHT WORKER Jan26 Jan02 Dec12 Nov15 Oct10 (legall ri)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MUAZARAH Jan11 Dec27 Dec01 Nov17 Oct31 (trites lands)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
 
AQU-5   02/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Jan24 Jan01 Nov10 Oct13 Sep02 (giddings )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.50 25% 3.10    
2  BARSTOOL BABE Jul17 Jun29 Jun05 May03 Mar29 (rice linda)LUZZI J 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  LOOKING FOR GINNY Jan24 Dec15 Nov16 Aug16 Jul17 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
4  EXOTIC CAT Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 Oct19 (pregman john )MARTINEZ R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HAYES BAY Jan24 Oct13 Aug18 Aug01 Aug17 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
6  SHERMAN'S MARLIN Jan24 Dec13 Nov09 Oct20   (schettino domini)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DANNEEL Nov25 Nov12 Jun30 Jun16 May19 (schauer )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 2.50    
 
AQU-6   02/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNINVITED GUEST Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 Sep27 Sep04 (ness jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 1.60    
1A  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jan23 Dec28 Nov15 Oct12 Sep20 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60    
2  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Nov15 Sep26 Aug23 May09 Mar18 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
3  ALTERNATE REALITY Nov08 Oct19 Oct05 Sep19 Jul20 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  WHITE SERIES Jan03 Dec14 Nov01 Sep20 Aug25 (sanchez-sa)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00    
5  SUERTE Jan23 Jan13 Nov08 Oct17 Sep13 (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 10.00 25% 2.90    
6  BOLD VICTORY Feb01 Jan03 Nov24 Oct19 Sep13 (kantarmaci ilkay)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS FOX Jan04 Dec07 Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00    
2  MY FIRST LOVE Jan30 Dec14 Nov21 Oct10 Sep15 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  COLLECT DATTT Jan25 Nov05 Sep26 Sep10 Sep02 (johnston rob)OLVER MADISON 121 12.00    
4  WILL BE FAMOUS Jan23 Jan05 Jul18 Jun22 May12 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
SCR  KITTEN'S APPEAL Dec06 Sep27 Aug24 Jul20 May26 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00    
6  FLOGE Jan14 Dec08 Nov30 Nov15 Oct20 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  WILLFUL DESIRE Feb07 Jan03 Dec08 Aug14 Jul07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40    
 
AQU-8   02/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALYVIA MAVIS Jan28 Dec30 Dec12 Nov26 Nov18 (gallimore tre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
SCR  JOEVIA'S DIVA Jan23         (giglio gin)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
3  JE T'ADORE Nov16         (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
4  BLUE EYED SCOUT Dec28 Nov16 Sep20 Aug30   (abreu r)COA J 120 0.80 68% 0.50    
5  SKY TRAVEL         (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 8% 11.00    
6  OBSERVER Jan05 Dec07       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
7  TURBO TRAIN         (d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MARY IN THE IRONS         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  LADY OF MERCIA Jan30 Nov16       (keithan ra)VILLA FAVINHO 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.