Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - December 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/6)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/5/3)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(6/2/1/5)-(2/3/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(2/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5)-(2/3/4/7)-(4/7/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/7)-(4/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/7)-(4/7/1/6)-(5/1/3/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6)-(5/1/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6)-(5/1/3/9)-(6/11/8/5/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/1/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/9)-(5/1/3/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/9)-(5/1/3/9/8)-(5/1/3/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/3/9)-(6/11/8/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/9)-(6/11/8/5/4)-(1/6/3/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/11/8/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/8/5/4)-(6/11/8/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/8/5/4)-(6/11/8/5/4)-(6/11/8/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/11/8/5/4)-(1/6/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/9)-(1/6/3/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/9)-(1/6/3/9/4)-(1/6/3/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S COMPLICATED         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of REPEAL AND REPLACE by LEA)
SCR  SHE'S FASCINATING Nov21 Oct06       (dutrow anthony )DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of CHARMEER by CANDY RIDE)
3  STAND THE RAIN         (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SUPER SURPRISE by GIANT SURPRISE)
4  CATANA Nov17         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.00 44% 1.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KIRBY'S PENNY by MACHO UNO)
SCR  STONE COLD KELLY         (lawrence james )CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  MEGA MIL Nov15         (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of ELUSIVE JACKPOT by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
AQU-2   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTA GO GO GO Dec14 Nov15 Nov01 Oct11 Sep26 (gonzalez claudi)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
2  MUAZARAH Dec01 Nov17 Oct31 Oct10 Sep27 (trites land)OLVER MADISON 120 12.00    
3  CAMM' DUKE Nov01 Oct04 Aug09 Jul06 Jun06 (ryerson )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 6.00    
SCR  MAMA'S DREAM May27 Apr28 Mar14 Feb18 Feb02 (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 4.50    
SCR  PLAY Dec06 May19 Apr19 Mar09 Jan07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00    
6  ALEAH ALEAH Oct12 Aug16 Jul12 Jun07 May10 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
AQU-3   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYBER ATTACK Mar09         (brion keri)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MY BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  WRIGHTSVILLE Apr27         (farrior anthony)VIVES SOFIA 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SEAHAWK GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Nov30 Mar24 Mar03 Jan27 Nov09 (pregman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MISSISSIPPI SOUND by UNION RAGS)
4  TOMORROW'S WISH Nov30 Oct05 Aug10     (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of WISHFUL SPLENDOR by SMART STRIKE)
5  LETTER PERFECT Nov30 Aug01       (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SYLLABLE by SUPER SAVER)
6  ELVIS HIMSELF Nov30 Nov05 Jul13 Jun22   (salazar marco)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MOSTLY ELVIS by PEACE RULES)
 
AQU-4   12/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTHEART Nov30 Oct24 Sep20 Aug28 Aug01 (brown br)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 6.00 12% 7.30    
2  STORMY MIDNIGHT Dec06 Sep22 Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 (de horacio)OTERO AAROM 113 3.50 18% 4.50    
3  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Dec01 Nov07 Sep15 Aug17 Jun28 (summers)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 2.00    
4  BIG HAZEL Nov29 Nov10 Oct06 Sep19 Aug02 (donk david)RIVERA R 120 10.00    
SCR  FOOLISH CHALLENGE Dec08 Nov21 Sep15 Sep07 Aug16 (potts wayne)VIVES SOFIA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LA GROTTE Nov20 Nov06 Oct22 Jul06 May24 (joh)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  ALLEY'S SONG Dec08 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 Sep22 (ferraro ja)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 5.00    
 
AQU-5   12/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Nov10 Oct24 Sep20 Aug16 Jul19 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
2  SHE'S COOL Nov22 Oct20 Aug11 Jun28 May31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60 35% 1.90    
3  PATTY VAN TWINKLE Nov30 Oct27 Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 (baker char)RIVERA R 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  LADY ARWEN Nov10 Oct22 Sep24 Aug12 Jul15 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  DIAMOND STATUS Nov30 Oct18 Sep02 Jun14 May09 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
6  DUSK Oct24 Sep26 Aug03 Jun15 May18 (de horacio)VIVES SOFIA 118 6.00    
7  SAUCY SIX Nov22 Oct27 Sep29 Aug03 Jul21 (keithan rachael)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCH (GB) Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 Sep29 Aug29 (jones e)RUIZ ELISEO 120 10.00 12% 7.60    
2  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Dec03 Nov04 Oct05 Sep21 Sep01 (ramire)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00    
SCR  SUPER CHIEF Nov23 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep14 (bernardini ju)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
4  HE'S IN CHARGE Nov20 Oct30 Oct05 Sep18 Aug29 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  G MUNNING Nov27 Nov20 Nov12 Oct28 Oct02 (goberdha)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
SCR  HIGH TIDE Nov14 Oct13 Sep21 Aug23 Jul24 (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MISTER J T Nov01 Oct19 Sep14 Aug22 Aug11 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
8  COMMERCE COMET Nov15 Oct19 Sep21 Aug22 Feb19 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60    
 
AQU-7   12/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL CLASS Oct26 Sep07 Jul20 Aug05 Jul09 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
1A  SAVE US MELANIA Dec13 Nov16 Sep19 Aug11 May30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
2  MY GIRL JAL Dec13 Jun30 May11 Apr18 Mar24 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00    
3  SUNDAY GIRL Nov23 Jul11 Jun09 Apr14 Feb10 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
4  ON COMMAND Dec01 Oct25 Aug31 Jul05 Jun15 (green j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
5  POINTS IS POINTS Oct25         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  ADELIESE'S SMILE Dec06 Nov17 May03 Jul08 Jun23 (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 120 30.00    
7  WUDHOOH Nov14 Sep21 Aug11 Jul21 Jun15 (pletcher to)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
8  LADY MINE Nov29 Feb29 Jan19 Dec29 Jun16 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★    
9  MYBRONXBABY Nov21 Nov01 Oct14 Sep19 Aug23 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   12/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bay Ridge Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONEWALL STAR Dec07 Oct27 Aug25 Jul26 Jun09 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of JONATA by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  LISA'S VISION Nov23 Nov14 Oct19 Aug25 Jul07 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 30.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Nov10 Oct21 Oct06 Aug14 Jun09 (david a)VIVES SOFIA 121 30.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of MIZ MIDTOWN by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  GOLDEN ROCKET Nov23 Oct27 Oct10 Sep02 Jul20 (kantarmaci)SANCHEZ J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALPHA out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  KHALI MAGIC Nov23 Nov03 Oct06 Jun20 May12 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AL KHALI out of SMOKIN SUE by SMOKIN MEL)
6  SILVER SKILLET Oct27 Sep26 Aug25 Jul07 Jun09 (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 126 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CATCHA RISING STAR by RED GIANT)
SCR  SWEET BROWN SUGAR Oct21 Oct09 Aug25 Jul15 Jun24 (barrow paul)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL'S BLUE MOON by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CRUISE TO CATALINA Oct20 Aug29 Jul25 Jun16   (mott riley)CIVACI SAHIN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KAISERIN by TIZNOW)
9  BON ADIEU Oct27 Oct19 Sep20 Aug14 Aug03 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VIVA SHEILA by TIZNOW)
10  SWEETEST PRINCESS Dec01 Nov10 Aug22 Jul11 Jun09 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  STERLING SILVER Oct27 Sep29 Aug07 Jul24 Jun23 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
12  CALL HER BLUFF Dec07 Oct27 Oct10 Aug25 Aug03 (rodriguez rudy )CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
 
AQU-9   12/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKINMUSIRE Nov29 Nov01 Jun19 May02 Apr10 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
2  HOT SPUN         (bhigroog chet)CARDENAS LUIS 119 20.00    
3  BOBBY BOB Nov22         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BERNIE GOES BOOM Dec08 Nov14 Oct11 Aug31   (miceli)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 ★    
5  NICO'S DERBY RUN         (barker r)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
6  RUN WITH HONOR Nov23         (englehart )RIVERA R 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
7  READY SET TWIRL Dec06 Oct24 Sep28     (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 30.00    
SCR  ARCADIAN Dec06 Oct24       (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 12.00    
9  TAPIZAR'S TEMPER Dec06 Nov07 Oct18 Sep18   (antonucci jena )CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  PREMIER CRU Nov30 Nov22 Nov04     (sanchez-pinero )OTERO AAROM 112 30.00    
11  PAZZ THE SOY SAUCE Dec08         (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.