Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - April 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/4/3)-(7/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(7/3/5)-(6/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (7/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/5)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5)-(6/2/4)-(3/8/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/8/2/6)-(2/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/6)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/6)-(2/6/1)-(4/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(4/5/3)-(7/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   04/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESVALON Mar04 Feb19 Jan18 Jan04 Dec27 (herrington ann)DIAZ R 124 6.00    
HAD RIGHT Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 Jul31 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
CHARGER Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 Jan30 Jan12 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
KALINBA Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 Feb22 Dec12 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
GRAND GIZMO Mar26 Mar04 Feb15 Feb05 Jan04 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
BARRELHOUSE Mar18 Mar04 Feb22 Feb05 Jan15 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 124 2.00 21% 3.90    
 
MVR-2   04/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA REINA DEL NORTE Mar17 Mar05 Feb19 Feb08 Dec30 (trevino )MARTINEZ A 126 1.20    
BIRDIE BLUE Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 Jan15 Dec30 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 12.00    
ROMANTIC JEWEL Feb19 Jul10 Jun25 May22 May09 (bird danny)LEON A 126 8.00 8% 12.20    
ROSE RING Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 Sep28 Sep14 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
MOON PARTY Mar19 Dec28 Dec13 Nov13 Sep28 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 12.00    
CURT'S ANGEL Mar19 Feb19 Feb05 Nov21 Jun21 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-3   04/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C MORE PRIDE Mar04 Jan31 Jan09 Dec20 Nov13 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
SCR  I'M JAC'D Jan31 Jan09 Dec20 Nov20 Nov08 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
BONNIE'S BEST Mar04 Feb20 Feb05 Jan11 Dec06 (gilmartin b)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
ANGEL'S DESTINY Mar19 Mar04 Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
DANCE DRAMA Feb20 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Nov21 (salcedo ramon)SIMPSON JASON 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
SAVESOMEFORME Jan09 Nov30 Nov15 Sep28 Sep13 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
ONE RICH KITTEN Mar04 Feb08 Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MIZZEN THE POINT Dec20 Nov28 Nov09 Oct10 Sep07 (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   04/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSY APPLE Mar17 Feb26 Feb08 Jan25 Dec30 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.50    
LILAC LACE Mar11 Feb21 Nov14 Sep25 Sep10 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
SECRET SEDUCTION Mar17 Feb13 Feb05 Dec27 Dec13 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
LUCKY TUESDAY Mar12 Feb28 Feb13 Jan25 Jan04 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
KAY BEE GEE Feb05 Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Oct11 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 4.50    
J P'S GLADYS Mar17 Feb26 Feb05 Dec27 Dec14 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
 
MVR-5   04/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU ROCK STAR Mar19 Sep03 Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00    
HUNTERTOWN Jan30 Jan13 Dec01 Nov18 Oct26 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
RAINBOW'S PRIDE Mar06 Jan31 Nov24 Nov09 Sep06 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
DESTINO Mar19 Feb15 Jan25 Jan09 Dec27 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 10.00    
AURA OF GOLD Jan24 Nov09 Sep03 Aug08 Jul11 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
SCRATCHOFF Mar11 Feb29 Feb08 Jan15 Oct22 (gilmartin br)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  TIME THE AVENGER Feb29 Feb01 Jan11 Jan02 Dec13 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
YOU BET A FORTUNE Mar19 Jan27 Dec28 Dec12   (bernardini jay )LEON A 117 5.00 21% 3.70    
EL BANDIDO Mar19 Mar11 Mar04 Feb20 Feb06 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   04/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NELL'S BELLS Feb27 Jun06 May16 Apr30 Apr06 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHERU Mar04 Feb06 Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.20 52% 0.90    
R B'S BIG MOMENT Mar16 Feb23 Feb04 Jan12 Dec22 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
LUVISANAKI Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 Feb22 Jan13 (bernardini jay )LEON A 126 5.00    
IMA SURE BET Mar26 Mar07 Feb27 Feb14 Feb01 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
BACK UP GHOST Mar22 Mar06 Feb14 Jan17 May18 (williams colb)BRACHO A 126 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
MVR-7   04/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S CRAFTY Mar18 Feb29 Feb06 Jan11 Dec19 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 1.60    
SUZY Q THE QUEEN Mar13 Feb28 Feb12 Dec16 Nov24 (brown glenroy)DIAZ R 126 8.00    
WINDY LU WHO Mar18 Feb24 Feb06 Dec04 Jul22 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
FABRICATE Jan23 Dec18 Sep13 Aug01 Jun21 (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
HONEY BELLA Mar18 Feb24 Jan24 Jan12 Dec06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
MAGIC PALACE Feb06 Nov21 Oct31 Sep29 Aug23 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   04/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLE NEST Mar18 Feb29 Feb14 Jan15 Dec26 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
CAVALETTO Mar14 Feb14 Jul31 Jun15 Jun02 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50    
HARTSTEIN Jan30 Jan09 Dec21 Nov22 Oct24 (atala jose)HALDAR J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE TOY GUNS Dec14 Nov29 Oct24 Sep13 Aug30 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
SCR  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Dec14 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct06 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 10.00    
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE Mar18 Feb29 Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 (pappada julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Mar18 Nov29 Nov14 Oct30 Sep30 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  TEQUILA FLATS Dec14 Nov20 Nov08 Oct21 Sep08 (ramos franc)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.