Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-1 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-1-2 $18.50 $15.50 517%
AQU-3   EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-2 $12.50 $0.50 4%
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(4/6/2)-(1/2/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00  5-4-6 $36.75 $0.75 2%
AQU-7   TRI (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-3-1 $16.25 $4.25 35%
    SFT (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-3-1-7 $10.27 $7.87 328%
AQU-8   DD (3/4/1/7)-(5/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-5 $16.80 $0.80 5%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOOKS FIRST 5 1 31 3½   11 14¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 28% 2.60 0.85 W
1  DAT DARES RIGHT 1 4 42½ 42   32½ 24¼ (keithan racha)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00 5% 19.00 20.40 P
2  SHORT SHIFT (IRE) 2 3 1nk 1½   21 38¼ (giangi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 1.80 32% 2.10 1.65 S
4  SHAMAN PRINCESS 4 2 2nk 2½   43 48¾ (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 3.00 5.30  
3  TROUBLED LUCK 3 5 53 52½   57 511½ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 11.70  
 
AQU-2   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:223 :452 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOP GUNNER 4 1 11 12   12½ 14¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 39% 1.60 1.45 W
5  SURVEILLANCE 5 3 32½ 22   22½ 24¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 2.25  
6  CLEAR THE AIR 6 5 21 33½   49 312½ (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 123 1.80 21% 3.80 3.95 S
1  SCOOT DADDY 1 4 53½ 44½   38½ 413¾ (abreu fern)RIVERA R 123 4.00 3.65  
2  FIVE DREAMS 2 2 43 57½   512 516¾ (magana j)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
3  MORE VINO 3 6 66 612½   618 620½ (goberdhan chand)DAVIS KATIE 121 50.00 34.50  
 
AQU-3   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:124 1:261   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GLINT 5 3 2½ 21 1½ 13 13 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 10% 8.70 2.25 W
2  SCOTTISH STORM 7 1 51½ 32 42 43½ 23 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.60 25% 2.90 2.85 P
5  TRUE CONNECTION 4 4 31 42½ 3½ 23 34¼ (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 8.00 9.40  
4  FINDANAME 2 7 712½ 714 65½ 65¼ 44¼ (ferraro antho)DIAZ J 122 30.00 66.75  
1  DARK DEVIL 3 5 62½ 64 53 55 54¾ (rod)VAZQUEZ GIAN 112 1.40 43% 1.30 1.60  
3  DIALBOLICO 1 6 1½ 11 2½ 33½ 67¼ (antonucci jena)COA J 122 12.00 17.00  
7  BAD BOY BUTCH 6 2 41 52½ 77 711¼ 715 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
SCR  AINT NO JOKE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60    
SCR  GOOD AS HE GETS               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.40    
 
AQU-4   01/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:15 1:402   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOLOMIO 1 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 11½ 1¾ (baker charlton)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.50 3.80  
6  NEURAL NETWORK 6 1 41½ 41¼ 52¼ 31½ 2¾ (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50 17% 4.90 9.30 P
5  B D SAINTS 5 7 52½ 31 31½ 21½ 31¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 123 2.50 18% 4.70 3.80 S
2  KAZ SUGAR BANK 2 4 63 73½ 74¾ 75¼ 43½ (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 15.00 38.25  
7  RUSSIAN REALM 7 5 73¼ 63¼ 63¼ 53¼ 54 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 123 3.00 38% 1.60 2.25  
4  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 4 3 31½ 51¼ 42 43 66 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
3  QUIET WISDOM 3 6 2½ 2nk 2nk 63¾ 77¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 2.25  
 
AQU-5   01/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:223 :454       1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 1 5 11½ 11½   15 12 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 6.40  
2  STOLEN MAGIC 2 7 67½ 65   37 22 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.80 64% 0.60 0.80 P
5  J D FACTOR 4 2 21½ 42½   48 36¾ (barker e)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.30 S
8  HAVE YOU HEARD 7 4 53½ 21½   25 46¾ (maker j)VIVES SOFIA 123 6.00 5.80  
4  FORREST CITY 3 6 77¾ 76½   612 57¼ (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
6  LIFE AND LIGHT 5 1 31½ 32½   58½ 610 (pringle ed)RIVERA R 123 30.00 26.50  
7  WAKE SURF 6 3 43 54   713½ 715¾ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 14% 6.20 8.70  
SCR  CONFABULATION               (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
 
AQU-6   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:221 :452 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WHATCHATALKINABOUT 7 1 31½ 1nk   14½ 18 (ward a)CIVACI SAHIN 121 1.00 51% 1.00 0.70 W
3  AGGELOS THE GREAT 3 5 68½ 56¼   45 28 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 6.10  
2  ACOUSTIC AVE 2 2 43½ 42¾   24½ 38½ (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30 S
6  CALDO CANDY 6 7 2½ 3.2   35 48¾ (bond ja)COA J 121 8.00 7% 13.90 17.80  
5  HE'S GOT IT 5 4 58½ 66¾   66¾ 510½ (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 33.50  
4  LOTSA TROUBLE 4 6 712 713¾   712¾ 612¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 11.70  
1  YO BANANA BOY 1 3 1½ 2nk   56½ 717 (heath dest)RIVERA R 123 3.00 17% 4.80 3.35  
 
AQU-7   01/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:131 1:384   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PADDINGTON 4 2 21 21 21 2nk 12¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 15% 5.90 3.15 W
3  CASTLE ISLAND 3 1 11 11 11 1nk 22¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 43% 1.30 1.15 P
1  PRINCE OF CHILL 1 7 64½ 64¼ 33 36 39½ (padilla esteban)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 8% 11.60 11.00 S
7  PORTOS 7 6 75½ 76¾ 68 412½ 413¼ (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
6  ICE TIME 6 8 812 813¾ 814 516 520½ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 12.00 24.00  
5  BECAUSE THE NIGHT 5 3 54 54 78½ 820½ 621 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00 53.00  
8  ENGINEER EMPIRE 8 4 42 42 43 619½ 733¾ (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 4.20  
2  I SEE YOU LOOKIN 2 5 32 32 53½ 720 839¾ (sacco greg)RIVERA R 123 12.00 37.25  
 
AQU-8   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:123 1:253   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NILO'S ROSE 5 2 3½ 31 1nk 11½ 12½ (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 122 2.50 47% 1.10 2.80 W
2  HEAVENLY LIGHT 2 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 21½ 22½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 16% 5.30 1.40 P
4  HIGHER FORCE 4 3 41½ 42½ 41¾ 33 34½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 10.10  
6  NICK'S NOTION 6 8 76 77½ 78¾ 69 49 (bailes robert)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 14% 6.40 11.30  
3  FURRY FOX 3 1 1½ 1½ 3.2 43½ 59½ (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50 4.00  
1  MARILYN'S NY PRIDE 1 6 64 64½ 67¼ 712 612½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 44.00  
8  GAGA'S HAMSOME 8 4 53 54½ 52¼ 55½ 712¾ (barker edward )CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 8.00  
7  MISSELIOFWAR 7 7 86¼ 88 811¾ 813½ 817¾ (ibrahim )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 20.00 5% 19.00 66.25  
 
AQU-9   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DREAM ON CARA 8 8 68½ 53   24½ 1hd (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 4.80  
6  I'M KIDDING 5 5 11½ 11½   14½ 2hd (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 32% 2.10 1.30 P
5  MIA NIPOTINA 4 4 79½ 710   68½ 31¼ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 11% 8.40 9.40 S
8  MISS UPROAR 7 1 53 43   35½ 43¾ (abreu f)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 8.00 11.00  
7  BETTER BE SMART 6 7 813 815   811½ 56¼ (baker charlton)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00 14.10  
4  NIKKI BRAINBURST 3 3 32 21½   46½ 66¾ (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 12% 7.20 8.70  
2  CUPRITE 1 2 21½ 32   56½ 79¾ (donk david)VIVES SOFIA 122 6.00 23% 3.30 3.60  
3  EDDIES ROCKET 2 6 43 66   79 810 (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 122 30.00 42.00  
SCR  GOOD MISSION               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.