Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Friday - December 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-4   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $5.20 $1.20 30%
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  7-2 $4.20 $2.20 110%
PEN-5   EXA (8/3)-(8/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00  8-1 $5.00 $1.00 25%
    DD (7/2)-(8/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00  7-8 $5.50 $1.50 38%
PEN-6   DD (8/3)-(6/1/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-6 $9.10 $1.10 14%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WELLAREYOUHAPPYNOW 2 6 63¾ 23   2nk 12¼ (sullivan elliot)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.00 55% 0.80 1.00 W
5  FIREBALL EXPRESS 5 1 12 13   1nk 22¼ (albright r)CORA D 123 4.00 3.00  
1  PRACTICAL RACHEL 1 5 53½ 67   34 35¼ (loaiza ilma)INIRIO J 123 3.50 11% 7.80 11.70 S
7  GOLDEN LIMONCELLO 6 2 22 33½   47 410¾ (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 6.00 6.60  
4  WILD GIRL 4 7 74¼ 77½   79 512 (neilson c)AGUILAR M 121 10.00 20.60  
8  LEO'S PISCES 7 4 43 45½   57½ 612¼ (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 8% 10.90 3.80  
3  AUNT JO 3 3 33 55½   68 714¼ (smith m)FLORES E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 66.20  
SCR  ADIOS MEISTER               (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
 
PEN-2   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MARION GRACE 5 2 2½ 1nk   13 13 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.50 29% 2.50 2.20 W
4  HIDDEN CACHE 4 3 42 42½   43½ 23 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 121 4.00 12.50  
6  PLUS SIZED COURAGE 6 6 65 68½   53¾ 35¼ (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 3.00 49% 1.10 2.20 S
1  PERIDOT PENDANT 1 5 31½ 32   33½ 45½ (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 5.70  
3  CARDINAL WAR CRY 3 1 1½ 2nk   23 56½ (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 4.00  
2  ARROGANTE 2 8 77 711   77¼ 67 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
8  KOKOPELLI GIRL 8 4 52 53½   65¼ 77½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
7  DUST BUNNY 7 7 87¼ 812½   89¼ 813½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 20.00 45.60  
 
PEN-3   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TILTED TIARA 4 2 11 1½   14 15 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00 25% 2.90 1.40 W
10  AMIRATI 9 1 33 44½   46 25 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00 12.90  
1  OLIVE KAT 1 8 44½ 34½   36 35¼ (gorham michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 125 3.00 7% 13.80 10.50 S
2  QUEEN WIGGY 2 3 21 2½   24 45½ (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 25% 3.00 4.50  
3  MORGANS COVE 3 5 67 610   56¼ 55½ (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 123 12.00 16.70  
8  SO SWELL 7 10 1012¾ 913½   78¾ 66¼ (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 118 8.00 4.90  
11  JUST STAY HOME 10 4 79 813   810¾ 76½ (loaiza ilmar)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.50 20% 3.90 9.50  
9  STORMY SPELL 8 7 54½ 56   68¼ 89¼ (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 125 6.00 25.20  
7  CARLY HUSTLE 6 6 89¼ 712   911¼ 911 (salinas jose)CORA D 123 20.00 5% 19.00 49.20  
6  SCOTT ALAIA 5 9 911¼ 1018½   10100 10100 (loaiza ilmar)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00 11.80  
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY               (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 123 30.00    
 
PEN-4   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:221 :444 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHERIFF RONNIE 4 1 21 2½   1nk 1½ (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 35% 1.90 1.60 W
2  CAMULUS 1 3 11 1½   2nk 2½ (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 34% 1.90 1.00 P
4  GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) 2 4 33 35½   34 35¾ (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.00 3.70  
5  OUR PRIDE N JOY 3 2 43 47   44½ 48¾ (martin f)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 7.50  
SCR  BYK               (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50    
SCR  GENGHIS               (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 10.00    
SCR  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT               (kravets m)CORA D 123 8.00    
 
PEN-5   12/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:143 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UNCLE CAESAR 5 3 32 32 3.2 2nk 1¼ (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 35% 1.90 1.10 W
1  COLLIER'S TIME 1 4 42 43½ 42¼ 1nk 2¼ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50 ★ 1.20 P
7  SKIMBLE SHANKS 4 5 54 54 52¼ 42½ 34¾ (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 121 2.50 4.50  
6  COUPERIN 3 2 21 21½ 2nk 31 45½ (o'callahan carl)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 12.00  
3  SHY DA RUNNER 2 1 11 11½ 1nk 54½ 524½ (synnefias panagio)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00 18% 4.60 18.10  
SCR  EGOT A POKER FACE               (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00    
SCR  ENTRUST               (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 121 15.00    
SCR  STEADY JOHN               (bentley f)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
 
PEN-6   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  INDEPENDENCE WAY 6 1 2nk 11   15 11 (synnefias dimitri)CHIAPPE R 124 1.80 35% 1.90 1.30 W
1  WARRIORS JEWEL 1 7 41¼ 36   25 21 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 1.60 27% 2.80 1.10 P
3  CRUZIN ANNA 3 2 1nk 21   36 313½ (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
5  GO CHLOE GO 5 6 74¾ 711   714½ 413¾ (hamilton steph)ORTIZ JOSHUA 115 8.00 21.60  
4  ANALOG 4 3 61¾ 58½   411 515 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 15% 5.70 21.00  
7  JUST START DANCIN 7 4 31 47½   613½ 617¼ (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 125 6.00 9.20  
2  CHARGE THAT DRESS 2 5 51¼ 68½   511½ 724½ (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 41.30  
 
PEN-7   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ROLLY 6 1 11 12   14 16¼ (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 2.00 50% 1.00 0.40 W
4  HOPPY TIME 3 3 21 22   24 26¼ (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 15% 5.80 2.90 P
3  MOBOT 2 5 66 510   38 310¼ (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 15.00 26.40  
5  MICHAELSHATRICK 4 4 43 46   49 415¼ (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 10% 8.70 32.20  
2  DAVE DID IT 1 6 55 610   512 517¼ (martinez a)CORA D 125 12.00 8.10  
6  NORTHERN VIRGINIA 5 2 31½ 35   612 6100 (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 8.00 8.20  
SCR  COME ABOUT               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00    
SCR  JOSH               (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 124 12.00    
SCR  WILD NUGGET               (synnefias dim)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.50    
 
PEN-8   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:38
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PICCOLO DIAVOLO 8 4 41 3.2   12 14½ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00 1.40  
1  SPELLED WELL 1 6 62¼ 61¼   35 24½ (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 25.60 P
4  FILTHY RICH 4 8 72¾ 5¾   56 35¾ (murillo ric)INIRIO J 121 2.50 66% 0.50 2.10 S
5  RAGING BEAR 5 1 1½ 1nk   22 48¼ (albright amy)CORA D 121 8.00 7% 13.60 6.00  
2  GRUMPY BROOKSIE 2 5 52 84¼   69 59 (fields kevin)FLORES E 124 3.50 7.50  
7  WITH KNOW NAME 7 7 82¾ 73¼   79 69¼ (loaiza ilmar)TUNON JORDANO 125 6.00 20.20  
6  JACK CLOUD 6 3 3½ 2nk   45½ 713¼ (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 ★ 8.50  
9  SWEEPIN HARD 9 9 97¾ 98¼   911¼ 813¾ (jacklin theodora )BAKER J 121 50.00 5% 19.00 ######  
3  KEEP DEM TALKING 3 2 2½ 4¾   89¼ 919¾ (nicholson junior )AGUILAR M 121 12.00 48.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.