Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - February 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-4   EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $8.40 $2.40 40%
AQU-6   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.30 $1.30 16%
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-1-2 $13.87 $1.87 16%
    DD (3/1)-(5/1/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-5 $10.90 $2.90 36%
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(3/1)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-3-5 $27.00 $3.00 13%
AQU-7   WIN (8/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $14.60 $6.60 83%
    EXA (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-8 $28.50 $16.50 138%
    TRI (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-8-5 $44.62 $32.62 272%
    SFT (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  6-8-5-4 $58.05 $55.65 2319%
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(8/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-6 $38.75 $22.75 142%
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/1/2/7)-(8/4/5/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00  3-5-6 $56.00 $24.00 75%
    PK4 (4/3/6)-(3/1)-(5/1/2/7)-(8/4/5/6) 96 $0.50 $48.00  1/3-3-5-6 $89.62 $41.62 87%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   02/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW   (morey w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 35% 1.80 1.05 W
3  HARLAN'S BOND   (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 2.00  
1  RIBBONSINHERHAIR   (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50 5.90  
5  UNION SUIT   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 34% 1.90 3.95  
4  DOLCE SERA   (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 25.75  
SCR  HOW SWEET SHE IS   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50    
 
AQU-2   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BROWN SUGAR   (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 4.00 4.50  
3  OCEAN GATEWAY   (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.30 P
5  RACHEL'S ROCK   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 2.10  
2  DAME CINCO   (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 2.00 38% 1.70 6.50  
4  DISCO EBO   (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 30% 2.30 1.50  
 
AQU-3   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONETARY MONARCH   (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 123 8.00 12.50  
4  GRACE REFORMED   (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 29% 2.40 2.20 P
3  PRINCESS BECCA   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 48% 1.10 0.85 S
2  AMY'S LIGHT   (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 116 12.00 19.80  
5  BROOKLYN DANTZ   (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 5.40  
1  BARONESS BOURBON   (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
 
AQU-4   02/06/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:38
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FADE TO GREY   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 24% 3.20 1.70 W
4  POINTS IS POINTS   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 46% 1.20 2.20 P
2  LA VITA SOFIA   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 2.95  
6  BOBBY JEAN   (hennig mark)CIVACI SAHIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
5  BROWN SUGA BABE   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 5.30  
SCR  GOLD LIGHTNING   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50    
 
AQU-5   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  YO DADDY   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 37% 1.70 1.05 W
2  CLASSIC CATCH   (pletcher todd )CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00 3.45  
1  TABEGUACHE   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 27% 2.70 1.05 S
SCR  KINETIC SKY   (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00    
SCR  REPO ROCKS   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
SCR  WINIT   (atras rob)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
 
AQU-6   02/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COMMERCE COMET   (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 123 2.50 51% 1.00 3.65 W
1  NATURAL HARBOR   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 14% 6.40 1.05 P
2  LEGAL DEAL   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 8% 12.20 5.70 S
3  ROYAL TRYST   (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 121 8.00 5.60  
4  FROMANOTHAMUTHA   (rodriguez gust)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 10.90  
7  CELESTIAL GLAZE   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
6  SCREAMING UNCLE   (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 30.00 43.50  
SCR  CAPITAL CONQUEST   (lake scot)VARGAS A 121 15.00    
 
AQU-7   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TAPARINO   (antonucci jena)COA J 122 8.00 5% 17.70 6.30 W
8  VERY SATISFACTORY   (cox h)RIVERA R 122 3.50 26% 2.80 4.00 P
5  TRUE CONNECTION   (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 2.50 19% 4.30 2.30 S
4  LIMITS OF POWER   (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 25% 3.00 5.60  
3  BAD BOY BUTCH   (sacco gregory )LUZZI J 122 8.00 6.60  
1  NILRUC   (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.50 3.80  
7  PRAIRIE DUNES   (sciacca gary)VIVES SOFIA 122 12.00 18.10  
2  NOBLE ONE   (pregman j)CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00 70.00  
SCR  DREAM ALLIANCE   (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.