Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Saturday - January 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-3   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $25.60 $19.60 327%
AQU-4   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.50 $1.50 19%
    DD (7/5/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $68.25 $56.25 469%
AQU-8   EXA (5/11/3/4/6)-(5/11/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-3 $28.75 $8.75 44%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   01/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT-12:10
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IRIDESCENT 5 4 43 41½   1nk 1¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 1.30  
4  VINSANITY 3 5 54½ 51¾   2nk 2¼ (arriaga antonio)VIVES SOFIA 123 4.50 3.00  
3  AUGUSTINE RED 2 3 33 31½   3½ 31¾ (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.00 42% 1.40 3.35 S
5  MUAZARAH 4 1 21 21   53¾ 48¼ (trites land)OLVER MADISON 123 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
1  JAVA BUZZ 1 2 11 11   43½ 510¾ (rod)VAZQUEZ GIAN 113 8.00 23% 3.30 8.60  
SCR  NARCISO DALI               (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
 
AQU-2   01/11/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ladies Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:244 :51 1:161 1:40   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZZY IN THE SKY 1 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 13 13 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 124 0.80 0.65  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of TIZ THE TIDE by TIZNOW)
5  JULIA SHINING 4 3 32 32 41¾ 23 23 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 30% 2.40 1.75 P
  (by CURLIN out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
4  COMPARATIVE 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 44 33¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 13% 6.60 5.90 S
  (by STREET SENSE out of COLLECTIVE by CHARISMATIC)
3  EVIDENCIAS (BRZ) 2 4 43 42½ 31½ 34 43¾ (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 11.00  
  (by DROSSELMEYER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  JUST MUSIC               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-3   01/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MASTERWORK 3 6 52½ 42¾   21 11¼ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 10.00 8% 11.10 11.80 W
2  MAJESTIC ARC 1 1 1½ 12½   11 21¼ (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 16.10  
3  KING FREUD 2 4 2½ 22½   32½ 31¼ (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 123 12.00 7.40  
7  YORK TAVERN 6 5 42 53¼   42½ 41½ (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 37% 1.70 0.85  
5  CONNIVING 4 3 62½ 65¾   55 51½ (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 123 4.00 29% 2.40 3.40  
6  ALWAYS A WARRIOR 5 2 31 32½   65¼ 616½ (david a)VIVES SOFIA 123 3.50 4.80  
SCR  CAMM' DUKE               (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50    
 
AQU-4   01/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:14 1:27   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FINAL DENILE 6 7 63 41½ 31 11 12½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 13% 6.60 3.75 W
7  GOLDEN PURCHASE 7 4 31 2½ 2nk 21 22½ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 8.00 13.80  
2  D DAY SKY 2 2 42½ 62¼ 53½ 44 34 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 1.40 41% 1.50 1.35 S
5  SECRET TREASURE 5 6 75 74¾ 74¾ 55 44½ (trombetta micha)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 25% 3.10 2.40  
4  CONCORDE SPIRIT 4 3 2½ 3½ 1nk 31½ 54½ (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
1  BIG RICH 1 1 52½ 52 63¾ 77 68¾ (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 5.00 10.10  
3  JUST BE HONEST 3 5 1½ 1½ 41½ 66½ 713¾ (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 16.40  
 
AQU-5   01/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:232 :472 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  T KRAFT 1 6 31 1nk   2nk 1hd (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 120 2.50 3.05  
  (by CONNECT out of MARGARITA FRIDAY by JOHANNESBURG)
1  GRAND COMMANDER 2 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 2hd (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.00 P
  (by GIRVIN out of UNDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  ONE NINE HUNDRED 4 5 41¼ 41¼   1nk 3.15 (morley thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.80 S
  (by DIALED IN out of HEDONISM by CURLIN)
6  SOCIAL HOUR 6 2 2nk 3.2   4¾ 44¾ (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 26% 2.80 3.05  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RUMANDICE by CONGRATS)
5  SENOR PONCHO 5 3 51¾ 53¼   56¾ 512¾ (summers ch)RIVERA R 120 3.50 5.60  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GIFTED GLORY by TAPIT)
1A  GOURMET DINNER 3 4 61¾ 66¼   612¾ 626¼ (brown b)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00 4.00  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of SWEETHEART DEAL by KANTHAROS)
SCR  ORGONITE               (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HESSONITE by FREUD)
SCR  SWEETENTHEDEAL               (dimitriou h)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 30.00    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of SWEET LITTLE LIES by DISCREET CAT)
 
AQU-6   01/11/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:142 1:40   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIZZANTE 1 7 31 31½ 32 11½ 1hd (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 38% 1.70 1.10 DQ↓2
4  STRAPPED 4 4 52 52 42½ 31½ 2hd (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00 10.10  
7  TRAFFIC MASTER 7 1 21 2½ 2½ 21½ 34¼ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00 11% 8.30 5.60 S
2  SCAT TU TAP 2 2 41½ 41½ 53 43 47 (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
5  MELT WITH YOU 5 5 66 63 63½ 67 59 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 6.00 9.70  
6  WAITLIST 6 6 78 79 78½ 78½ 69½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 18% 4.60 3.25  
3  SENEGAL 3 3 11 1½ 1½ 53½ 711½ (englehart jerem)VIVES SOFIA 123 12.00 19.20  
 
AQU-7   01/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:132 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BERNIETAKESCHARGE 9 1 1nk 11 1½ 1½ 1hd (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 16.20  
6  NEXT ON STAGE 5 3 3½ 41¼ 41½ 32 2hd (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00 5% 19.00 33.75 P
4  POINTS IS POINTS 3 7 71¾ 72¾ 52 42½ 32 (cox h)VIVES SOFIA 123 6.00 27% 2.70 10.10 S
2  BELLS BEACH 1 5 51½ 62¼ 63 63 42¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 28% 2.50 3.05  
11  FADE TO GREY 10 8 41 31 2½ 2½ 52¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 4.10  
5  PRIDES CROSSING 4 6 61¾ 21 3½ 53 64¾ (walden william)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 19% 4.30 1.65  
7  BROWN SUGA BABE 6 10 109¼ 108¼ 76 76 76¼ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 7.00  
8  DOT MARIE 7 9 94¼ 94¼ 108¾ 1012¾ 815¾ (caramori ed)MARTINEZ R 121 30.00 99.00  
3  PATTY CAKES 2 4 82¼ 82¾ 97¾ 912¼ 916¾ (de hor)RIVERA R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
9  STAMP OF APPROVAL 8 2 2nk 51¾ 86¼ 812 1019½ (hennig mark)CIVACI SAHIN 121 30.00 55.25  
SCR  SARIR               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
SCR  SAVE US MELANIA               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
 
AQU-8   01/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GRAYWING 5 4 1½ 13   14½ 11¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 42% 1.40 2.25 W
3  ON THE HILL 3 7 76 98¾   66¼ 21¾ (bond jam)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 5% 19.00 8.30 P
8  KID BILLY 7 11 86½ 75¾   35 33¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 3.60  
2  HE HAS IT ALL 2 8 97 87¼   76¾ 44½ (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 16.80  
12  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS 11 5 62½ 54½   46 56¼ (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 5.90  
13  MESSI THE MAGICIAN 12 6 51½ 43½   24½ 66¼ (shivmang)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 30.00 50.75  
1  STOP THE SPREAD 1 10 118¾ 1012¼   109½ 78½ (caramori ed)MARTINEZ R 121 20.00 75.25  
6  COURAGEOOUS OH LA 6 3 2½ 23   56 89 (dixon li)DAVIS A 121 20.00 5% 19.00 46.00  
4  BOSS THREE O TWO 4 9 107¼ 1112¾   1211½ 910 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.50 5% 19.00 5.20  
11  TRA LAD 10 12 1212¼ 1213¼   1111½ 1013 (o'callahan carl)VIVES SOFIA 121 8.00 29% 2.40 12.50  
9  I GOT BUSTED 8 1 3½ 33½   89¼ 1119¾ (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 10.00 17.40  
10  COLLECTED SPECIAL 9 2 41 65½   99¼ 1220 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 52.50  
SCR  GOLDEN ARM               (smith la)DAVIS A 121 50.00    
 
AQU-9   01/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:234 :473 :593     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRINCE VALIANT 6 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 32% 2.20 2.90 W
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of LIZZY'S FUN by D' FUNNYBONE)
10  VEKINDA 9 1 3½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30 0.90 P
  (by VEKOMA out of VINDA by VINDICATION)
4  ATTORNEY WADE 4 7 42 32   34 38½ (kimmel c)CIVACI SAHIN 120 10.00 19.40  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HIGH PITCH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  TOTAL SILENCE 10 4 72¾ 42½   46½ 412 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 10.00  
  (by GORMLEY out of SILENCIA by SILENT NAME)
5  FREE DANCE 5 6 62¼ 64   56¾ 512½ (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
  (by TAPITURE out of PIROUETTE by TWIRLING CANDY)
9  RAGTIME PRANKSTER 8 8 52¼ 74½   810¼ 615¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 44.00  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SILLY SISTER by BROKEN VOW)
1  JOKER ON FIRE 1 11 84¾ 85½   710¼ 715¼ (levine )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00 5% 19.00 20.80  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FIRE ASSAY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  E Z BOURBON 7 3 2½ 53   69¾ 820 (hennig mar)RIVERA R 120 20.00 37.00  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of E Z PASSER by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
2  DISCO DERVISH 2 9 97¼ 99½   916¼ 922¼ (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 120 30.00 56.25  
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of MAD AS THE DEVIL by DEVIL HIS DUE)
3  ROCK STAR REBEL 3 10 107½ 1010½   1018¾ 1028¼ (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 ★ 11.90  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SHEZA ROCKSTAR by MORE THAN READY)
12  FIRST PITCH 11 5 118 1117½   1138¾ 1151½ (jimenez l)VIVES SOFIA 120 30.00 75.00  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of GIANT BLOSSOM by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  LATE NIGHT BOSS               (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SAFTA by DIALED IN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.