Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - December 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-2   Win (6/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (5/2/11/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-4   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-5   Win (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-6   Win (6/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-7   Win (9/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-8   Win (4/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICAL RACHEL Nov12 Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 Aug13 (loaiza ilmar)INIRIO J 123 3.50 11% 7.80    
WELLAREYOUHAPPYNOW Nov02 Oct04 Sep11 Aug18 Jul27 (sullivan elliott)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
AUNT JO Nov20 Nov13 Oct31 Oct23 Sep09 (smith m)FLORES E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
WILD GIRL Oct10 Sep19 Aug13 Jul10 May21 (neilson c)AGUILAR M 121 10.00    
FIREBALL EXPRESS Nov29 Nov07 Sep30 Aug21 Jul31 (albright r)CORA D 123 4.00    
SCR  ADIOS MEISTER Nov21 Oct10 Sep20 Aug15 Jul24 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
GOLDEN LIMONCELLO Nov15 Aug21       (reck christophe)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 6.00    
LEO'S PISCES Oct02 May29 Mar15 Feb09   (simoff andr)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 8% 10.90    
 
PEN-2   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERIDOT PENDANT Nov20 Nov01 May02     (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
ARROGANTE Nov13 Oct13 Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CARDINAL WAR CRY Nov07 Aug22 Jul31 Jun27   (salvaggio michae)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50    
HIDDEN CACHE Nov21 Nov02 Sep10 Aug20 Jul24 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 121 4.00    
MARION GRACE Oct19 Oct02 Sep14 Aug26 Aug09 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
PLUS SIZED COURAGE Nov21 Nov22 Nov08 Oct09   (kravets bruce)RAMOS O 120 3.00 49% 1.10    
DUST BUNNY Nov08 Oct24 Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 20.00    
KOKOPELLI GIRL Nov21 Aug21 Jul22 Jul03 Jun16 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVE KAT Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Oct04 Sep13 (gorham e)MENA E 125 3.00 7% 13.80    
QUEEN WIGGY Nov20 Oct17 Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
MORGANS COVE Nov20 Oct31 Sep02 Aug14 Jul12 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY Oct31 Jul03 Jun13 May31 May15 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 123 30.00    
TILTED TIARA Nov20 Oct31 Aug28 Aug08 Jun19 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00 25% 2.90    
SCOTT ALAIA Nov11 Jul22 May04 Apr23 Mar20 (loaiza ilmar)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00    
CARLY HUSTLE Nov27 Nov20 Oct25 Sep22 Aug28 (salinas jose)CORA D 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SO SWELL Dec02 Nov20 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 (rodriguez irving)AGUILAR JEAN 118 8.00    
STORMY SPELL Nov29 Nov20 Oct23 Feb29 Jan26 (harigeorgiou kons)BEATO INOEL 125 6.00    
10  AMIRATI Nov29 Nov13 Oct17 Sep14 Aug17 (kravets bruce)RAMOS O 122 5.00    
11  JUST STAY HOME Nov19 Nov11 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 (loaiza ilmar)TUNON JORDANO 123 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
PEN-4   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Nov07 Oct17 Aug30 Aug07 Jul12 (kravets m)CORA D 123 8.00    
CAMULUS Oct30 Sep21 Aug10 Jul17 Jun13 (salvaggio m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  BYK Nov27 Nov02 Sep27 Aug30 Dec29 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50    
GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) Nov21 Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug31 (sanchez-salomon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.00    
OUR PRIDE N JOY Nov21 Oct15 Mar03 Feb11 Dec16 (martin f)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
SCR  GENGHIS Nov21 Nov06 Oct17 Sep15 Aug16 (kravets bruce)RAMOS O 121 10.00    
SHERIFF RONNIE Nov21 Oct30 Oct11 Sep21 Aug11 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-5   12/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLIER'S TIME Dec16 Nov24 Oct26 Apr08 Dec31 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50    
SCR  EGOT A POKER FACE Nov19 Sep25 Aug22 Jul31 Jun17 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00    
SHY DA RUNNER Nov07 Oct09 Sep09 Aug26 Jul22 (synnefias panagioti)AGUILAR M 121 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  ENTRUST Nov13 Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun23 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 121 15.00    
SCR  STEADY JOHN Nov08 Oct03 Sep04 Jul04 Jun21 (bentley fen)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
COUPERIN Nov21 Oct24 Sep26 Aug03 Jul18 (o'callahan carl)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Nov21 Oct30 Aug22 Jul25 Jun19 (kreiser timot)RAMOS O 121 2.50    
UNCLE CAESAR Nov14 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug13 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-6   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIORS JEWEL Nov01 Oct02 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 (kravets bruce)RAMOS O 124 1.60 27% 2.80    
CHARGE THAT DRESS Aug23 Aug15       (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
CRUZIN ANNA Aug23 Aug15       (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANALOG         (martin charles )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 15% 5.70    
GO CHLOE GO Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 (hamilton stephen)ORTIZ JOSHUA 115 8.00    
INDEPENDENCE WAY Nov03 Sep13 Jul26 Jul13 Jun16 (synnefias dimitrios)CHIAPPE R 124 1.80 35% 1.90    
JUST START DANCIN Nov20 Jun06 May02     (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 125 6.00    
 
PEN-7   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOSH         (lawrence l)TORRES JOMAR 124 12.00    
DAVE DID IT Nov13 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Aug28 (martinez a)CORA D 125 12.00    
MOBOT Oct30 Oct15 May14 May01 Feb21 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 15.00    
HOPPY TIME Nov29 Nov13 Oct30 Sep23 Aug16 (kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
MICHAELSHATRICK Nov13 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep10 (boyer jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 10.00 10% 8.70    
NORTHERN VIRGINIA Sep15 Aug23 Aug02 Jun14   (stites flint )INIRIO J 125 8.00    
SCR  COME ABOUT Nov20 Nov09 Sep10     (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00    
SCR  WILD NUGGET Oct25 Oct03 Sep01     (synnefias dimit)TUNON JORDANO 124 2.50    
ROLLY Nov13 Oct30 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 (kravets bruce)RAMOS O 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-8   12/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPELLED WELL Oct31 May13 Apr17 Mar21 Mar06 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRUMPY BROOKSIE Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 Aug30 Aug23 (fields kevin)FLORES E 124 3.50    
KEEP DEM TALKING Nov15 Oct31 Sep30 Sep09 Jul26 (nicholson ju)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00    
FILTHY RICH Nov27 Nov06 Aug28 Jul10 Jun11 (murillo ricar)INIRIO J 121 2.50 66% 0.50    
RAGING BEAR Nov15 Oct31 Oct01 Sep18 Aug14 (albright amy)CORA D 121 8.00 7% 13.60    
JACK CLOUD Nov08 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 Aug24 (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
WITH KNOW NAME Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 Sep30 Sep11 (loaiza ilmar)TUNON JORDANO 125 6.00    
PICCOLO DIAVOLO Oct19 Sep23 Sep07 Aug23 Aug03 (rathman elish)RAMOS O 120 5.00    
SWEEPIN HARD Oct24 May22 May04 Mar06 Feb16 (jacklin s)BAKER J 121 50.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.