Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Saturday - February 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/2)-(7/2/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/2)-(7/2/1/6)-(1/6/7/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-2   WIN (7/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6)-(7/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/6)-(1/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/6)-(1/6/7/5)-(2/7/6/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-3   WIN (1/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/5)-(1/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/5)-(1/6/7/5)-(1/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/5)-(2/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/5)-(2/7/6/8)-(3/6/7/11/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (2/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8)-(2/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/8)-(3/6/7/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/8)-(3/6/7/11/9)-(8/4/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-5   WIN (3/6/7/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/11/9)-(3/6/7/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/11/9)-(3/6/7/11/9)-(3/6/7/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/7/11/9)-(8/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/11/9)-(8/4/6/5)-(4/5/1/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-6   WIN (8/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/5)-(4/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/5)-(4/5/1/7)-(3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-7   WIN (4/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7)-(4/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/7)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/7)-(3/1/2)-(8/6/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-8   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(8/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(8/6/1/3)-(2/6/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-9   WIN (8/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/3)-(2/6/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-10   WIN (2/6/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/10)-(2/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/10)-(2/6/9/10)-(2/6/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOTOX KATIE Nov06 Oct17 Sep03 Aug20 Jun25 (richard)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
MIND YOUR OWN Jan25 Oct20 Sep27 Sep03 Aug19 (delong ben)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
ADDISON Jan23 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 Mar29 (evans mich)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 4.50    
TWO HEARTED Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 Dec06 Nov13 (salas marceli)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
TALL GIRL Jan15 Jan03 Dec06 Nov05 Sep25 (danner do)CORREA L 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
MORE MANGO Jan03 Dec19 Oct04 Sep20 Sep02 (fernandez ed)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 6.00    
ARMY KITTEN Jan24 Jan06 Nov14 Nov04 Jul06 (rivera nes)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 41% 1.50    
MY ROSIE Jan25 Dec12 Oct05 Jun29 May03 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 20.00    
 
TP-2   02/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE CANDY Jan18 Dec28 Nov20 Oct13 Sep26 (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
GOD OF WINE Jan18 Nov13 Sep26 Aug31 Aug05 (molloy thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 4.00 19% 4.30    
VACCINATOR Jan18 Dec28 Nov07 Oct24 Jun13 (paquette ray)RAMOS D 125 5.00    
GUCCI MAN Jan29 Dec20 Oct29 Oct12 Sep18 (castanon jose )CEDILLO ABEL 125 20.00    
GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Jan04 Dec08 Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 (fernand)DE CRUZ 125 5.00    
ONLY FRANK KNOWS Jan26 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 Nov07 (paye jose)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHIESTY TO CHASE Dec28 Dec06 Oct29 Sep26 Sep11 (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00 52% 0.90    
BRIO Jan26 Dec06 Oct01 Sep15 May23 (medina rober)MONCADA IRVING 120 3.50    
 
TP-3   02/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALKIN IN CURSIVE Jan30 Jan01 Sep26 Sep07 Jul24 (esquive)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
DR. BELLA Jan03 Dec13 Sep25 Aug22 Jul24 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
STORM CHARGING Jan16 Jan01 Dec04 Jun21 May25 (hester haley)OUZTS W 121 6.00    
RUVIES IN TIME Jan25 Dec13 Nov09 Oct19 Jun08 (delong ben)VILLARREAL OSCAR 116 10.00    
SWEET BABY RAY Nov07 Aug26 Jul23 Jun25 Mar22 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00 7% 13.60    
WHEN'S FOREVER Jan15 Jan01 Oct22 Sep03 Aug19 (dav)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
KERLO'S CAUSE Jan15 Nov07 Oct19 Oct04 Sep20 (short thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 12.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  FANCIFUL Nov13 Oct05 Sep18 Aug30 Aug21 (caramori caio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 6.00    
ARROGANTE Jan15 Dec13 Nov13 Oct13 Sep11 (moreno tit)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00    
 
TP-4   02/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AZOI Oct23 Sep25 Aug29 Aug10 Jul05 (morey willia)RAMOS D 125 15.00    
BERNIN TUNE Dec28 Nov02 Oct09 Sep01 Jul31 (morey willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.50 33% 2.00    
SUMMER IN ADRIANE Jan18 Dec14 Nov21 Oct18 Oct06 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 125 4.00    
STORMIN LOVE Dec28 Nov06 Sep28 Nov11 Oct14 (lobo h)ROMAN A 125 3.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS PHAROAH Jan26 Dec21 Oct07 Sep19 Aug15 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 8.00    
SPECIAL JUSTICE Dec27 Oct09 Sep17 Jun27 May21 (molloy thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 6.00 14% 6.00    
BIG WALT Dec28 Nov13 Oct10 Jan26   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 125 4.00 22% 3.70    
NOBLE GENTLEMAN Jan25 Jan05 Nov17 Oct24 Oct01 (labra rog)CORREA L 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-5   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN FURY Jan29 Oct17 Sep09 Aug25   (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN BULLEIT Jan26 Dec20 Oct17 Sep11 Aug15 (mcentee paul)SERPA ANGEL 120 10.00    
ANOTHER MONARCH Jan23 Sep07       (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
HOW'YA GETTING ON Jan29 Dec21       (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
FINANCIAL WHIZ Jan26 Dec20 Nov21 Oct31 Oct07 (vanden britt)FELIX E 120 8.00    
STAY FROSTY Dec19 Nov29 Oct26     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 12% 7.10    
COSMIC LUTE         (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 120 20.00 12% 7.10    
DEVILS ROCK Jan30         (evans mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 12.00    
CAPTAIN CASE Dec07         (walsh ryan )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
10  MOR SUCCESS Jan23 Dec27 Oct23 Sep25   (demerit)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
11  ROCKETSOCKITTEWMEY         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 15.00 10% 9.50    
 
TP-6   02/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO SAY Jan04 Oct31 Oct07 Aug10 Jun30 (medina robert)LANERIE J 125 15.00    
SMART MO Jan01 Aug03 Jun16 May27 Apr27 (eurton peter)MONCADA IRVING 120 5.00    
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Jan18 Dec28 Nov16 Oct25 Jul24 (esquivel jesus)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00    
GRAY'S FABLE Nov23 Nov01 Oct03 Jul06 Jun19 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 125 2.50 35% 1.90    
OCEAN VICTORY Jan26 Dec21 Oct09 Mar24 Jan21 (corrigan )CORREA L 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
MUCHO MOJO Oct07 Sep12 Jun28 May25 May02 (bla)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
TATANKA Jan24 Dec28 Sep07 Jul29 Jul06 (vanden britt)FELIX E 125 8.00    
SILENT SUNDAY Dec28 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Aug25 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  SPECIAL AGENT Dec28 Nov13 Sep23 Aug21   (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
 
TP-7   02/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Valdale Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LIL PUNKY Jan01 Dec13 Nov30 Oct12 Sep20 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 9% 10.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of TRANSLATOR by STRAVINSKY)
LA MARINERA Jan17 Dec26 Dec13 Nov28 Nov06 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of CURLIN SUPREME by CURLIN)
HOLLYGROVE Dec07 Nov01 May24     (beckman wh)RAMOS D 118 3.50    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MOON AND STARS by ORB)
MAGICAL BETTE Dec26 Jun15       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of FOREST GAMBLE by FOREST WILDCAT)
BRINDI (IRE) Jan17 Oct09 Aug31 Jul18   (danner kelse)MONCADA IRVING 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SALAMAH by SHAMARDAL)
GRACE ON GRACE Jan01 Dec13 Nov06 Sep21 Aug21 (demerit)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of TRICK SOSO by POTEEN)
MACLEAN'S LULLABY Jan23 Dec26 Nov28 Nov05 Sep26 (matejka )RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
TP-8   02/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PNUTBUTTER WHISKEY Jan04 Dec06 Oct27 Oct12 Sep11 (kelley james)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
URBAN PLANNER Sep23 Aug05       (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 115 10.00 5% 18.10    
DESPERATE PROPOSAL Jan24 Dec05 Nov14 Oct11 Sep18 (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  NORTH TERRACE Nov12 Oct01       (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 15.00    
SCR  FLOODLITES Dec18 Nov01 Oct06 Aug31 Jul13 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.40    
VEHEMENTLY Jan04 Dec18 Nov30 Oct31 Aug01 (elliott)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
CHARBONNAY Jan25 Nov07 Oct22 Aug11 Jun17 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00    
EL DANDI Jan18 Dec18 Nov30 Nov07 Oct20 (acevedo israel)SERPA ANGEL 118 10.00    
 
TP-9   02/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL FAST Dec28 Oct24 Aug20 Sep07 Jul21 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 8.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  ELEVATED GAME Nov02 Sep07 Aug29 Jul08 Jun13 (ramsey nolan)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 5.00    
NIP N TUCK Jan26 Dec27 Oct08 Sep19 Sep04 (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
OVERSTATEMENT Jan17 Dec28 Dec01 Nov10 Oct23 (miller kenny)ROMAN A 125 12.00    
ANTHEM KING Jul26 Jun09 May04 Mar08 Feb09 (beckman wh)RAMOS D 125 4.50    
WELAKA Dec07 Nov16 Aug27 Jul14 Jun28 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 4.00 16% 5.10    
HARVARD Dec26 Nov21 Nov03 Aug30 Aug02 (maker michael )CEDILLO ABEL 125 5.00    
SAFE TRIP HOME Dec14 Nov08 Oct12 Jan01 Dec02 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00 56% 0.80    
LOU'S LEGACY Jan04 Nov28 Nov09 Oct10 Sep07 (andr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 15.00    
 
TP-10   02/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-10:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY LOVE         (eurton peter)MONCADA IRVING 115 6.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of LOVEMELIKEYOUDO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MASAYOSHI         (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of WINE PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  UPTOWN MOJO         (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 120 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of STEALIN' CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MCILROY         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of KITTY WINE by LEMON DROP KID)
BIG VINCE Dec19         (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
D BIGALOW Jan18 Dec19 Oct18 Sep28   (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by BAYERN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
INSPIRED KISS         (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 10.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of INSPIRED ROSE by INSPIRED PROSPECT)
SCR  JUJUBEE Jan25 Dec21 Oct30 Sep27 Aug10 (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CH CH CHERRY BOMB by NOT FOR LOVE)
SHIP SHIP HOORAY Jan04 Dec01       (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of RITHM AND RAP by ALGORITHMS)
10  QUINTILLION (IRE) Jan25 Nov01 Sep12 Aug05   (miller darrin)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.