Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - May 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
MNR-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(1/6)-(2/4/3/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/4/3/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/6)-(6/8/5/7)-(5/1/8/6) 64 $2.00 $128 
MNR-7   WIN (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(5/1/8/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/6)-(5/1/8/7/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/6)-(5/1/8/7/6)-(5/1/8/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S THE SOUPERWON Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 Dec10 Nov26 (van meter )WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 6.00 23% 3.30    
2  DRIVE BY LAYOVER Apr21 Dec04 Nov21 Nov12 Oct30 (poole c)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 8% 11.80    
3  FURY KAP Mar20 Feb24 Jan26 Jan07 Dec16 (ccamaque mar)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00    
4  AMICUS BRIEF Oct26 Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug23 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 123 10.00    
SCR  MASAI MAN May03 Mar23 Mar16 Mar08 Mar01 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 123 2.00    
6  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Apr30 Mar20 Feb29 Feb20 Jan18 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 4.00    
7  STORMY SOUL Sep18 Sep04 Aug05 Jul21 Jun22 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 42% 1.40    
8  GAME BOY BENNY May06 Mar29 Mar03 Jan26 Jan13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 ★    
 
MNR-2   05/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSKER ALLIE May05 Feb27 Feb19 Feb07 Jan13 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  MISS MOON PIE Mar13 Feb10 Jan26 Dec20 Dec06 (joy ke)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
3  BANDEENA May05 Apr02 Feb27 Feb07 Feb01 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE Jan28 Jan09 Dec21 Nov30 Nov12 (silva jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 4.00    
SCR  IRON BERTIE May05 Apr09 Mar25 Feb26 Feb19 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
6  AMENSET Apr08 Mar01 Jan01 Nov13 May12 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
SCR  FAIRY CAKES (GB) May08 Apr19 Nov29 Nov15 Oct24 (mcentee paul)BRACHO A 120 6.00    
 
MNR-3   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER MATY May07 Mar25 Mar05 Feb04 Jan15 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 1.60 26% 2.80    
SCR  XHILARATINGPURPOSE Apr30 Apr04 Mar12 Feb24 Nov27 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.00    
3  SHE'S SO SOUTHERN Jul19 Jun14 May10     (smith frank)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00 ★    
4  BOCCABELLA Apr07 Mar27 Feb28 Jan31   (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00    
5  F F DANCER Apr30 Feb12       (baird michael)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00    
6  RILEY'S GOT TRIX         (smith g)AVILES YAN 116 8.00 25% 3.10    
 
MNR-4   05/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUTREC Apr21 Apr09 Mar25 Mar07 Feb21 (walker charle)BRACHO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUPPLY CHAIN Apr09 Mar05 Feb19 Jan30 Dec20 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  ROSE'S PEPINO May06 Apr28 Feb29 Feb22 Feb07 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 17% 4.90    
4  SMASH Apr28 Mar27 Mar17 Jan30 Jan10 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Apr28 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Feb14 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
6  SIGNOFTHECROSS Apr28 Feb28 Jan31 Dec09 Nov19 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 4.00    
7  STRIKE THE TOP Apr28 Mar27 Mar17 Feb24 Jan23 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 20.00    
8  PERFETTO Mar26 Mar14 Feb27 Feb15 Dec05 (poole c)BAYS BROOKE 110 12.00    
 
MNR-5   05/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAILS HIM OUT May07 Feb13 Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 (silva pa)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 1.40    
2  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Apr30 Apr05 Mar02 Sep17 Aug18 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  TIMBERRY TIDDLER Dec11 Nov06 Oct18 Oct08 Sep12 (baird michael)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  BIKO May07 Apr28 Dec21 Dec12 Nov26 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ELUSIVE MOTION Apr28 Dec10 Dec03 Nov14 Oct24 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00    
6  A BIT MUCH Apr23 Feb28 Jun25 Mar19 Mar12 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 5.00    
 
MNR-6   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRETCH THE TRUTH Apr13 Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 (bass w)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.50    
2  JOSH'N Apr23 Apr01 Mar11 Feb21 Jan31 (murillo rodri)CEDILLO MAURO 120 20.00    
3  MATERS N TATERS Apr23 Dec11 Nov20 Oct17 Sep13 (godsey mars)BRACHO A 120 6.00 15% 5.90    
4  BEYOND THE BEND Apr22 Apr02 Feb29 Feb09 Jan11 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  ROYAL MAHOGANY Apr23 Jan15 Dec01 Nov02 Oct21 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
6  ANOTHER BREEZE Mar17 Mar06 Jan15 Nov29 Nov14 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  I'M A COOL MAN May05 Nov08 Oct30 Sep19 Aug30 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 10.00    
 
MNR-7   05/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEFEND Apr22 Dec05 Nov20 Nov01 Oct09 (clouston edward)LEON A 120 6.00    
2  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Nov22 May18 Apr29 Mar24 Mar03 (poole a)VEGA L 120 15.00    
3  OLAZABAL Mar28 Feb23 Feb10 Dec30 Sep20 (sells rachel)CEDILLO MAURO 120 4.50    
4  SENSEI LAWRENCE Apr21 Mar28 Mar11 Feb07 Dec10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.00    
5  OBIWAN Nov29 Nov05 Oct15 Aug29 Aug06 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 10.00 8% 12.20    
6  OUT OF CENTS Apr23 Feb01 Jan15 Dec20 Nov15 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 54% 0.90    
7  KILTOOM Oct30 Oct06 Sep19 Aug24 Aug15 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Apr11 Mar13 Mar02 Feb23 Feb09 (cash norman )BATISTA A 120 3.00 11% 8.10    
9  BAAGY Apr23 Mar28 Aug21 Jul30 Jul14 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
 
MNR-8   05/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S S ALTERNATE Oct25 Aug22 Aug03 Jun26 May22 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 6.00 10% 8.90    
2  LITTLE DOYLE Apr28 Feb12 Nov13 Nov03 Oct16 (clouston edward)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.50    
3  LIPARI Dec12 Nov19 Oct30 Oct11 Sep27 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
4  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS May06 Oct09 Sep26 Sep11 Aug08 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
5  LOVE OF GRACE Mar21 Feb08 Dec04 Oct26 Sep30 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
6  HOT TAKE Apr22 Dec04 Jul23 Jun21 Jun04 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALGARCA Apr27 Mar30 Mar02 Feb09 Dec31 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.00 ★    
8  AGUILA DEL RIO Mar21 Feb26 Feb13 Jan20 Dec08 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 5.00 9% 10.80    
9  SHEZAGOLDGETTER Oct30 Oct02 Sep19 Aug30 Jul30 (witherow wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.