Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(3/2)-(1/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/3/6)-(6/8/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/7/3/6)-(1/7/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(6/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(6/8/3/1)-(6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1)-(6/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/3/1)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/1)-(6/2)-(1/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(1/2/8)-(1/4/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/8)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8)-(1/4/5/2)-(8/6/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/2)-(8/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF THE TAIL Dec29 Dec07       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 62% 0.60    
2  JOEVIA'S DIVA         (giglio g)DAVIS A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIGHT THOUGHTS Jan01 Nov06       (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
4  THREE NINES FINE Dec28         (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 3.00    
5  HATTIE CARROLL Dec28 Nov16       (kimmel c)LUZZI J 120 2.50 13% 6.80    
6  ROYAL EVENT Nov30         (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00    
 
AQU-2   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY GAL         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of RENEE'S QUEEN by AFTER MARKET)
2  PHONECALLTOHEAVEN Dec14 Nov22 Oct25     (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  TRULLI MAGIC Dec14 Nov16       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 41% 1.50    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of MAKENNAS MAGIC by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  GIULIANA'S DREAM Jan10         (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 1.80    
  (by LAOBAN out of BULLISH SENTIMENT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  RARE SOCIETY         (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  KARLEY B         (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 2.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of KARLEY O by LIAM'S MAP)
 
AQU-3   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET JAM Jan05 Dec12 Nov09 Sep28 Oct14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 71% 0.40    
1A  BELLE OF THE BALL Jan10 Nov17 Nov09 Oct20 Aug17 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.40    
2  FIND YOUR JOY Jan05 Dec12 Nov17 Oct18 Aug26 (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
3  DOLCE SERA Jan05 Dec12 Nov17 Oct12 Sep28 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CARBON Jan12 Jan02 Dec14 Nov22 Nov07 (samsund)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00    
5  KAREN'S HONOR Jan05 Dec12 Nov17 Sep28 Aug16 (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
6  MITI FAST FLOWER Nov06 Oct05 Sep19 Aug29 Jul26 (deiter l)COA J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LAST GLORY Jan10 Dec15 Nov10 Oct24 Sep27 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 123 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE COLD KELLY         (lawrence jame)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  RASTA GIRL Dec29 Oct24       (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ON A ROLL by TWO DAVIDS)
3  SECURITY DETAIL Nov24         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 7% 12.80    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of NIGHT OWL by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4  PIONUS Nov14 Oct03       (barrera oscar )CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BEACH WALTZ by TREASURE BEACH (GB))
5  LUCKFORYOU Dec13 Aug22 Jul04 Jun14 May16 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SCAT MAGGIE by SCAT DADDY)
6  LOVE YOU MORE Dec08         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 54% 0.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of KEEN MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  STAND THE RAIN Dec27         (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SUPER SURPRISE by GIANT SURPRISE)
8  SHE'S FASCINATING Nov21 Oct06       (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 12% 7.60    
  (by MINESHAFT out of CHARMEER by CANDY RIDE)
 
AQU-5   01/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Dec28 Nov15 Oct12 Sep20 Jul31 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 2.50    
2  SUERTE Jan13 Nov08 Oct17 Sep13 Aug21 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
3  PROVE WORTHY Dec12 Oct19 Jul14 Jun06 May03 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  TOUGH TICKETS May25 May10 Apr09 Nov10 Oct18 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 10.00    
5  CONFABULATION Dec28 Nov29 Nov07 Oct17 Aug31 (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50    
6  BOLD ENDEAVOR Jan03 Nov08 Jan27 Dec29 Nov26 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  SUPREME BEING Jan08 Dec08 Nov27 Oct21 Sep25 (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
 
AQU-6   01/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKE B. Dec15 Nov16 Oct19 Sep23 Jun21 (gia)VAZQUEZ GIAN 111 5.00 33% 2.00    
2  UNION LIGHTS Jan02 Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 Oct01 (toscano )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  FRONT MAN Jan02 Dec06 Nov09 Nov02 Oct05 (kantarmaci ilka)VIVES SOFIA 121 12.00    
4  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Dec14 Nov24 Nov14 Oct19 Oct03 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40    
5  RETAIL MAN Dec15 Nov19 Oct30 Oct01 Sep18 (johnston rob)CIVACI SAHIN 123 15.00    
6  PRINCE OF JOY Jan02 Dec15 Dec06 Nov14 Oct11 (legall r)DAVIS A 121 20.00    
SCR  AIR SHOW Jan02 Dec13 Nov01 Oct05 Sep14 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00    
8  BAR FOURTEEN Jan02 Dec15 Oct19 Oct10 Sep15 (reynolds patric)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00 9% 9.70    
 
AQU-7   01/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESPO'S DREAM Oct16 Sep25 Aug18 Jul21 Jun19 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 50% 1.00    
1A  PAM PAM Jan12 Dec01 Oct06 Aug30 Jul22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 ★    
2  GRAMMY GIRL Dec15 Aug07 Jul06 Jun08 May11 (de hor)RIVERA R 123 8.00 6% 14.50    
3  SPENCER TIARA Dec15 Oct19 Sep21 Aug24 Jul27 (merryman elizab)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
4  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Dec01 Nov21 Jul15 Jun14 Jun09 (chicha)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 10% 9.00    
5  GRACEFUL ROSE Dec29 Dec13 Nov21 Jul21 Jul04 (gorham michael )MENA E 121 10.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  DAZZY Jan08 Dec29 Dec08 Nov18 Oct23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
7  WILL BE FAMOUS Jan05 Jul18 Jun22 May12 Apr07 (toscano t)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00    
8  SPIRITUAL LADY Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 Oct12 Sep02 (ferraro)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
 
AQU-8   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Jan16 Nov08 Oct17 Sep13 Aug30 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
2  ROCK THE WEEKEND Dec28 Nov23 Oct13 Sep29 Jul26 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00    
3  DR. KRAFT Dec14 Nov23 Aug25 Aug01 Jun27 (englehart chri)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00    
4  AMEDEUS MUSIC Dec06 Oct05 Feb29 Feb02 Jan11 (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50    
5  JACKSON HEIGHTS Dec07 Nov10 Oct12 Sep20 Aug17 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIGHTY ATLAS Dec14 Nov22 Sep28 Aug30 Jun27 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
7  LAND D'ORO Nov23 Sep14 Jun06 Apr21 Mar24 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 5% 17.90    
8  SHADOW DRAGON Dec14 Nov22 Sep28 Aug01 Jun27 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.