Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - January 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $2.50 $2.50  
AQU-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $21.00  
AQU-3   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.40  
AQU-4   Win (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.90  
AQU-5   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.10 $2.10  
AQU-6   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
AQU-7   Win (6/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
AQU-8   Win (9/6/3/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $13.80  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($49K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:132 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD FOOT 3 2 11 1 13 13 1 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.60 71% 0.40 0.25 W
TONED UP 2 3 3 2 23 23 2 (kantarmaci ilkay)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.00 2.50  
AUTUMN GLORY 1 1 21 32 35 310 314¾ (brown r)VIVES SOFIA 123 15.00 5% 19.00 6.20 S
SCR  ECHO IN ETERNITY               (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
SCR  MOONBOOTS               (flores g)SILVERA RUBEN 123 20.00    
SCR  ROMANTIC DANCER               (dutrow ri)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50    
 
AQU-2   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERLYS GIRL 4 5 31 3½   1nk 1 (chatterpaul naip)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00 9.50  
VEGAS WEEKEND 1 3 52 5   4 2 (catalano )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 0.60 50% 1.00 1.40 P
BAD CONNECTION 5 1 1nk 1½   3.2 3 (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00 36.75  
LAUGHTER 3 2 2nk 2½   2nk 4 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 9% 10.00 3.30  
CARBON 6 6 64 64   5 5 (samsundar rosh)HARKIE K 121 6.00 3.05  
GHOSTLY GIRL 2 4 4 43   6 6 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 19% 4.20 4.50  
 
AQU-3   01/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOONTOBEKING 4 3 43 4   21 1hd (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 3.20  
SUPER SWIFT 6 2 2nk 1½   11 2hd (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 4.20  
FIREBALLIN 3 6 5 5   44 3 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 33% 2.00 4.00 S
IN THE CHASE 5 5 32 3   33 4 (david a)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
KENNY BE 2 1 1nk 2½   54 5 (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 1.60 41% 1.40 1.00  
MR. SUGAR DADDY 1 4 66 6   69 615¼ (barrow paul)LUZZI J 122 15.00 49.00  
 
AQU-4   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK HAMMER 3 1 12 1   18 1 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 2.45  
JAKE ROCKS 1 3 22 2   28 2 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 20% 3.90 2.55 P
THANK YOU JON 7 7 6 35   310 313½ (romero jes)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 4.00 20% 4.00 3.55 S
PERSISTENT DANGER 4 2 33 512   413½ 415¼ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 19% 4.30 4.10  
CAN'T BEAT ME 2 6 7 612½   614½ 516 (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 7% 14.40 11.30  
DADS GOOD RUNNER 6 5 4 410½   514 619¾ (bhigroog c)VILLA FAVINHO 121 20.00 15.00  
G MUNNING 5 4 5 714½   719½ 727½ (goberdhan )DAVIS A 123 12.00 14.20  
 
AQU-5   01/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:24 :48       1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAM PAM 5 2 21 21   2nk 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 50% 1.00 0.05 W
SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE 3 1 11 11   1nk 2 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.20 0.05 P
SAUCY SIX 4 3 5 3   32 3 (keithan rachael)CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00 23.00  
SHE'S COOL 1 5 4 5   44 4 (potts wayne)VIVES SOFIA 123 6.00 28% 2.60 5.20  
MOONLIT WEEKEND 2 4 31 4   5 5 (rodriguez )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 10.00 11.80  
SCR  CAROL T               (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.00    
SCR  SCARLET'S DREAM               (giddings)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
SCR  STRESS RELIEVER               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
 
AQU-6   01/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:131     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONETARY MONARCH 5 3 4 31   12 1 (lugovich l)LUZZI J 122 6.00 5% 19.00 2.30 W
GALLANT GRETA 2 4 1nk 1nk   22 2 (maker michae)RIVERA R 122 1.60 70% 0.40 0.90 P
SKY RUNNER 4 1 3½ 4   5 310¾ (baker charlton)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 11.00  
SHE'S A NATURAL 1 5 5 56   48 411½ (sciacca g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00 12.60  
EASTERN STAR 3 2 2nk 2nk   34 511¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 8% 11.50 3.65  
SCR  CALLING AN AUDIBLE               (barker r)VIVES SOFIA 122 3.50    
SCR  PURPOSE               (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
 
AQU-7   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:114 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P MUTTER PICKLE 5 6 54 42 3½ 11 1 (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 29% 2.40 2.80 W
PRINCESS BECCA 6 3 2 21 2nk 21 2 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 34% 1.90 2.35 P
BROOKLYN DANTZ 7 7 66 7 6 5 3 (arenas ma)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 10.00 8.00  
CHASING DAYLIGHT 8 2 1 11 1nk 32 48 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 16% 5.40 3.30  
SPLASHY 3 5 4 5 41 44 5 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 6.20  
FOCUS POCUS 4 1 33 31 5 6 615½ (rodri)VAZQUEZ GIAN 111 12.00 17.80  
KAATERSKILL 1 4 7 6 7 711½ 719 (dunham g)LUZZI J 121 20.00 55.75  
BARONESS BOURBON 2 8 814 813¾ 812¼ 814 819¼ (potts wayn)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 8.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
 
AQU-8   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:112 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO DADDY 8 7 62 6 4¾ 1½ 1¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 5.90  
GENERAL BANKER 2 8 5 5 5 52 2¼ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 17.90 P
TREATY OBLIGATION 3 9 7 7 7 62 3¼ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 6% 15.60 4.60 S
MAGICAL WAYS 6 5 9 8 6 7 4 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50 20% 4.10 5.70  
REDDINGTON 1 4 1½ 1nk 2nk 2½ 5 (barker r)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00 11.50  
11  RUNNIN' RAY 10 3 31 4¾ 8 8 63 (rodriguez gustav)LUZZI J 121 12.00 6% 15.70 8.20  
SEEKING UNITY 7 1 2½ 2nk 1nk 31 74 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 22.40  
VICTORY WAY 9 2 41 3½ 3½ 4 85 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 43% 1.30 2.10  
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 4 10 108 10 1010¾ 10 9 (potts wayne)VIVES SOFIA 121 30.00 70.50  
EXPECTED VALUE 5 6 8 9 910¼ 98 10 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00 8.60  
SCR  UNION FLEET               (magana jo)BRICENO GREGOR 121 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.