Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/6)-(4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/5)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/6/5)-(6/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/5/2)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/1/6)-(6/1/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(6/1/4/7)-(2/4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/7)-(2/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (2/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNICKKNACK         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CURIO by BOLD RELIC)
2  LADY OF MERCIA Nov16         (keithan )VILLA FAVINHO 120 20.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of TACTFUL SUSAN by HONOR CODE)
3  GLOBAL CHARMER         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BEAUTIFUL ILLUSION by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  FARM HOUSE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of STORM NOW by STORM CENTER)
SCR  AIBELL Nov02         (reynolds patr)OLVER MADISON 120 3.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEEN OF ENGLAND by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  LADY WISDOM Jan05 Dec01 Oct20 Aug08   (morey william )LUZZI J 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MYSELF by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
AQU-2   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 Oct12 Sep27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40    
2  STEWIE Nov05 Oct04 Sep10 Aug28 Jun26 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 123 3.50    
SCR  GOLDEN ARM Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 (smith la)DAVIS A 121 30.00    
SCR  TRA LAD Jan11 May27 May06 Dec30 Nov22 (o'callahan carl)VIVES SOFIA 121 6.00    
5  WARALO Apr19 Feb24 Jan13 Dec16 Nov01 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
6  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Jan11 Dec15 Nov20 Nov11 Oct28 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EQUUS Jan05 Nov14 Sep19 Sep04 Jun23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
2  TONED UP Jan12 Oct19 Aug01 Jul11 Jul04 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
3  WHISTLER'S STYLE Jan01 Dec02 Oct19 Sep13 Aug16 (giangiu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 4.50    
4  KISS ME HARDY Dec31 Nov06 Sep05 Aug21 Jul24 (kirby t)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 36% 1.80    
5  PATTY CAKES Jan11 Jun09 May11 Mar30 Mar09 (de hor)RIVERA R 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
6  OUR LIBERTY BELLE Jan01 Dec08 Nov02 Oct20 Oct05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-4   01/30/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWN DON'T STOP Jan18 Dec28 Dec14 Nov21 May27 (bernardini j)HARKIE K 123 8.00    
2  MO RHODES Jan03 Nov23 Nov07 Sep26 Aug24 (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  BOYS CODE Jan03 Nov21 Oct25 Sep29 Aug29 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00    
SCR  SIX KINGS Jan03 Oct20 Sep18 Aug24 Aug02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
5  FIRST TRUMPET Jan17 Jan05 Dec14 Nov29 Oct03 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  D DAY SKY Jan11 Dec14 Nov21 Oct14 Sep21 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-5   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'S A ROCK Dec14 Nov17 Oct06     (summers)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 1.20    
SCR  NOTMYSTEPPINGSTONE Jan17 Jan04 Nov23 Nov09   (levine bruce)LUZZI J 120 1.20    
2  ROZZYROO Jan01         (simoff)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BROOKLYN RHAPSODY Jan13 Dec01 Nov11 Oct02 Aug17 (d'alessandro )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
4  CENTRAL CASTING Nov29 Oct31 Aug30     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00    
5  DOUBLE AIRO Dec30 Nov29 Nov10     (bailes robert)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  DELRAY Jan01 Dec09 Nov03 Oct14   (servis tyler)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-6   01/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Jan17 Jan02 Dec14 Nov21 Nov05 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50    
1A  MOSIENKO Jan10 Dec12 Nov07 Oct06 Sep26 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.50 10% 9.10    
2  KARA PARA Dec12 Mar03 Jan07 Oct19 Sep22 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 121 6.00    
3  MAGGIE T Jan01 Dec14 Nov07 Oct20 Sep13 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
4  ELLIPTIC (IRE) Jan02 Dec15 Nov14 Oct06 Sep19 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 67% 0.50    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS Jan19 Jan05 Nov22 Oct10 Sep13 (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
6  MY FIRST LOVE Dec14 Nov21 Oct10 Sep15 Aug29 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Jan19 Dec15 Oct21 Sep09 Aug05 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
 
AQU-7   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEES GET DEGREES Dec14 Oct19 Aug28 Jul21 May09 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 23% 3.30    
2  POPPY'S PRIDE Nov23 Nov01 Oct19 Aug28 Aug10 (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 121 6.00    
3  DOT'S DOLLAR Jan05 Nov01 Sep27 Aug10 Jul25 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
4  DANGEROUS RIDE Jan19 Dec14 Sep27 Aug28 Aug08 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.50 10% 9.20    
5  WAR STRIDE Jan02 Nov30 Oct30 Oct14 Jan07 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
6  GRAYWING Jan11 Dec15 Nov15 Oct04 Sep24 (engleha)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 41% 1.50    
7  EXCELLENT TIMING Dec15 Oct18 Sep21 Jun27 Jun09 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   01/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE AND LIGHT Jan16 Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct10 (pringle )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00    
2  GIROOVIN Jan05 Dec13 Nov14 Sep27 Aug28 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 1.40 34% 2.00    
3  COLD AS HELL Jan19 Dec14 Nov23 Nov01 Oct19 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 123 6.00 18% 4.50    
4  CRITICAL THREAT Jan05 Nov16 Sep01 Aug01 Jul19 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  CHARGING AERO Jan19 Dec14 Oct12 Aug29 Aug11 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00    
6  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Dec29 Nov30 Aug17 Jul25 Jun09 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00    
7  HONORARY DEGREE Jan19 Jan02 Dec14 Nov14 Nov01 (jones eduardo )CEDENO CAROL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  J D FACTOR Jan16 Dec28 Nov29 Oct10 Sep21 (barker edw)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.