Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-4   EXA (6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-1 $31.50 $19.50 163%
    TRI (6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-1-6 $41.87 $29.87 249%
AQU-5   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $8.80 $4.80 120%
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-3 $13.60 $9.60 240%
    DD (6/8/3/1)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-6 $9.50 $1.50 19%
AQU-8   EXA (8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-7 $13.90 $1.90 16%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIGHT THOUGHTS 3 4 11 1nk   1½ 1¼ (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 7.20  
4  THREE NINES FINE 4 3 21 2nk   2½ 2¼ (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 3.00 2.40  
1  TALE OF THE TAIL 1 5 32 31   35½ 36½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 62% 0.60 1.95 S
2  JOEVIA'S DIVA 2 6 620 619   619½ 416¼ (giglio g)DAVIS A 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
6  ROYAL EVENT 6 2 55 57   415½ 516¼ (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 5.60  
5  HATTIE CARROLL 5 1 43½ 46   518 625½ (kimmel c)LUZZI J 120 2.50 13% 6.80 3.10  
 
AQU-2   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY GAL 1 2 21 42   2½ 12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 1.40  
  (by ARMY MULE out of RENEE'S QUEEN by AFTER MARKET)
4  GIULIANA'S DREAM 4 1 11 11   1½ 22 (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 1.80 1.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of BULLISH SENTIMENT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  TRULLI MAGIC 3 4 31 21   31½ 35½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 41% 1.50 2.60 S
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MAKENNAS MAGIC by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  PHONECALLTOHEAVEN 2 3 42 31½   42½ 410¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
  (by DIALED IN out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  KARLEY B               (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 2.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of KARLEY O by LIAM'S MAP)
SCR  RARE SOCIETY               (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
AQU-3   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:124 1:262   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FIND YOUR JOY 2 4 2nk 2½ 11 14½ 13½ (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 6.80  
5  KAREN'S HONOR 5 6 65¼ 510 33 24½ 23½ (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 4.50  
4  CARBON 4 1 32½ 36½ 44 48 39¾ (samsund)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 5.20  
3  DOLCE SERA 3 7 75¼ 47½ 55 510 410½ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
1  STREET JAM 1 5 1nk 1½ 21 37½ 510¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 71% 0.40 0.95  
7  LAST GLORY 8 3 53¼ 611½ 69 613 613¾ (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 123 5.00 ★ 18.00  
6  MITI FAST FLOWER 6 8 87¾ 712½ 712½ 714½ 714 (deiter l)COA J 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
1A  BELLE OF THE BALL 7 2 42¾ 8100 8100 8100 8100 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.40 0.95  
 
AQU-4   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13 1:26   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHE'S FASCINATING 8 4 31½ 32 2nk 12 18¼ (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 12% 7.60 2.45 W
  (by MINESHAFT out of CHARMEER by CANDY RIDE)
1  STONE COLD KELLY 1 8 43 42½ 34½ 37 28¼ (lawrence jame)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 19.40 P
  (by LAOBAN out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  LOVE YOU MORE 6 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 22 38¾ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 54% 0.80 1.15 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of KEEN MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  LUCKFORYOU 5 5 75¾ 75 57 410 415 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 120 15.00 13.60  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
7  STAND THE RAIN 7 6 63¼ 64 45½ 511 516¼ (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.50 5.60  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SUPER SURPRISE by GIANT SURPRISE)
3  SECURITY DETAIL 3 2 53 53½ 78¼ 613½ 621¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 7% 12.80 8.10  
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of NIGHT OWL by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4  PIONUS 4 7 87¾ 86½ 88¾ 714 723¾ (barrera oscar )CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00 16.50  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
2  RASTA GIRL 2 1 1½ 1½ 67¼ 816 833¾ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00 86.75  
  (by KEEN ICE out of ON A ROLL by TWO DAVIDS)
 
AQU-5   01/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:124 1:394   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOLD ENDEAVOR 5 4 410 48½ 42½ 1½ 16¾ (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.00 35% 1.90 3.40 W
3  PROVE WORTHY 3 5 510½ 58½ 55 43½ 26¾ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 ★ 1.45 P
1  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 1 1 1nk 11 1½ 2½ 37 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50 2.45  
5  CONFABULATION 4 2 2nk 21 2½ 3½ 47 (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 4.50  
2  SUERTE 2 3 32 32 32½ 59½ 523 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 20% 4.00 9.90  
SCR  SUPREME BEING               (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  TOUGH TICKETS               (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 10.00    
 
AQU-6   01/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 3 4 34 42¼   1nk 13¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 0.80  
6  PRINCE OF JOY 5 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 23¼ (legall r)DAVIS A 121 20.00 12.80  
1  BLAKE B. 1 2 44½ 32   31 34 (gia)VAZQUEZ GIAN 111 5.00 33% 2.00 2.05 S
2  UNION LIGHTS 2 5 55 52¾   43½ 49¼ (toscano )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00 28% 2.60 7.70  
5  RETAIL MAN 4 6 66 66¼   54 59¾ (johnston rob)CIVACI SAHIN 123 15.00 18.80  
8  BAR FOURTEEN 6 1 1nk 1nk   64¼ 624½ (reynolds patric)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00 9% 9.70 11.30  
SCR  AIR SHOW               (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00    
SCR  FRONT MAN               (kantarmaci ilka)VIVES SOFIA 121 12.00    
 
AQU-7   01/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPENCER TIARA 2 5 1nk 1nk   13 1½ (merryman elizab)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 9.90  
2  GRAMMY GIRL 1 8 41¼ 41¼   23 2½ (de hor)RIVERA R 123 8.00 6% 14.50 4.90 P
4  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS 3 4 52¼ 53¾   56 36¾ (chicha)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 10% 9.00 4.10 S
5  GRACEFUL ROSE 5 7 88¾ 810¾   710½ 47¾ (gorham michael )MENA E 121 10.00 9% 10.20 12.20  
7  WILL BE FAMOUS 7 2 2nk 2nk   45 57¾ (toscano t)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00 16.60  
1  DESPO'S DREAM 4 6 63¾ 77¾   68½ 69¾ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 50% 1.00 0.90  
8  SPIRITUAL LADY 8 1 31 31   34½ 711¾ (ferraro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 11.70  
1A  PAM PAM 6 3 73¾ 67¼   811½ 813½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 ★ 0.90  
SCR  DAZZY               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
 
AQU-8   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:121 1:253   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHADOW DRAGON 8 4 2nk 2½ 1½ 11 1nk (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.50 39% 1.60 2.05 W
7  LAND D'ORO 7 3 3½ 42 32½ 43½ 2nk (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 5% 17.90 2.85 P
3  DR. KRAFT 3 1 62¾ 53 53 33½ 32¾ (englehart chri)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 8.30  
6  MIGHTY ATLAS 6 2 1nk 1½ 2½ 21 43¼ (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 33% 2.00 5.90  
5  JACKSON HEIGHTS 5 8 87¼ 75¾ 66½ 67½ 53¾ (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
2  ROCK THE WEEKEND 2 7 73¾ 86¼ 87¾ 88¼ 66 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00 11.90  
1  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 1 5 52½ 63¼ 76¾ 78 77½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 34.75  
4  AMEDEUS MUSIC 4 6 41 32 43 57 810 (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50 4.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.