Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(4/6/2)-(1/2/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(1/2/6/7)-(7/5/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/7)-(7/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/7)-(7/5/6/4)-(2/7/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/4)-(2/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/4)-(2/7/4/5)-(7/1/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/5)-(7/1/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/5)-(7/1/6/2)-(3/4/1/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/2)-(3/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/2)-(3/4/1/7)-(5/2/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/7)-(5/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/7)-(5/2/6/7)-(6/2/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/7)-(6/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (6/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAT DARES RIGHT Dec08 Oct13 Apr05 Mar10 Nov11 (keithan racha)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHORT SHIFT (IRE) Dec08 Nov03 Jun11 Apr26 Jun25 (giangi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
3  TROUBLED LUCK Nov25 Nov04 Jul04 May25 May16 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00    
4  SHAMAN PRINCESS Nov20 Sep20 Aug30 Aug04 Dec14 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 3.00    
5  LOOKS FIRST Dec13 Nov16 Apr19 Mar09 Jul23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-2   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOT DADDY Dec12 Oct19 Sep22 Jun16 Mar24 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
2  FIVE DREAMS Dec14 Dec06 Nov01 Oct19 Sep20 (magana j)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MORE VINO Dec06 Nov21 Nov03 Oct19 Oct06 (goberdha)DAVIS A 121 50.00    
4  TOP GUNNER Dec28 Nov29 Oct26 Sep21 Aug04 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  SURVEILLANCE Nov24 Oct26 Sep02 Aug10 Jul26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
6  CLEAR THE AIR Aug04 Jun22 Jun07 May25 Apr21 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 123 1.80 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-3   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK DEVIL Dec13 Nov08 Oct03 Jul31 Jun15 (rod)VAZQUEZ GIAN 112 1.40 43% 1.30    
SCR  GOOD AS HE GETS Nov29 Nov01 Oct12 Sep14   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.40    
2  SCOTTISH STORM Oct20         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.60 25% 2.90    
SCR  AINT NO JOKE Oct10 Sep08 Nov25 Nov02   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60    
3  DIALBOLICO Dec13 Nov03       (antonucci jena)COA J 122 12.00    
4  FINDANAME Nov18 Nov04 Oct15 Oct01 Sep09 (ferraro antho)DIAZ J 122 30.00    
5  TRUE CONNECTION Nov29 Nov07 Jul06 Jun15 May29 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 8.00    
6  GLINT Nov29 Nov08 Oct03 Aug24 Jul31 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
7  BAD BOY BUTCH Nov21 Oct17 Aug04     (sacco greg)RIVERA R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   01/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOLOMIO Dec08 Nov23 Sep18 Aug23 Aug11 (baker charlton)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.50    
2  KAZ SUGAR BANK Nov23 Nov06 Sep27 Aug30 Jul05 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 15.00    
3  QUIET WISDOM Nov30 Apr21 Mar14 Feb11 Jan13 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00    
4  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Nov08 Oct17 Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  B D SAINTS Dec14 Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 Sep21 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
6  NEURAL NETWORK Sep28 Aug30 Jul21 Apr22 Feb25 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50 17% 4.90    
7  RUSSIAN REALM Dec14 Sep29 Aug15 Jun29 May11 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
AQU-5   01/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Nov16 Oct24 Oct05 Aug23 Aug01 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
2  STOLEN MAGIC Nov30 Jun07 Apr26 Feb25 Jan27 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.80 64% 0.60    
SCR  CONFABULATION Dec28 Nov29 Nov07 Oct17 Aug31 (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
4  FORREST CITY Dec28 Dec01 Oct24 Aug23 Jul27 (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  J D FACTOR Dec28 Nov29 Oct10 Sep21 Aug18 (barker e)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIFE AND LIGHT Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct10 Sep13 (pringle ed)RIVERA R 123 30.00    
7  WAKE SURF Dec12 Dec06 Oct24 Sep05 Jun30 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
8  HAVE YOU HEARD Nov30 Oct19 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 (maker j)VIVES SOFIA 123 6.00    
 
AQU-6   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YO BANANA BOY Nov30 Nov15 Sep14 Jul20 Jun14 (heath dest)RIVERA R 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
2  ACOUSTIC AVE Dec15 Nov30 Oct18 Sep01 Jun27 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  AGGELOS THE GREAT Nov30 Oct18 Aug25 Jul15 Jun28 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
4  LOTSA TROUBLE Dec06 Oct24 Oct05 Mar10 Jan19 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
5  HE'S GOT IT Dec15 Dec01 Nov08 Oct13 Sep15 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
6  CALDO CANDY Nov30 Aug01 Jun06 Mar24 Jan28 (bond ja)COA J 121 8.00 7% 13.90    
7  WHATCHATALKINABOUT Nov30 Oct18 Oct16 Aug27 May12 (ward a)CIVACI SAHIN 121 1.00 51% 1.00    
 
AQU-7   01/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF CHILL Nov26 Nov12 Oct22 Oct14 Sep18 (padilla esteban)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 8% 11.60    
2  I SEE YOU LOOKIN Nov30 Nov09 Oct13 Sep01 Aug17 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 123 12.00    
3  CASTLE ISLAND Dec06 Jun08 May17 Apr19 Mar10 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  PADDINGTON Sep20 Jun22 May19 Oct21 Oct06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 15% 5.90    
5  BECAUSE THE NIGHT Jan02 Oct31 Oct03 Jun22 May02 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
6  ICE TIME Dec12 Nov15 Oct19 Sep29 Sep01 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 12.00    
7  PORTOS Jan01 Dec12 Feb29 Feb04 Jan04 (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ENGINEER EMPIRE Nov22 Oct24 Dec17 Nov18 Mar26 (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00    
 
AQU-8   01/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARILYN'S NY PRIDE Nov19 Nov06       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
2  HEAVENLY LIGHT Dec13 Oct20 Sep13 Aug21 Jul25 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  FURRY FOX Nov21 Sep20       (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50    
4  HIGHER FORCE Dec29 Nov03 Sep28     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
5  NILO'S ROSE Oct31 Sep28       (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  NICK'S NOTION Dec27 Dec01 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 (bailes robert)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 14% 6.40    
7  MISSELIOFWAR Nov24 Sep13       (ibrahim )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GAGA'S HAMSOME Dec29 Nov29 Oct31 Sep28 Aug30 (barker edward )CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00    
 
AQU-9   01/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOOD MISSION Jan10 Dec13 Nov17 Aug28 Aug01 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
2  CUPRITE Oct12         (donk david)VIVES SOFIA 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
3  EDDIES ROCKET Dec13 Nov10 Oct20 Sep16 Aug19 (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 122 30.00    
4  NIKKI BRAINBURST Nov25 Oct20 Sep26 Aug23 May24 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 12% 7.20    
5  MIA NIPOTINA Dec29 Nov25 Nov12 Oct15 Sep16 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 11% 8.40    
6  I'M KIDDING Dec29 May24       (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  BETTER BE SMART Dec29 Nov17 Oct12 Aug28 Jul19 (baker charlton)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00    
8  MISS UPROAR Dec29 Nov17 Oct12 Apr07 Feb08 (abreu f)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 8.00    
9  DREAM ON CARA Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Sep26 Aug23 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.