Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - February 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/4/3)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/4/1)-(4/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/3/6)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(3/1)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(5/1/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/1/2/7)-(8/4/5/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(8/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIBBONSINHERHAIR Jan10 Dec15 Oct26 Oct17 Oct02 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50    
SCR  HOW SWEET SHE IS Dec29 Dec06 Nov01 Oct04 Aug16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50    
2  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Jan10 Dec27 Dec01 Nov07 Sep15 (morey w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 35% 1.80    
3  HARLAN'S BOND Dec12 Nov21 Jun15 May12 May05 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80    
4  DOLCE SERA Jan23 Jan05 Dec12 Nov17 Oct12 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNION SUIT Oct26 Oct04 Aug22 Jul27 Jun23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
AQU-2   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BROWN SUGAR Oct21 Oct09 Aug25 Jul15 Jun24 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 4.00    
2  DAME CINCO Jun21 May03 Apr14 Mar17 Feb02 (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 2.00 38% 1.70    
3  OCEAN GATEWAY Jun08 May10 Mar28 Mar14 Jan18 (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  DISCO EBO Dec31 Nov25 Nov05 Jul26 Jul08 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
5  RACHEL'S ROCK Jan02 Dec07 Nov03 Oct06 Aug11 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80    
 
AQU-3   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARONESS BOURBON Jan12 Dec15 Nov29 Oct18 Sep17 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  AMY'S LIGHT Dec15 Nov17 Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 (pringle )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 12.00    
3  PRINCESS BECCA Jan12 Oct20 Sep19 Aug23 Jul18 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.40 48% 1.10    
4  GRACE REFORMED Nov19 Oct23 Oct09 Sep05 Jul30 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
5  BROOKLYN DANTZ Jan24 Jan12 Dec15 Nov14 Oct17 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
6  MONETARY MONARCH Jan12 Dec13 Nov22 Jan05 Nov19 (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 123 8.00    
 
AQU-4   02/06/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD LIGHTNING Dec11 Sep20 Jul07 May10 Nov17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50    
2  LA VITA SOFIA Dec29 Dec08 Nov14 Aug07 Jul21 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00    
3  FADE TO GREY Jan11 Dec06 Oct19 Sep22 Jul17 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  POINTS IS POINTS Jan11 Dec27 Oct25     (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  BROWN SUGA BABE Jan11 Dec06 Nov07 Oct10 Sep27 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
6  BOBBY JEAN Dec08 Nov14 Oct20 Sep19 Aug16 (hennig mark)CIVACI SAHIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TABEGUACHE Dec29 Nov24 Oct25 Sep26 Aug15 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  CLASSIC CATCH Oct25 Jul11 Jun12 May11 Apr13 (pletcher todd )CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
3  YO DADDY Jan12 Dec12 Nov21 Nov10 Oct05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  WINIT Jan04 Nov24 Oct26 Sep26 Aug23 (atras rob)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
SCR  KINETIC SKY Jan04 Mar30 Mar02 Feb03 Dec31 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00    
SCR  REPO ROCKS Jan18 Dec31 Dec07 Oct26 Sep21 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00    
 
AQU-6   02/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL HARBOR Jan05 Nov15 Oct05 Aug28 Jul27 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 14% 6.40    
2  LEGAL DEAL Jan03 Nov14 Oct05 Sep23 Aug16 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 8% 12.20    
3  ROYAL TRYST Jan19 Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 Dec29 (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 121 8.00    
4  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Oct18 Sep20 Aug28 Aug07 Jun28 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
5  COMMERCE COMET Jan05 Dec27 Nov15 Oct19 Sep21 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  SCREAMING UNCLE Dec06 Nov09 Oct19 Jul14 Jun23 (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 30.00    
7  CELESTIAL GLAZE Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 Oct18 Sep19 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPITAL CONQUEST Jan13 Dec09 Nov27 Oct14 Sep23 (lake scot)VARGAS A 121 15.00    
 
AQU-7   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NILRUC Jan19 Jan05 Nov21 Nov01 Sep26 (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.50    
2  NOBLE ONE Jan05 Dec14 Nov21 May12 Mar28 (pregman j)CEDENO CAROL 122 30.00    
3  BAD BOY BUTCH Jan16 Nov21 Oct17 Aug04   (sacco gregory )LUZZI J 122 8.00    
4  LIMITS OF POWER Jan05 Nov24 Oct01     (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  TRUE CONNECTION Jan16 Nov29 Nov07 Jul06 Jun15 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 2.50 19% 4.30    
6  TAPARINO Jan19 Dec14 Oct25 Sep28 Aug30 (antonucci jena)COA J 122 8.00 5% 17.70    
7  PRAIRIE DUNES Jan19 Jan05 Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
8  VERY SATISFACTORY Dec14 Nov21 Oct05 Jul15 Jun16 (cox h)RIVERA R 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  DREAM ALLIANCE Jan05 Dec12 Nov30 Aug05   (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.