Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (8/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/7)-(8/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/7)-(8/3/7)-(8/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/7)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/7)-(2/5/4)-(9/5/10/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(9/5/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(9/5/10/6)-(7/1/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/5/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/10/6)-(9/5/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/10/6)-(9/5/10/6)-(9/5/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/10/6)-(7/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/10/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(5/7/2/9/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/6)-(5/7/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/6)-(5/7/2/9/3)-(1/3/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/7/2/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/9/3)-(5/7/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/9/3)-(5/7/2/9/3)-(5/7/2/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/2/9/3)-(1/3/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/9/3)-(1/3/6/4)-(3/9/7/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/4)-(3/9/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4)-(3/9/7/1)-(5/1/9/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/9/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/1)-(3/9/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/1)-(3/9/7/1)-(3/9/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/7/1)-(5/1/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/3)-(5/1/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/3)-(5/1/9/3)-(5/1/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL BIT Dec26 Dec09 Nov21     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.80    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
SCR  E KRACKER Dec26 Dec09 Aug07     (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PELEADORA FUERTE by STRONG CONTENDER)
3  ROSETTA         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
  (by BIONDETTI out of CHANSON D'AMOUR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  ANGEL I'M NOT Dec26 Jun14       (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 122 2.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of ANGEL HERITAGE by SHACKLEFORD)
5  DESTINY'S TOT Dec26 Dec09 Oct23     (rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of DESTINY OVER FATE by DRILL)
SCR  ONE EYED JASMINE Dec26 Dec09       (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 122 6.00    
  (by DANZA out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
7  SHARP LADY Dec26 Nov21 Nov07 Aug06   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of STRUMMING by CURE THE BLUES)
8  MO SWIFT         (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by DRILL out of MO SMART by UNCLE MO)
 
MVR-2   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3 ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO THAT'S THAT Nov27 Oct28       (poole m)AVILES YAN 120 3.00    
2  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Dec02 Nov14 Oct29     (poole m)BRACHO A 120 3.50 63% 0.60    
3  RONNIS SECOND WIND Dec19 Nov27 Nov12 Sep20 Aug10 (cline c)PEREZ E 120 2.00    
4  DUSTY BILLY Dec28 Dec16 Nov13 Oct28   (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOURDATESFORHOCO Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Oct10 Sep18 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
6  GRETCHENS MANE MAN Dec19 Sep20 Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 120 6.00    
 
MVR-3   01/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY MAGIC Jul04 Jun18 Jun10 May18 Apr29 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
2  MERE BAG OF SHELLS May04 Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
SCR  EXACTITUDE Dec28 Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 Aug28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00    
4  BISCAYNE BAY Dec18 Nov12 Oct29 Jul09 May30 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
5  LADY ABRIL Dec18 Nov18 Jun03 Mar07 Feb20 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 14% 5.90    
6  GAIL'S DANCER Dec16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep30 Sep18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CITY SIGNS Dec18 Nov18 Oct30 Aug14 Aug01 (castillo jabdiel)STOKES J 124 20.00    
SCR  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Dec16 Oct29 Oct01 Sep04 Aug14 (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00    
9  CHLOES ANGEL Dec03 Nov18 Sep03 Aug07 Jul17 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 58% 0.70    
10  VILLAGE CAT Dec18 Nov18 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 8.00 6% 14.60    
 
MVR-4   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACIFIC VIEW Dec03 Nov11 Oct13 Sep20 Aug18 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
2  KANTBACKOFF Nov29 Nov16 Nov01 Oct11 Jul11 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
3  YEHAWMEMAW Dec27 Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 Oct04 (short thomas)STOKES J 126 8.00    
4  LONG BLACK VEIL Dec03 Nov07 Oct19 Sep25 Sep12 (jarvis kathy)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Sep27 Sep04 Jul11 May30 May16 (silva )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
6  WRITTEN CONSENT Nov07 Oct13 Sep20 Sep01 Aug18 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CASTLE MAGIC Dec03 Nov20 Oct21 Sep11 Jul18 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
8  TIMELY SECRET Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 Apr22 (urieta johanna)PAUCAR E 124 3.00    
9  KERLO'S CAUSE Nov07 Oct19 Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCK ON Dec28 Dec10 Nov20 Nov04 Oct03 (haehn terry)NUNEZ Y 126 20.00    
2  PERFECT WAGER Dec28 Dec08 Nov12 Oct20 Oct03 (norris stephan)HOUGHTON D 126 15.00 8% 11.60    
3  ENZOEXPRESS Nov04 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNCLEJACKOMO Dec28 Dec12 Nov12 Nov04 Oct19 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
5  RESCUE FIVE Nov27 Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Oct09 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 126 4.00 57% 0.70    
6  RY'S REVENGE Nov17 Oct06 Jul24 Jun30 Jun17 (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
7  KHALFANI Dec12 Nov27 Nov05 Oct23 Sep28 (skelton t)STOKES J 126 5.00 9% 10.20    
8  THE LAST FACT Dec28 Dec10 Nov27 Nov02 Oct22 (castil)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00    
9  UPTOWN GUY Dec28 Nov20 Nov04 Aug13 Jun05 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  QUANTUM THEORY Dec26 Nov26 Feb01 Jan02 Dec11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60    
 
MVR-6   01/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUSHING BETTY Dec10 Nov19 Nov06 Oct01 Aug21 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 1.80 53% 0.90    
2  EPICUREAN Dec27 Nov21 Nov12 Oct28 Jul03 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 3.50    
3  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Dec23 Dec03 Nov19 Sep26 Aug13 (skerrett jeffrey)STOKES J 124 8.00 16% 5.10    
4  FIRST KITTEN Dec27 Nov12 Oct29 Oct17 Sep22 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HONEY BELLA Dec27 Sep03 Aug18 Jul30 Jun18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
6  PRINCESSTAPITURE Dec02 Nov16 Oct28 Oct14 Sep24 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  STACY ATTACK Dec10 Nov19 Nov02 Oct21 Sep10 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE NIGHT STAND Dec26 Nov11 Oct20 Oct07 Sep24 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 6% 14.70    
2  BLAZING ZENNA Dec16 Nov20 Nov04 Sep11 Jul22 (mahan josep)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 20.00    
3  OOPSIE DOOPSIE Dec26 Dec11 Aug16 Jul26 Jun06 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  YOGURT Dec19 Nov20 Oct22 Oct05 Sep27 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
5  CAGUA Jun23 May28 May12 Apr10 Mar17 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
SCR  TATTERED HEART Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr01 Mar18 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 124 2.50    
7  REDWHITEANDTACOS Dec12 Nov13 Oct29 Oct14 Sep09 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
8  JEN'S BATTLE Nov20 Sep30 Sep04 Aug21 Jun22 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 124 10.00    
9  SNELL FLICKA Dec04 Nov14 Oct14 Oct01 Sep03 (buttigieg kev)BRACHO A 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
10  PRANCIPANTS Dec26 Dec11 Oct19 Aug06 Jul16 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER IS A GIFT Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Sep19 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
2  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
3  DUO Dec28 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Sep25 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
4  DRILL EM Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 Sep25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
5  BE AN EDDIE Dec28 Nov27       (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 122 1.60 49% 1.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of FLUFFY ONTHEINSIDE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  WHY KITTEN WHY Dec28 Oct28       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
7  BOBBY ROB Nov27 Nov13 Oct28     (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of KAREN'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
8  FLARING SONG Dec16 Nov13       (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
9  R C IRONSIDE Dec28 Dec02 Oct28 Oct04   (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 11% 8.40    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.