Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - January 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $15.00 $9.00 150%
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $20.80 $14.80 247%
AQU-2   DD (1/7/4)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $21.40 $9.40 78%
AQU-3   SFT (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-7-6-5 $4.50 $2.10 88%
AQU-5   WIN (6/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $31.60 $23.60 295%
    EXA (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $128.50 $116.50 971%
    TRI (6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7)-(6/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-2-6 $244.00 $232.00 1933%
AQU-6   SFT (2/5/10/6/4)-(2/5/10/6/4)-(2/5/10/6/4)-(2/5/10/6/4) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-5-10-2 $15.92 $3.92 33%
    DD (6/2/3/7)-(2/5/10/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-6 $149.75 $129.75 649%
AQU-7   EXA (1/7/10/3/2)-(1/7/10/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-10 $41.25 $21.25 106%
    TRI (1/7/10/3/2)-(1/7/10/3/2)-(1/7/10/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-10-7 $139.75 $109.75 366%
    PK3 (6/2/3/7)-(2/5/10/6/4)-(1/7/10/3/2) 100 $1.00 $100  7-6-1 $695.00 $595.00 595%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT-12:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LAOBAN   (duggan p)CIVACI SAHIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00 6.50 W
LADY ARWEN   (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 50% 1.00 2.00 P
ACCELERINA   (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 6.50  
LEM ME DRINK   (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 13% 6.60 4.90  
WILD IRIS   (duggan p)LUZZI J 123 1.60 1.45  
RCAPTIVATING   (keithan )DAVIS A 123 20.00 46.50  
SCR  POLITICAL SPIN   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50    
 
AQU-2   01/18/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANSSEN   (lakeman andre)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 25% 3.00 1.80 W
BROWN DON'T STOP   (bernardini j)HARKIE K 123 12.00 11.80  
YORK TAVERN   (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 1.20 34% 2.00 1.55 S
GUM ISLAND   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 10.30  
DEPUTY CONNECT   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 19% 4.20 9.10  
SKELLIG ISLAND   (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
JUST BE HONEST   (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 6.00  
 
AQU-3   01/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LA BANQUERA   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 39% 1.60 1.25 W
MAJULU   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 16% 5.30 2.05 P
SHINING SPIRIT   (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 11% 7.80 11.90 S
LA GROTTE   (johnston rob)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.50 14% 6.40 4.10  
ENFUEGA   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.60 1.25  
BIG HAZEL   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 30.00  
BEWILDERED   (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00 9.00  
MO DAMORNINGGROUCH   (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 123 20.00 36.25  
 
AQU-4   01/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAESWITHSANDY   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 0.70  
MONTEBELLO   (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 123 3.00 13% 6.50 3.70 P
BAD LARRY   (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 6.00 9.30  
MAJESTIC FRONTIER   (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 25% 2.90 10.50  
ERIC FROM MIAMI   (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 7.20  
ALLURE OF MONEY   (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 32% 2.10 10.80  
CO CONSPIRATOR   (jones ed)DAVIS A 123 30.00 5% 19.00 74.25  
 
AQU-5   01/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING ANGELO   (arriag)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00 6% 15.40 14.80 W
RIDGEWOOD RUNNER   (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 11% 8.20 4.00 P
TOXIC GRAY   (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 46% 1.20 0.95 S
MIDLANER   (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 10.00 13.40  
1A  DISARMED   (rodriguez rudy)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 5.20  
CELESTIAL GLAZE   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 5.20  
SQUIRE CREEK   (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 8.00 14.20  
SPUN AND WON   (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 10% 9.30 6.60  
 
AQU-6   01/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF   (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00 5% 19.00 3.30 W
WINTER'S GHOST   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 20% 4.10 4.20 P
10  ICE ROAD   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 14% 6.00 3.20 S
WHISKEY N SODA   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 45% 1.20 2.45  
STRONG LIGHT   (samsunda)VILLA FAVINHO 123 12.00 24.25  
INDIANQUEST   (ibrahim )DAVIS A 123 12.00 15.30  
STEADY PROGRESS   (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 30.00 40.50  
WINE RESPONSIBLY   (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD   (sciacca gary)COA J 123 30.00 55.25  
SCR  HELIUM   (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
SCR  STJAMES   (sells rachel)HARKIE K 123 8.00    
 
AQU-7   01/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CRAZY MASON   (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.00 36% 1.80 3.05 W
RADIO RED   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 3.05  
10  SHIPSATIONAL   (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 121 10.00 8% 11.50 11.00 S
PRINTRACK   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 31% 2.20 5.00  
QUICK TO ACCUSE   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 2.45  
TIVY   (antonucci jena)COA J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
LIGHT THE WAY   (nevin michelle)DAVIS KATIE 123 30.00 62.25  
AIR OF DEFIANCE   (summers chad)CIVACI SAHIN 121 12.00 10.70  
BEAVER STATE   (bailes rober)LUZZI J 123 12.00 17.80  
COMMUTED   (falcone )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
SILO RIDGE   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 5.00  
 
AQU-8   01/18/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Busanda Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 3:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNING AWAY   (ward a)CIVACI SAHIN 118 3.00 1.55  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ALLEZ MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MY SHERRONA   (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.50 6.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CLASS INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
SHARP SMILE   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.55 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CHOCOLATE POP by CUVEE)
RAMIFY   (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 36% 1.70 3.05  
  (by MUNNINGS out of CHAMBER by TAPIT)
BEAUTIFUL BLOME   (pecoraro anthon)CANCEL ERIC 122 20.00 24.75  
  (by BLOFELD out of BEST MOM EVER by AFTER MARKET)
RUTH   (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 22% 3.70 5.30  
  (by UNCLE MO out of PEPPY RAFAELA by BERNARDINI)
SCR  BERNIEANDTHEROSE   (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
SCR  BLESS THE BROKEN   (walden willia)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of THE NIGHTINGALE by TAPIT)
SCR  CARMEN'S CANDY JAR   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NO MO SHOPPING by UNCLE MO)
 
AQU-9   01/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAMONOS VAMONOS   (toscano t)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00 24% 3.20 2.60 W
MONOMOY BEACH   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 30.50  
WHISKEY FRENS   (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 120 3.50 5.00  
MONTE AVI   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 6.90  
13  PLAY THE GRAY   (velazquez d)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
GOODBYE   (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00 42.25  
JASONJET   (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 13.60  
10  TEN RUN RULE   (englehar)DAVIS A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 45.75  
12  WHITE BLUE   (salazar marco)COA J 120 30.00 78.50  
SWAY THE JURY   (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 120 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
CADA DIA MEJOR   (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 120 6.00 47% 1.10 4.30  
WAITING FOR A. I.   (grusmark kar)HARKIE K 120 30.00 81.25  
SCR  ROCKED OUT   (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.