Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $6.60 $0.60 10%
AQU-4   EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-5 $10.00 $4.00 67%
AQU-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.10 $3.10 52%
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-6 $15.60 $6.60 73%
AQU-6   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-6-4 $8.50 $5.50 183%
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-1 $19.40 $10.40 116%
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/5/2)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00  2-6-1 $38.75 $11.75 44%
AQU-7   WIN (6/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.50 $1.50 19%
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-1 $13.10 $1.10 9%
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/1/6)-(6/1/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00  6-1-1 $82.25 $46.25 128%
AQU-8   PK4 (6/5/2)-(4/1/6)-(6/1/4/7)-(2/4/3/7) 144 $0.50 $72.00  6-1-1-2/8 $94.50 $22.50 31%
    PK5 (2/6/5)-(6/5/2)-(4/1/6)-(6/1/4/7)-(2/4/3/7) 432 $0.50 $216  2/4-6-1-1-2/8 $397.75 $181.75 84%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:14 1:271   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LADY WISDOM 5 1 11½ 12 12 12½ 15¼ (morey william )LUZZI J 120 2.00 50% 1.00 1.40 W
  (by SOLOMINI out of MYSELF by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  FARM HOUSE 4 5 21½ 22 22 22½ 25¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 23% 3.30 1.80 P
  (by INSTAGRAND out of STORM NOW by STORM CENTER)
1  KNICKKNACK 1 4 53½ 44 45 412 320¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 3.30  
  (by VIOLENCE out of CURIO by BOLD RELIC)
2  LADY OF MERCIA 2 2 33 33½ 35 311½ 421¼ (keithan )VILLA FAVINHO 120 20.00 23.80  
  (by LEOFRIC out of TACTFUL SUSAN by HONOR CODE)
3  GLOBAL CHARMER 3 3 43 57 520 537 5100 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BEAUTIFUL ILLUSION by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  AIBELL               (reynolds patr)OLVER MADISON 120 3.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEEN OF ENGLAND by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
AQU-2   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:223 :47 :594     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) 1 4 45 43   2½ 12¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40 0.80  
5  WARALO 3 2 1½ 1½   1½ 22¾ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 44% 1.30 2.45 P
6  COURAGEOOUS OH LA 4 1 2½ 2½   31½ 36¾ (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
2  STEWIE 2 3 32 33   47 417¾ (englehart chri)LUZZI J 123 3.50 3.55  
SCR  GOLDEN ARM               (smith la)DAVIS A 121 30.00    
SCR  TRA LAD               (o'callahan carl)VIVES SOFIA 121 6.00    
 
AQU-3   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:131 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUR LIBERTY BELLE 5 1 12 12½ 12½ 14½ 15¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 ★ 1.85  
2  TONED UP 1 2 32 33 22½ 24½ 25¼ (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 3.10  
3  WHISTLER'S STYLE 2 3 58½ 59 46½ 36 35¼ (giangiu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 4.50 6.00  
4  KISS ME HARDY 3 4 22 22½ 34½ 48 411 (kirby t)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 36% 1.80 1.80  
5  PATTY CAKES 4 5 43 44½ 56½ 513 527½ (de hor)RIVERA R 121 4.00 29% 2.40 8.20  
SCR  EQUUS               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
 
AQU-4   01/30/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:252 :503 1:15 1:404   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MO RHODES 2 5 41½ 31 2½ 13½ 110½ (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 38% 1.60 1.50 W
5  FIRST TRUMPET 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 23½ 210½ (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40 P
1  BROWN DON'T STOP 1 4 31 41½ 42½ 34½ 312¼ (bernardini ju)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 12.90  
6  D DAY SKY 5 3 21 2½ 31½ 45½ 413½ (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 22% 3.60 1.95  
3  BOYS CODE 3 2 53½ 57½ 56½ 59 516¼ (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00 4.00  
SCR  SIX KINGS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
 
AQU-5   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :47 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DELRAY 6 3 31 3½   12½ 14¼ (servis tyler)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 46% 1.20 3.55 W
4  CENTRAL CASTING 4 6 52 52   22½ 24¼ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 2.40  
1  D'S A ROCK 1 1 1½ 1½   33 36¾ (summers)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 1.20 1.50  
5  DOUBLE AIRO 5 2 2½ 2½   44½ 47¼ (bailes robert)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 18% 4.50 8.50  
3  BROOKLYN RHAPSODY 3 5 63 62½   56½ 511¼ (d'alessandro )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 6.50  
2  ROZZYROO 2 4 41½ 41½   66½ 611¾ (simoff)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
SCR  NOTMYSTEPPINGSTONE               (levine bruce)LUZZI J 120 1.20    
 
AQU-6   01/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:122     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MOSIENKO 5 3 31½ 2½   12 1¼ (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.50 10% 9.10 2.40 W
6  MY FIRST LOVE 6 1 21 3½   22 2¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00 3.85 P
4  ELLIPTIC (IRE) 3 5 43 41   43 33 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 67% 0.50 1.10 S
2  KARA PARA 1 6 53 53   53½ 44 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 121 6.00 11.60  
1  GONE AND FORGOTTEN 4 2 63¼ 64½   65 54¾ (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 2.40  
3  MAGGIE T 2 4 11 1½   32 66½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 5.90  
SCR  APRIL ANTICS               (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
SCR  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN               (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
 
AQU-7   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEES GET DEGREES 1 4 51¾ 52¼   31 1nk (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 23% 3.30 3.75 W
5  WAR STRIDE 5 5 74¼ 32   21 2nk (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 9.30  
6  GRAYWING 6 6 3½ 2½   11 32 (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 41% 1.50 2.20 S
3  DOT'S DOLLAR 3 1 2½ 42   53½ 45½ (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 3.85  
4  DANGEROUS RIDE 4 3 62¼ 63¾   63¾ 55¾ (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.50 10% 9.20 5.70  
2  POPPY'S PRIDE 2 7 41½ 74¼   74¼ 66½ (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 121 6.00 7.20  
7  EXCELLENT TIMING 7 2 1½ 1½   41½ 79 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
 
AQU-8   01/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:231 :452 1:103     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIROOVIN 2 7 57 56¾   3½ 13¼ (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 1.40 34% 2.00 1.20 W
6  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 6 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 23¼ (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00 2.55  
5  CHARGING AERO 5 1 42½ 43¼   43 38 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00 12.50  
3  COLD AS HELL 3 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 48¼ (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 123 6.00 18% 4.50 6.60  
4  CRITICAL THREAT 4 6 78 611¾   57 512¼ (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.00 24% 3.10 4.30  
1  LIFE AND LIGHT 1 4 67½ 713¼   610 613 (pringle )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00 25.25  
7  HONORARY DEGREE 7 5 32 33   710½ 715½ (jones eduardo )CEDENO CAROL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
SCR  J D FACTOR               (barker edw)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.