Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $9.00 $3.00 50%
MVR-3   DD (2/5/4)-(9/5/10/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-10 $32.20 $8.20 34%
MVR-5   WIN (5/7/2/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $26.80 $16.80 168%
MVR-7   WIN (3/9/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $13.80 $5.80 73%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:011     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL BIT 1 3 44 43   21 13¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.80 1.60  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
3  ROSETTA 2 2 32 21   11 23¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 8.00 26% 2.90 5.50 P
  (by BIONDETTI out of CHANSON D'AMOUR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  ANGEL I'M NOT 3 1 11 11   31½ 34½ (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 2.50 1.20  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of ANGEL HERITAGE by SHACKLEFORD)
5  DESTINY'S TOT 4 4 58 58   48½ 414½ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 84.10  
  (by KENNEDY out of DESTINY OVER FATE by DRILL)
7  SHARP LADY 5 5 69½ 610   59 514½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 20.00 5% 19.00 31.00  
  (by JAC'S FACT out of STRUMMING by CURE THE BLUES)
8  MO SWIFT 6 6 21 32½   613 627 (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 31% 2.20 4.10  
  (by DRILL out of MO SMART by UNCLE MO)
SCR  E KRACKER               (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PELEADORA FUERTE by STRONG CONTENDER)
SCR  ONE EYED JASMINE               (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 122 6.00    
  (by DANZA out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
 
MVR-2   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3 ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:231 :47       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FOURDATESFORHOCO 5 1 11 11   12 14¼ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00 14% 6.00 3.50 W
3  RONNIS SECOND WIND 3 2 21 21   22 24¼ (cline c)PEREZ E 120 2.00 1.70  
2  BIGPICLITTLEPIC 2 3 43 52½   35 39¼ (poole m)BRACHO A 120 3.50 63% 0.60 1.70 S
4  DUSTY BILLY 4 4 32½ 32   45½ 411¾ (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
1  SO THAT'S THAT 1 6 64½ 63   57 519¼ (poole m)AVILES YAN 120 3.00 5.70  
6  GRETCHENS MANE MAN 6 5 53½ 42½   615 632¼ (zielinski richard)STOKES J 120 6.00 16.30  
 
MVR-3   01/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:224 :472       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VILLAGE CAT 8 3 11 1½   12½ 14¼ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 8.00 6% 14.60 1.60 W
9  CHLOES ANGEL 7 1 32½ 2½   22½ 24¼ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 58% 0.70 1.90 P
7  CITY SIGNS 6 4 64 31   32½ 36¾ (castillo jabdiel)STOKES J 124 20.00 56.80  
6  GAIL'S DANCER 5 5 87½ 86½   66¼ 47¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
2  MERE BAG OF SHELLS 2 6 21 51½   44½ 59¼ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 20.10  
4  BISCAYNE BAY 3 7 42½ 63½   56 610½ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00 20.70  
1  BAY MAGIC 1 8 53 41   78¼ 714¾ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 14.50  
5  LADY ABRIL 4 2 74½ 75½   811¼ 816 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 14% 5.90 2.90  
SCR  EXACTITUDE               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00    
SCR  SEEYOUINMOTOWN               (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00    
 
MVR-4   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:223 :464       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  KERLO'S CAUSE 8 4 21½ 21   31½ 1¾ (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 6.80  
7  CASTLE MAGIC 6 1 31½ 33   11½ 2¾ (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 2.50 54% 0.90 2.70 P
1  PACIFIC VIEW 1 6 55¼ 55½   43½ 31 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 23% 3.30 5.90 S
8  TIMELY SECRET 7 3 11½ 11   21½ 41 (urieta johanna)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 5.70  
4  LONG BLACK VEIL 4 2 41¾ 45   56½ 58¾ (jarvis kathy)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
6  WRITTEN CONSENT 5 5 75¾ 77   67 69 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
3  YEHAWMEMAW 3 7 86 66½   77½ 79 (short thomas)STOKES J 126 8.00 38.20  
2  KANTBACKOFF 2 8 65¾ 89½   89 811 (robillard juli)DIAZ I 124 3.50 2.40  
SCR  MAGESTAL BASTIDA               (silva )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:222 :463       1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KHALFANI 7 6 42½ 42   31½ 1¼ (skelton t)STOKES J 126 5.00 9% 10.20 12.40 W
10  QUANTUM THEORY 10 3 31 21½   21½ 2¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 1.00  
9  UPTOWN GUY 9 2 2½ 31½   52¼ 36¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 5% 19.00 16.70 S
8  THE LAST FACT 8 1 1½ 11½   11½ 46¾ (castil)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 5.00  
3  ENZOEXPRESS 3 10 88 68   64¼ 57¾ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 12.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
5  RESCUE FIVE 5 4 53 53   41¾ 69¾ (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 126 4.00 57% 0.70 3.00  
1  LOCK ON 1 8 1010 912½   76¼ 710½ (haehn terry)NUNEZ Y 126 20.00 74.10  
2  PERFECT WAGER 2 9 910 1012¾   97¼ 811 (norris stephan)HOUGHTON D 126 15.00 8% 11.60 7.50  
4  UNCLEJACKOMO 4 5 66 78½   86¾ 911¼ (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00 60.90  
6  RY'S REVENGE 6 7 76½ 810½   1010¼ 1016¼ (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 ######  
 
MVR-6   01/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:223 :464       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EPICUREAN 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.50 5.80  
5  HONEY BELLA 5 5 52 52   2½ 2¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 1.40  
7  STACY ATTACK 7 6 41½ 41½   32½ 31¾ (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 3.10  
3  TIZ INDEPENDENCE 3 7 74¾ 73¼   43½ 42½ (skerrett jeffrey)STOKES J 124 8.00 16% 5.10 9.80  
6  PRINCESSTAPITURE 6 3 3½ 3½   53½ 56 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5% 19.00 30.80  
1  BLUSHING BETTY 1 4 62¼ 62¼   65 69¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 1.80 53% 0.90 2.80  
4  FIRST KITTEN 4 2 2½ 2½   77 711¼ (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
 
MVR-7   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  REDWHITEANDTACOS 5 2 21 2nk   12 1nk (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 10% 9.00 5.90 W
10  PRANCIPANTS 8 5 31 3.2   22 2nk (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 5.20  
1  ONE NIGHT STAND 1 8 73¼ 83¾   64 32½ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 6% 14.70 19.30 S
3  OOPSIE DOOPSIE 3 4 42½ 62¾   32½ 43½ (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 35% 1.80 1.00  
9  SNELL FLICKA 7 1 11 1nk   42½ 53¾ (buttigieg kev)BRACHO A 124 6.00 24% 3.10 3.90  
2  BLAZING ZENNA 2 7 85¼ 73¼   53 65¼ (mahan josep)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 20.00 88.30  
8  JEN'S BATTLE 6 6 63¼ 41¾   86¼ 75¼ (casalinova tina)VEGA L 124 10.00 19.90  
5  CAGUA 4 3 53 52¼   76 810½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 7.00  
SCR  TATTERED HEART               (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 124 2.50    
SCR  YOGURT               (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:231 :473       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOBBY ROB 6 4 52¼ 55   51¼ 1¼ (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 122 20.00 15.00  
  (by DRILL out of KAREN'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  BE AN EDDIE 5 5 3.2 31½   4¾ 2¼ (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 122 1.60 49% 1.00 2.90 P
  (by BIONDETTI out of FLUFFY ONTHEINSIDE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  DRILL EM 4 6 62¾ 65¼   3½ 3¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 1.80  
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
3  DUO 3 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 41½ (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.90  
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
9  R C IRONSIDE 8 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 52 (donjuan sergi)CEDILLO MAURO 122 10.00 11% 8.40 3.30  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
8  FLARING SONG 7 3 41¼ 42   62¾ 64½ (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 20.00 40.00  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
2  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY 2 8 72¾ 75¼   75¾ 75 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00 40.50  
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
1  SILVER IS A GIFT 1 7 84¼ 87¼   88¾ 816 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 122 4.00 18% 4.50 3.60  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  WHY KITTEN WHY               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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