Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - January 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(6/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/2/4/3)-(7/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/3)-(7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/3)-(7/1/2)-(2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(2/5/4)-(6/2/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(1/5/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/4)-(1/5/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/4)-(1/5/6/2)-(5/7/4/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/2)-(5/7/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/2)-(5/7/4/6/3)-(5/6/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/7/4/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/6/3)-(5/7/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/6/3)-(5/7/4/6/3)-(5/7/4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/4/6/3)-(5/6/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/6/3)-(5/6/7/2)-(6/1/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2)-(6/1/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (6/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/3)-(6/1/8/3/9)-(6/1/8/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   01/25/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLYMPIC DREAMS Dec28 Aug15 May04 Mar30 Mar21 (kantarmaci il)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUN IT Dec29 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 5.00    
2  LAW PROFESSOR Dec29 Oct25 May05 Feb23 Jan26 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 27% 2.60    
3  CURBSTONE Dec29 Nov09 Sep26 Aug21 Jun23 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 121 15.00    
4  FILM STAR Dec21 Oct26 Sep21 Aug03 Jul11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
5  PHILEAS FOGG Dec29 Sep26 Aug03 Jul13 Jun06 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 1.40 39% 1.60    
 
AQU-2   01/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEAR CHAIRMAN Dec15 Nov25       (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of AUNT CHIPPY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  GIVEMEMYTHEMEMUSIC         (clement christ)CIVACI SAHIN 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by GAME WINNER out of JACKPOT JOANIE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  LUCKY DRAGON Nov23         (miceli)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of HUNDRED ACRE WOOD by TEUFLESBERG)
4  GRAND CASH         (bhigroog che)HARKIE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SPEIGHTSTOWN LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  WE MISS NEIL Dec30 Nov25 Nov04 Sep22 Jul13 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TOWN FAIR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  OMAHA PISTOL Sep02         (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 51% 1.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of GUN CLUB by TRAPPE SHOT)
7  CAPT JAX PARROW         (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MIZ MIDTOWN by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
AQU-3   01/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Interborough Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Jan18 Jan02 Nov22 Nov03 Sep01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 15% 5.90    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
2  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Dec13 Oct27 Sep14 Aug25 Jul15 (cox h)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  JUST MUSIC Jan19 Dec06 Oct19 Aug23 Jul21 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
4  CARA'S TIME Dec08 Oct27 Oct04 Aug31 Jul19 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
SCR  DAME CINCO Jun21 May03 Apr14 Mar17 Feb02 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of LANTERN by MINESHAFT)
6  SCALABLE Nov30 Sep21 Jul27 Jun29 May03 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PASSION FLOWER by TAPIT)
7  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE Dec21 Feb21 Jan13 Apr22 Mar25 (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 118 1.40 59% 0.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DHARMA GIRL by FRENCH DEPUTY)
 
AQU-4   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRADE SECRET Jan03 Nov22 Oct20 Aug16 Jul05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50    
2  IT TAKES HEART Jan05 Nov21 Oct20 Aug29 Aug11 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  EVERLYS GIRL Jan12 Dec08 Nov21 Nov07 Oct20 (chatterpaul na)CEDENO CAROL 121 12.00    
4  JACKSON AVENUE Jan01 Dec12 Nov19 Nov05 Oct16 (dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DARN THAT SONG Dec07 Nov01 Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  JACKIE THE JOKER Jan03 Dec08 Oct20 Sep29 Aug11 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.50    
7  COLLECT DATTT Nov05 Sep26 Sep10 Sep02 Aug04 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
 
AQU-5   01/25/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEAH ALEAH Dec27 Oct12 Aug16 Jul12 Jun07 (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 3.50    
2  MR. MENDELSSOHN Jan01 Nov30 Nov09 Sep19 Aug31 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  OLLIE CAN DANCE Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 (ibrahim emro)HARKIE K 123 8.00 15% 5.70    
4  IRIE MAN Dec28 Dec01 Oct10 Sep21 Sep01 (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BASIC TRUTH Feb11 May06 Mar25 Feb09 Jan05 (keithan rachae)CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00    
6  YORK TAVERN Jan18 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 Nov10 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  SOLO EMPIRE Dec29 Nov21 Oct18 Jul18 Jun28 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00    
8  GOLDEN PURCHASE Jan11 Dec29 Nov30 Nov10 Oct25 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 4.00    
 
AQU-6   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL CLASS Dec27 Oct26 Sep07 Jul20 Aug05 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
1A  SARIR Nov29 Oct10 Jul29 Jun06 Apr20 (rice linda)VIVES SOFIA 121 2.00    
2  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Nov17 Oct04 Jan05 Nov05 Oct07 (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUSTTHEFACTSJACK May17 Jun24       (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
4  LUNA MOTH Jan01 Nov10 Sep01 Jun30 Apr30 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
5  STRIKER HAS DIAL Dec13 Nov14 Oct10 Sep21 Aug03 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
6  LADY MINE Dec27 Nov29 Feb29 Jan19 Dec29 (englehart )RIVERA R 121 3.00 14% 6.40    
7  KILLY START Jan10 Nov29 Oct20 Oct04 Aug17 (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
 
AQU-7   01/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FIFI LA FUME Jan01 Nov21 Oct05 Sep13   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00    
SCR  FRANKIE HICCUPS Dec13 Oct31 Sep28 Aug22   (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 120 2.00    
2  SWEET LILAC Jan01         (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
3  HONEY IN THE BANK Jan01 Dec13 Nov22 Oct06   (de hor)RIVERA R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOOKIN TO ROCK Jan04 Dec06 Nov24 Nov02 Sep02 (chichakly amir)COA J 120 8.00 5% 17.70    
5  AWESOME ROBERTA Dec29 Nov30 Nov09 Oct06   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  WAVE Nov23         (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  KITTY OF WAR Jan17 Jan04 Nov18 Nov06 Oct22 (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
8  GIANT'S AUDIBLE Nov30 Oct26 Sep02     (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 120 4.00    
9  WILDCAT ANNIE Jan01 Oct26       (miceli michael)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
 
AQU-8   01/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE Nov10 Aug25 Jul29     (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
SCR  TRADE IMBALANCE Aug05         (brown c)VIVES SOFIA 121 8.00    
2  PIRATE Nov21 Oct18 Sep20 Aug07 Jul05 (ness j)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRONSINO Dec13 Nov08 Jun02 Apr27 Mar30 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
3  STILL A SOLDIER Oct15 May10 Mar31     (antonacc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 20.00    
4  COLLOQUY Dec28 Nov22 Oct12 Aug18 Aug04 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
5  BOURBON CHASE Dec14 Nov22 Oct24 Sep28 Aug25 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 60% 0.70    
6  LOCKE AND KEY Dec28 Nov30 Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
7  CUT THE CORD Aug30 Aug01 Jun27 May26 Nov08 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHILENO Dec12 Nov15 Sep21 Mar29 Sep02 (cox h)RIVERA R 121 3.00    
9  REYNOLDS CHANNEL Dec07 Sep21 Aug24 Jul13 Jun15 (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 121 5.00    
 
AQU-9   01/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACKING ERROR Jan03 Sep21       (brown c)VIVES SOFIA 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GUIDONIA by SCAT DADDY)
2  LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Dec06 Nov10 Oct12 Sep27   (arriag)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MAGNOLIA'S LADY by FREUD)
3  NICO'S DERBY RUN Dec27         (barker r)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 15% 5.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of SAM'S STONE by DISCREET CAT)
4  KULAPAT         (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 120 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SUCAT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  SUPERPOWER (GB) Dec07         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SUPER ESPRESSO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  RADAUTI Dec07 Nov10       (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
  (by TONALIST out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  MY MAN MAGOO Nov15 Oct13 Sep20     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STREET RUMOR by STREET SENSE)
8  HOT SPUN Dec27         (bhigroog che)HARKIE K 120 15.00 17% 5.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of RUBY ROAN by JIMMY CREED)
9  MUNDEN Nov29         (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  MAGNANIMOUS MAX         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of NIPPY by PULPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.