Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - January 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(1/2/3)-(2/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/3/5)-(1/7/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/2)-(1/2)-(4/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/5/7)-(6/5/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(6/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(6/5/8/2)-(9/6/3/11/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/2)-(6/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/2)-(6/5/8/2)-(6/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/8/2)-(9/6/3/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (9/6/3/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/11/2)-(9/6/3/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/11/2)-(9/6/3/11/2)-(9/6/3/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($49K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTUMN GLORY Dec14 Oct10 Sep13 Jul24 Jun28 (brown r)VIVES SOFIA 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  TONED UP Oct19 Aug01 Jul11 Jul04 Jun21 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.00    
SCR  ROMANTIC DANCER Jan04 Nov21 Oct24 Sep25 Jul27 (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50    
SCR  ECHO IN ETERNITY Dec12 Nov07 Oct10 Sep13 Aug14 (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
SCR  MOONBOOTS May01 Apr01 Mar14 Feb02 Nov24 (flores irvin )SILVERA RUBEN 123 20.00    
6  PROUD FOOT Dec12 Aug04 Jun09 Apr25 Mar17 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.60 71% 0.40    
 
AQU-2   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS WEEKEND Nov21 Nov07 Jun29 Jun15 May12 (catalan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 0.60 50% 1.00    
2  GHOSTLY GIRL Oct20 Oct10 Aug14 Jul28 Jun30 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
3  LAUGHTER Dec14 Nov11 Oct23 Oct07 Sep23 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 9% 10.00    
4  EVERLYS GIRL Dec08 Nov21 Nov07 Oct20 Oct10 (chatterpaul na)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00    
5  BAD CONNECTION Dec08 Nov11 Oct30 Sep24 Aug05 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
6  CARBON Jan02 Dec14 Nov22 Nov07 Oct10 (samsundar ro)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
 
AQU-3   01/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. SUGAR DADDY Nov18 Sep23 Aug14     (barrow paul)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
2  KENNY BE Nov16 Oct26 Sep21     (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
3  FIREBALLIN Dec15         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
4  SOONTOBEKING Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 Sep23 Aug25 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00    
5  IN THE CHASE Dec15 Nov16 Oct21 Oct04 Aug25 (david a)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUPER SWIFT Nov16 Nov01 Sep29     (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
 
AQU-4   01/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE ROCKS Dec13 Nov11 Oct18 Sep21 Sep01 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
2  CAN'T BEAT ME Nov27 Nov05 May20 Apr29 Mar22 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 7% 14.40    
3  QUICK HAMMER Jan02 Oct10 Jul28 Jun28 May18 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60    
4  PERSISTENT DANGER May07 Apr29 Apr06 Mar24 Feb23 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  G MUNNING Dec27 Nov27 Nov20 Nov12 Oct28 (goberdha)DAVIS A 123 12.00    
6  DADS GOOD RUNNER Dec13 Nov24 Nov08 Jun22 Apr07 (bhigroog)VILLA FAVINHO 121 20.00    
7  THANK YOU JON Jan04 Dec13 Nov08 Oct10 Sep21 (romero j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-5   01/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Aug11 Jul18 Jun30 Apr20 Mar30 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.20 ★    
1A  PAM PAM Dec01 Oct06 Aug30 Jul22 Jul04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 50% 1.00    
2  SHE'S COOL Dec27 Nov22 Oct20 Aug11 Jun28 (potts wayne)VIVES SOFIA 123 6.00 28% 2.60    
3  MOONLIT WEEKEND Dec15 Nov22 Oct26 Sep19 Aug07 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
SCR  CAROL T Dec15 Nov22 Nov01 Sep19 Aug02 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.00    
5  SAUCY SIX Dec27 Nov22 Oct27 Sep29 Aug03 (keithan rachae)CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00    
SCR  SCARLET'S DREAM Dec15 Nov22 Jul24 Jul07 May25 (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
SCR  STRESS RELIEVER Dec15 Apr07 Mar07 Feb10   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
 
AQU-6   01/12/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Dec13 Aug24 Apr21 Apr06 Mar07 (barker r)VIVES SOFIA 122 3.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
SCR  PURPOSE Oct25 Jul15 Apr21     (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of BRANDINI by E DUBAI)
3  SHE'S A NATURAL Dec01 Nov16 Nov07 Sep21 Jul05 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
4  GALLANT GRETA Sep21 Aug25 Aug02     (maker mich)RIVERA R 122 1.60 70% 0.40    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  EASTERN STAR May11 Apr13 Mar22 Feb24 Jan27 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 8% 11.50    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of FIVE SONGS by FORESTRY)
6  SKY RUNNER Dec13         (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
  (by FREUD out of MULA MULA by GONE WEST)
7  MONETARY MONARCH Dec13 Nov22 Jan05 Nov19 Oct12 (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HER MAJESTY'S OWN by BELONG TO ME)
 
AQU-7   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAATERSKILL Dec07 Nov17 Oct20 May11 Apr06 (dunham g)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
2  BARONESS BOURBON Dec15 Nov29 Oct18 Sep17 Sep02 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPLASHY Dec13 Nov17 Oct12 Aug28 Jul19 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00    
4  FOCUS POCUS Dec08 Nov09 Oct20 Aug23 Jun16 (rod)VAZQUEZ GIAN 111 12.00    
5  P MUTTER PICKLE Dec07 Jun09 Dec14 Nov19   (antonacci phi)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 29% 2.40    
6  PRINCESS BECCA Oct20 Sep19 Aug23 Jul18 Jun20 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 34% 1.90    
7  BROOKLYN DANTZ Dec15 Nov14 Oct17 Oct06 Aug07 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 10.00    
8  CHASING DAYLIGHT Dec15 Oct24 Sep27 Aug25 Aug13 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00 16% 5.40    
 
AQU-8   01/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDDINGTON Dec06 Nov09 Sep21 Jul25 Jun27 (barker edward )CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00    
2  GENERAL BANKER Dec29 Nov23 Oct12 Sep21 Aug28 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  TREATY OBLIGATION Dec07 Oct19 Aug24 Jun30 May16 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 6% 15.60    
4  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 Jul05 Jun07 (potts wayne)VIVES SOFIA 121 30.00    
5  EXPECTED VALUE Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 Apr08 Sep18 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 6.00    
6  MAGICAL WAYS Dec12 Nov17 Oct26 Sep28 Aug03 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.50 20% 4.10    
7  SEEKING UNITY Nov23 Oct18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00    
8  YO DADDY Dec12 Nov21 Nov10 Oct05 Aug30 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
9  VICTORY WAY Dec06 Aug22 Jul01 Apr08 Mar04 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  UNION FLEET Dec27 Dec15 Nov28 Oct24 Sep15 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 121 30.00    
11  RUNNIN' RAY Dec13 Nov24 Oct17 Sep29 Aug21 (rodriguez gust)LUZZI J 121 12.00 6% 15.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.