Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (1/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/6)-(7/4/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/6)-(7/4/5/1)-(4/2/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (7/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/1)-(4/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/1)-(4/2/7/8)-(4/3/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/8)-(4/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/8)-(4/3/2/5)-(9/8/2/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(9/8/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/5)-(9/8/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (9/8/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/7/5)-(9/8/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/7/5)-(9/8/2/7/5)-(9/8/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/1)-(1/3/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/1)-(1/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/1)-(1/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/13/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4/9)-(1/3/6/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/13/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (5/3/6/13/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/13/10)-(5/3/6/13/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/13/10)-(5/3/6/13/10)-(5/3/6/13/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSWAYED Oct04 Jul13 Jun11 May12   (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
2  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Sep14 Aug16 Jul31 Jun28 Jun09 (paragallo jen)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  SOLO IN PARIS Oct10 Sep02 Jul20 Jul12 May18 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
4  BOOM BOOM THUNDER Oct10 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 May10 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 3.00    
5  MAJESTIC ARC Jun09 May25 May09 Apr12 Feb03 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00    
6  MUAZARAH Oct10 Sep27 Aug07 Jul12 Jun22 (trites land)OLVER MADISON 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROYAL KING Oct10 Sep27 Aug07 Jul21 Apr12 (toscano )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPTUNE BEACH Sep01 Aug18 Jun22 May03 Apr11 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SENEGAL Oct01 Sep01 Aug18 Jul18 Jul27 (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
3  ME WISE MAGIC Jun30         (bond harol)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
4  BERNING BEAUTY Sep22 Aug18 Jun14 Apr13 Feb11 (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
5  CHARMING JIM Sep27 Aug11 Jun28 Jun09 May12 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 6% 16.20    
6  CAN'T STAND DISCO Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 Jul24 Jun27 (paraga)GRISALES DANILO 120 30.00    
7  JANSSEN Sep22 Aug28 Jul24 Jul05 May19 (lakeman andrew)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
8  BURN RUBBER Oct04         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS TWEED Sep01 Aug16 Jul20 Jun23 May17 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
2  IRIDESCENT Sep15 Aug11 Jul18 May12 May05 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 7% 13.60    
3  HAGRID'S FLAME Jul31 Jun15 Apr13 Mar24   (terranova john)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
4  SANDY SWEET TOOTH Oct04 Apr12 Mar10     (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 70% 0.40    
5  SQUINTS Aug11 Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 May19 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
6  RIDGEWOOD RUNNER Jun23 Apr27 Apr06 Feb25 Jan27 (martin car)RIVERA R 120 8.00    
7  LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC Sep28 May03 Apr14 Mar24 Mar06 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  THE MONOPOLY MAN Oct14 Sep16 Jul20 Apr28 Mar27 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE TACO LADY Aug18 Aug08 Jul17 May18 May04 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
2  BUNDCHEN Aug31 Apr28       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 116 4.50 17% 4.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of NO MORE PARTIES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  FASHION VICTIM Sep27         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by TAPIT out of LASKARINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  GRAND JOB         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SURE ROUTE by ISHIGURU)
5  FUNDAMENTALLY Sep21 Sep21 Aug05     (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IMPRINT by QUALITY ROAD)
6  SHOP LIFTING Sep21 Aug22 Jun30 May27 Nov19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS SHOP by DEPUTY MINISTER)
7  NO TRICKS Sep23 Jul04 May11     (duarte jorge )OLVER MADISON 121 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DANCE TO BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  CITATIONAL Sep27         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NINA FEVER by BORREGO)
 
BAQ-5   10/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAVE A HAPPY Oct03 Sep20 Sep14 Aug25   (arriaga )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 30.00    
2  CENTRAL CASTING Aug30         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00 20% 4.00    
3  SOMEONE Oct06 Aug22 Jul26     (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
4  FRANKIE HICCUPS Sep28 Aug22       (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
5  MRS. MANICOTTI Oct07 Sep24       (morey william )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GAGA'S HAMSOME Sep28 Aug30       (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
7  TELLER TO WIN Oct17 Sep21       (abreu r)COA J 119 10.00 7% 13.20    
8  TAKE ME TO LONDYN         (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 22% 3.60    
9  NILO'S ROSE Sep28         (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.20 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-6   10/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARREBATO Oct03 Sep20 Apr20 Apr05 Mar16 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BECAUSE THE NIGHT Oct03 Jun22 May02 Apr05 Mar03 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  J J'S JOKER Oct13 Sep21 Aug11 Jun29 May12 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
4  BADLANDS RULER Oct10 Sep20 Aug18 Aug11 Jun29 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
5  HEARD ON THESTREET Oct13 Sep20 Sep02 Jun29 Jun07 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00    
SCR  DOLCE SERA Oct12 Sep28 Aug14 Jul18 Jun27 (delauro edward)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
7  COOL OPERATOR Oct19 Aug30 Jun22 May27 Apr12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
8  LONELY RIDE Oct05 Sep28 Sep07 Aug13 Jul05 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  STEADY PROGRESS Feb29 Jan28 Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 (chatte)GRISALES DANILO 124 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/31/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L'ANTHARIS (FR) Jul26         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
2  CLASSIC CREATION Sep29 Aug23 Jul12 Apr14 Feb17 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
3  BE LIKE CLINT Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 May27 Apr27 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
4  LATE CALL Sep28 Sep02 Aug04 Jul20 Jun29 (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  NOW AND LATER Oct12 Sep12 Aug04 Jun14 Apr17 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00    
6  SWORE Sep05 Jul28 Feb28 Jan21 Dec24 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CALIFORNIA SOBER Sep07 Aug10       (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
8  HARRY HOOD Aug23 Jul26 Jun16 May11 Mar30 (hennig mark)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
9  BREES Aug23 Jul04 Apr25 Mar10 Jan04 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 ★    
10  TIDE OF THE SEA Sep28 Sep05 Jul16 Jan11 Nov11 (sharp j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 8.00    
SCR  YAMATO Sep28 Sep30 Sep14 Jul22 May20 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
SCR  YO DADDY Oct05 Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.60    
SCR  CAPITAL IDEA Sep02 Apr12 Mar02 Jan28 Dec31 (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/31/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP IT EASY         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of SMOKIN BREEZE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  MISS IM PULSIVE         (clement )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS MO MENTUM by UNCLE MO)
3  BLAMEITONTHESTONES Aug25         (antonucci jena )DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BLAME out of STONEFACTOR by THE FACTOR)
4  COACH UMBRIA         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of KASHAMI by MIZZEN MAST)
5  MORE THERAPY Aug25         (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CHAMPAGNE THERAPY by FREUD)
6  SWIFT MAGIC Aug25 Aug16       (weaver george)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 5% 18.30    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HELEN SUNG by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  FOR THE LUV OF TIM         (miceli michael)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
  (by FREUD out of MORETHANVICTORIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
8  FRIEND OFTHE DEVIL Sep02 Aug03       (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FABULEUX by BODEMEISTER)
9  FRAME UP         (martin j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
10  ROCK STAR REBEL Oct06 Sep02 Aug15     (baker char)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SHEZA ROCKSTAR by MORE THAN READY)
11  TIZTIMONIAL         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of ADRIATIC DREAM by WILD DESERT (IRE))
12  JOHN'S IN CHARGE         (engle)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 15.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of SPECTACULAR ME by CATIENUS)
13  ORIE Aug30 Jul07       (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of CURRENCY CHAOS by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  LEON BLUE Sep22 Jul24       (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 1.80    
  (by MO TOWN out of ALANA'S ALLURE by SHACKLEFORD)
SCR  VEHEMENTE Aug22 Jul17       (sharp j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 109 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of RESOUNDINGLY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  TWOHONESTMISCHIEF Oct19 Sep22 Sep02     (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of RAPIDO GATTA by ADIOS CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.