Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(3/4/1)-(2/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/4/6)-(4/8/3/6/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/8/3/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(4/8/3/6/1)-(4/2/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/8/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/6/1)-(4/8/3/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/6/1)-(4/8/3/6/1)-(4/8/3/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/3/6/1)-(4/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/6/1)-(4/2/6/9)-(8/1/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/9)-(4/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/9)-(4/2/6/9)-(4/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/9)-(8/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/9)-(8/1/2/5)-(8/6/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/5)-(8/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/5)-(8/6/5/1)-(5/1/8/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (8/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/1)-(5/1/8/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/1)-(5/1/8/3/2)-(7/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/1/8/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/3/2)-(5/1/8/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/3/2)-(5/1/8/3/2)-(5/1/8/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/8/3/2)-(7/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-9   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/2/4/1/6)-(7/2/4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WILDCAT ANNIE Jan25 Jan01 Oct26     (miceli )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 3.00    
SCR  PHONECALLTOHEAVEN Jan23 Dec14 Nov22 Oct25   (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.00    
2  AWESOME ROBERTA Jan25 Dec29 Nov30 Nov09 Oct06 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  SWEET LILAC Jan25 Jan01       (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
4  EDDIE MARIE         (duggan p)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TALE OF THE TAIL Jan23 Dec29 Dec07     (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 58% 0.70    
6  BUBBE DEAREST Oct06 Sep13 Aug08 Jul17   (green )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50    
7  GLOBAL CHARMER Jan30         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
 
AQU-2   02/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTONIO OF VENICE Dec28 Nov23 Apr14 Mar17 Jan28 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  EXPLORATION Jan26 Dec13 Nov05 Jan20   (russell)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00    
3  RADIO RED Jan18 Jun07 Apr12 Mar02 Jan18 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.60 30% 2.30    
4  WHAT'S UP BRO Jul05 Mar29 Mar10 Feb16 Jan01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  PAXSATIONAL Dec28 Nov01 Oct03 Aug02 Jun30 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00    
6  IGNITE THE LIGHT Jan01 Dec13 Aug15 Feb25 Dec02 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 123 4.50    
7  TIVY Jan18 Dec28 Nov16 Oct05 Aug23 (antonucci jena)COA J 121 8.00    
 
AQU-3   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Say Florida Sandy Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITTINGTON PARK Dec28 Aug18 Jun09 May03 Apr06 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SEE THE FOREST by FORESTRY)
2  MAMA'S GOLD Dec12 Oct12 Sep20 Feb24 Jan27 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 1.00 19% 4.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  LOCKE AND KEY Jan25 Dec28 Nov30 Oct27 Oct12 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 118 4.00    
  (by MR. Z out of U R KEY by ALBERT THE GREAT)
4  DOC SULLIVAN Dec28 Nov23 Sep21 Aug25 Jul15 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  SHERIFF BIANCO Feb08 Jan04 Dec28 Nov24 Oct27 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SUMMER RULES by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
6  SHIPSATIONAL Jan18 Nov30 May27 May20 Mar22 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 15% 5.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of REGAL APPROACH by THUNDER GULCH)
 
AQU-4   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Jan31 Jan03 Nov13 Oct21 Oct14 (potts wayne)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAGGIE T Jan30 Jan01 Dec14 Nov07 Oct20 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 5.00    
3  R FUNNY BIZNESS Feb01 Jan03 Dec08 Nov21 Oct10 (romero jes)RIVERA R 123 10.00 6% 15.60    
4  PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD Jan01 Nov27 Oct26 Sep14 Aug11 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 33% 2.00    
5  SPIRITUAL LADY Jan23 Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 Oct12 (ferraro james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
6  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Jan19 Dec15 Oct21 Sep09 Aug05 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 10.00 5% 17.70    
7  VEGAS WEEKEND Feb07 Jan19 Jan12 Nov21 Nov07 (arriaga antonio)VIVES SOFIA 121 8.00    
8  TRADE SECRET Jan03 Nov22 Oct20 Aug16 Jul05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
9  JACKIE THE JOKER Jan25 Jan03 Dec08 Oct20 Sep29 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 121 5.00    
 
AQU-5   02/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CO CONSPIRATOR Jan18 Jan02 Dec14 Dec06 Nov23 (jones eduardo )BROWN DALTON 121 20.00    
2  ALLURE OF MONEY Jan18 Dec15 Nov22 Oct24 Sep23 (baker charlton)COA J 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
3  CENTAVO Feb07 May18 May04 Apr26 Mar30 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 121 6.00    
4  DEBATE Feb07 Jan10 Nov13 Oct12 Sep20 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  WILD BANKER Feb01 Jan01 Dec15 Dec08 Oct19 (metivier ric)HARKIE K 121 12.00    
6  STRONG LIGHT Feb01 Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 Nov23 (samsunda)VILLA FAVINHO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  RERALLY Dec31 Nov26 Oct30 Oct16 Sep18 (soto- martine)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
8  PRINCE OF JOY Jan23 Jan02 Dec15 Dec06 Nov14 (legall r)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
9  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Jan19 Dec15 Nov26 Nov16 Nov02 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SOLO FLIGHT Jan26 Jan02 Dec12 Nov18 Oct28 (d'aless)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 3.50 8% 11.70    
SCR  DRIVE THRU Jan24 Jan02 Dec12 Oct17   (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 122 3.50    
2  STORMY'S DREAMING Jan17 Jan02 Dec01 Nov02 Aug28 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRAVE BUCK         (barker r)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
SCR  MAGIC BEACH Jan17 Dec12 Nov22 Oct27 Sep03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
5  SHORE TIME Jan24 Dec29 Mar10 Feb25 Feb03 (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEPT Jan24 Apr21 Feb23 Feb03 Jan13 (legall ricar)HARKIE K 122 50.00    
7  SOL THE FRANK Dec01 Nov07       (legall r)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
8  ACCIDENTAL BID Jan17 Nov29 Oct04 Aug21 Jun15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00 63% 0.60    
9  CATTANI Jan24 Jan17 Dec15 Oct24 Sep27 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
 
AQU-7   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Jan23 Dec01 Nov21 Jul15 Jun14 (chicha)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  THE BIG CALHOUNA Nov29 Nov06 Oct26 Oct16 Sep19 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00    
3  DESPO'S DREAM Jan23 Oct16 Sep25 Aug18 Jul21 (rice linda)LUZZI J 123 8.00    
4  LOOKS FIRST Jan31 Jan16 Dec13 Nov16 Apr19 (samsund)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00    
5  ROMAN GODDESS Dec29 Nov14 Oct20 Sep28 Sep02 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  GRAMMY GIRL Jan23 Dec15 Aug07 Jul06 Jun08 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  SPLASHY Jan12 Dec13 Nov17 Oct12 Aug28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
8  PATTY VAN TWINKLE Jan24 Dec27 Nov30 Oct27 Sep28 (maker mich)RIVERA R 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-8   02/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CUMBERLAND BLUES Jan19 Jan03 Dec13 Nov23 Nov16 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60 16% 5.20    
SCR  LIBERTY CENTRAL Jan17 Dec08 Nov23 Oct25 Sep29 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.60    
2  HE HAS IT ALL Jan11 Nov30 Aug15 Jul20 Jun14 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 6% 17.10    
3  WILLINTORISKITALL Jan26 Dec14 Sep29 Aug24 Jul27 (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 121 10.00 7% 13.00    
4  LANDAUER Jan17 Dec15 Nov30 Oct24 Sep27 (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 121 30.00    
5  SAINT GAUDENS Dec28 May02 Mar24 Feb11 Jan18 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  SENEGAL Jan11 Dec15 Oct31 Oct01 Sep01 (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
7  BOSS THREE O TWO Jan11 Apr21 Mar10     (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
8  BARON OF SEALAND Jan05 Dec01       (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 8% 11.00    
9  PROVISION Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 Jun20 Apr28 (shivmangal lol)LUZZI J 121 15.00    
 
AQU-9   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCINGINTHEPARK Jun22         (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHAKIN THE BELLE Jan19 Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 Oct03 (rodriguez rudy)CEDENO CAROL 122 8.00 ★    
3  PRAIRIE DUNES Feb06 Jan19 Jan05 Nov24 Nov01 (sciacca gar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 12.00    
4  DIALBOLICO Jan16 Dec13 Nov03     (antonucci jena)COA J 122 6.00 ★    
5  LCGOLUCKY Jan26 Jan19 Jan05 Dec14 Nov07 (ferraro jame)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
6  FLYING IN STYLE Jan24 Mar14 Feb23 Jan28 Jan06 (bak)VAZQUEZ GIAN 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  WAJDA Jan05 Nov07 Oct03 Sep01 Aug10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00 71% 0.40    
8  CHANGE YOUR NAME Oct17 Sep01 Aug17     (lee jo)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
9  DANGEROUS DRIVER Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.