Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(1/4/5)-(6/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/4/2)-(3/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(3/6/2)-(2/4/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/6)-(2/7/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(2/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(2/7/8/1)-(6/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1)-(2/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/1)-(6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/8)-(6/2/8)-(6/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITIZEN MACK Mar30 Mar14 Jan14 Nov24 Mar18 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 125 2.50 21% 3.90    
2  VIEJO VERDE         (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CREATION OF ADAM Jan14 Aug04       (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 0.80 54% 0.80    
4  MAJESTIC ARC Feb03 Jan18 Dec07 Nov10 Oct15 (shivmanga)CAMACHO JR 125 8.00    
5  MODEL S Mar30 Feb10 Dec16 Nov26 Nov05 (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 12.00    
6  KING OF FRANCE Mar28 Mar01       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 5.00    
 
AQU-2   04/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORPORATE POWER Feb24 Jan27       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  LIGHTLINE Mar02 Feb03 Dec31 Oct14 Sep14 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
3  UNIQUE INSIGHT Feb18 Dec31 Nov11 Oct06   (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
4  CAPITAL IDEA Mar02 Jan28 Dec31     (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
5  BROWN DON'T STOP Mar24 Feb25 Jan19 Dec17 Nov03 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   04/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEACH BLANKET         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
2  CONNIVING Mar10 Mar03 Feb16 Sep29 Sep11 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  STATES UNITED Feb25 Dec29 Oct01     (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.00    
4  ALLEGRINI Mar14 Feb18 Dec08 Nov17   (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Mar03 Jan28 Nov11 Oct27 Sep16 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
6  COOL OPERATOR Mar09 Jan27 Dec02     (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
AQU-4   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARRON'S BOUNCE Mar10 Feb25       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
  (by FLATTER out of MOVING AWAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  BOOM BOOM THUNDER         (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  SANDY SWEET TOOTH Mar10         (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80 59% 0.70    
  (by BLAME out of ANIMAL APPEAL by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
4  Z DANCER Mar21 Feb23 Jan28 Nov26 Aug31 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
5  CLANCY FANCY Nov16 Oct28       (englehart chri)LUZZI J 125 8.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ALTO BELLE by TRAPPE SHOT)
6  WO HOP         (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by LAOBAN out of NILE PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
AQU-5   04/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCREW LOOSE Feb29 Jan11 Dec02 Nov10 Sep21 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.00    
2  ROYAL KING Mar21 Jul24 May26 May08 Apr19 (toscano jo)RIVERA R 124 3.00 41% 1.50    
3  PERLIANO Mar21 Jan28 Dec15 Nov18 Oct20 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 10% 9.30    
4  YOUBETTERBEJOKING Mar29 Feb29 Feb17 Jan06 Dec17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  GAME MISCONDUCT Feb19 Jan28 Jan12 Dec29 Dec14 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
6  RUNNING LUCKY Feb26 Jan28 Dec15 Nov30 Nov11 (summers chad)OLVER MADISON 120 15.00    
7  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Mar08 Feb03 Mar30 Mar03 Jan27 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACING COLORS Mar15 Feb11 Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 (follett norm)HARKIE K 120 6.00    
2  TEMPERMENTAL Mar10 Feb03 Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  HARLAN'S BOND Mar17 Feb29 Feb03 Jan12 Dec29 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
4  SILKEN DOLLAR Mar17 Feb29 Jan26 Dec02 Nov11 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  LITTLE LINZEE Mar16 Feb17 Jan12 Dec29 Dec03 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00    
6  QUEENS MASTERPIECE Jan19 Nov25 Oct08 May14 Mar24 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRUE EMPRESS Mar17 Feb17 Jan12 Dec29 Nov14 (martin car)RIVERA R 123 4.00    
 
AQU-7   04/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KINGDOM Mar15 Feb10 Dec17 Dec01 Nov11 (jacob)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOT THUNDER Mar21 Mar10 Mar02 Feb09 Nov12 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
2  RADIO RED Mar02 Jan18 Dec07 Oct29 Sep21 (gargan danny)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO Mar29 Mar10 Feb16 Jan01 Dec10 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00    
4  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Mar10 Feb09 Jan14 Nov24 Oct22 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
SCR  BEZOS Mar29 Jan01 Dec16 Nov04 Oct22 (persaud ed)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 50.00    
6  KOOL KATHMANDU Jan01 Nov22 Oct22 Sep16 Feb11 (baker char)RIVERA R 122 30.00    
7  BE THE BOSS Mar10 Feb16 Dec03 Nov10 Oct01 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  EXCELLENT TIMING Mar10 May19 Apr21 Mar12 Feb17 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
9  SUBROGATE Jul22 Jun17 May06 Apr08   (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
 
AQU-8   04/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT WORKER Mar15 Mar07 Feb18 Feb03 Jan12 (persaud ed)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
2  FACE ABARRIO Mar22 Mar07 Feb25 Feb03 Jan01 (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  FLASH KISS Mar08 Jan11 Dec17 Nov17 Oct14 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
4  MONTEBELLO Feb29 Feb03 Dec03 Aug23 Oct30 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 3.00    
5  FIGHT FIERCELY Mar22 Mar15 Feb10 Jan05 Nov26 (arenas marc)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 15.00    
6  CHOCOLATE SHAKE Feb25 Jul01 Jun10 Dec11 Nov21 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  MUDVILLE NINE Mar21 Jan14 Jan11 Dec28 Nov16 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
8  NEWPORT BRIDGE Mar21 Mar07 Feb11 Jan26 Dec30 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.