Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Thursday - February 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
AQU-2   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $11.00  
AQU-3   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $27.00  
AQU-4   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
AQU-5   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 0.10
AQU-6   Win (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 1.30
AQU-7   Win (8/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 6.60
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   02/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:123     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW 2 3 11½ 1½   11½ 11½ (morey wil)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 35% 1.80 1.05 W
3  HARLAN'S BOND 3 4 35½ 32½   21½ 21½ (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 2.00  
1  RIBBONSINHERHAIR 1 5 58 54   45½ 32½ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50 5.90  
5  UNION SUIT 5 1 21½ 2½   32½ 43¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 34% 1.90 3.95  
4  DOLCE SERA 4 2 47 43½   58 57¾ (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 25.75  
SCR  HOW SWEET SHE IS               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50    
 
AQU-2   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BROWN SUGAR 1 1 42 42   1½ 11¾ (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 4.00 4.50  
3  OCEAN GATEWAY 3 5 1nk 1½   2½ 21¾ (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.30 P
5  RACHEL'S ROCK 5 4 3½ 31   42 33¼ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 2.10  
2  DAME CINCO 2 2 2nk 2½   31 45¾ (dutrow ri)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 2.00 38% 1.70 6.50  
4  DISCO EBO 4 3 5100 5100   5100 5100 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 30% 2.30 1.50  
 
AQU-3   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13 1:261   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONETARY MONARCH 6 1 11½ 11½ 11 12 1½ (lugovich l)LUZZI J 123 8.00 12.50  
4  GRACE REFORMED 4 2 44 33½ 32½ 32 2½ (guerrero )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 29% 2.40 2.20 P
3  PRINCESS BECCA 3 3 21½ 21½ 21 22 33 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 48% 1.10 0.85 S
2  AMY'S LIGHT 2 4 33½ 46 47 47 47¼ (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 116 12.00 19.80  
5  BROOKLYN DANTZ 5 5 55½ 58 57½ 58 59¾ (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.50 5.40  
1  BARONESS BOURBON 1 6 610 613½ 617½ 623 631¾ (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
 
AQU-4   02/06/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:114 1:383   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FADE TO GREY 2 4 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 1hd (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 24% 3.20 1.70 W
4  POINTS IS POINTS 3 3 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 2hd (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 46% 1.20 2.20 P
2  LA VITA SOFIA 1 1 33 34½ 38 39 312¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 2.95  
6  BOBBY JEAN 5 5 55 56½ 49 412 417½ (hennig mark)CIVACI SAHIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
5  BROWN SUGA BABE 4 2 44½ 46 59½ 514 524 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 5.30  
SCR  GOLD LIGHTNING               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50    
 
AQU-5   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:113 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  YO DADDY 3 2 2nk 2½ 1½ 13½ 15 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 37% 1.70 1.05 W
2  CLASSIC CATCH 2 3 31 31½ 3½ 23½ 25 (pletcher a)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00 3.45  
1  TABEGUACHE 1 1 1nk 1½ 2½ 37½ 318 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 27% 2.70 1.05 S
SCR  KINETIC SKY               (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00    
SCR  REPO ROCKS               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
SCR  WINIT               (atras rob)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
 
AQU-6   02/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COMMERCE COMET 5 2 11½ 11   12½ 11¾ (dutrow e)LUZZI J 123 2.50 51% 1.00 3.65 W
1  NATURAL HARBOR 1 5 32 21   22½ 21¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 14% 6.40 1.05 P
2  LEGAL DEAL 2 4 64½ 63¾   35½ 33¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 8% 12.20 5.70 S
3  ROYAL TRYST 3 7 711½ 710¾   79 47 (falcone n)VIVES SOFIA 121 8.00 5.60  
4  FROMANOTHAMUTHA 4 3 53½ 53¾   46 57 (rodriguez gustav)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00 10.90  
7  CELESTIAL GLAZE 7 6 42½ 41¼   56½ 610¼ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
6  SCREAMING UNCLE 6 1 21½ 31   67½ 717¼ (bhigroog )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 30.00 43.50  
SCR  CAPITAL CONQUEST               (lake scott )VARGAS A 121 15.00    
 
AQU-7   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:133 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TAPARINO 6 4 710¼ 76 2nk 11½ 14 (antonucci m)COA J 122 8.00 5% 17.70 6.30 W
8  VERY SATISFACTORY 8 2 41½ 63 52½ 34 24 (cox h)RIVERA R 122 3.50 26% 2.80 4.00 P
5  TRUE CONNECTION 5 5 3½ 31 1nk 21½ 35½ (ryerson j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 2.50 19% 4.30 2.30 S
4  LIMITS OF POWER 4 1 1nk 1½ 3½ 45 48¼ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 25% 3.00 5.60  
3  BAD BOY BUTCH 3 6 2nk 2½ 41½ 55 58½ (sacco d)LUZZI J 122 8.00 6.60  
1  NILRUC 1 7 62¼ 42½ 78 79½ 69¼ (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.50 3.80  
7  PRAIRIE DUNES 7 3 51¾ 52½ 64 68 710¾ (sciacca gary)VIVES SOFIA 122 12.00 18.10  
2  NOBLE ONE 2 8 814¾ 818 818 815 815¼ (pregman jr)CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00 70.00  
SCR  DREAM ALLIANCE               (delauro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.