Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Thursday - March 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(5/6)-(6/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(6/3/2)-(9/4/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(9/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(9/4/7/3)-(5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (9/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/3)-(9/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/3)-(9/4/7/3)-(9/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/7/3)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/3)-(5/1/3)-(7/2/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/1/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3/5)-(7/2/6/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/6/3)-(7/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/3)-(7/1/8/6)-(8/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6/4)-(7/1/8/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/8/6)-(8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/2)-(8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   03/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWN THAT SAINT Mar14 Feb25 Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 118 12.00    
UNCLE EDDIE Mar14 Feb25 Feb02 Dec29 Sep03 (contessa c)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 9% 9.80    
ANDY CANT Feb09 Jun02 Apr22 Mar02 Jan07 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 126 1.00 58% 0.70    
NOBLE ONE Feb25 Feb02 Dec10 Nov30 Aug11 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
SCR  GROWTH MINDSET Feb10 Jan19 Dec01 Nov24 Nov02 (walder pe)CAMACHO JR 126 10.00    
NO SURRENDER Feb10 Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 Nov12 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  PAPPOU'S LAUGH Dec14         (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
KING OF FRANCE Mar01         (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 6.00    
 
AQU-2   03/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CITY BLOCKS Mar03 Feb10 Jan06 Dec31 Oct01 (barker edw)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
ANTENNA Feb18 Dec03 Nov26 Oct14 Aug26 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 120 10.00    
SCR  STATUS SEEKER Jun02         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
PATRICIA ANN Feb24 Dec30       (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
VALUE AREA Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 Nov19 Oct21 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 0.80 57% 0.80    
LOW SOCIETY Feb17 Jan01 Nov26 Oct28 Sep24 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
AQU-3   03/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUNA LOCA Mar16 Dec10 Nov30 Nov04 Oct26 (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
PERPETUAL PRAISE Feb23 Jan19 Aug02 Jun01 Apr23 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 11% 7.70    
STARRY MIDNIGHT Mar03 Jan07 Jan01 Dec03 Apr16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 23% 3.30    
SYNONYMOUS Mar08 Dec31 Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00    
SCR  STRANGE FRUIT Mar14 Feb19 Dec30 Nov26 Oct26 (reynolds pa)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 15.00    
I FEEL THE NEED Feb11 Jan01 Dec08 Oct18 Jul22 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.60 35% 1.90    
ARGENTINA GIRL Mar14 Feb19 Jan09 Nov26 Aug21 (sanchez-pin)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
MAGGIE Mar10 Mar02 Feb16 Dec03 Oct26 (goberdhan cha)OLVER MADISON 120 10.00    
 
AQU-4   03/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SONIA'S FLAME Feb24 Feb10       (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 120 12.00    
WAR TERMINATRIX Mar01         (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 120 15.00    
STORMIN HEIST Dec29         (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRAB THE GLORY Aug16 Jul27 Jul09 Jun15   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  ZHEN LOU Mar17 Feb19 Feb03 Jan14 Dec31 (d'a)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00    
DANCING LIANA Mar03         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Dec31 Dec02       (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.50 21% 3.80    
ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE Mar01 Feb10       (martin carlos )LUZZI J 120 15.00    
SENDERA Jan12         (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-5   03/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KID'S LAST LAUGH Feb24 Jan04 Nov25 Nov10 Oct28 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  FANCY AZTECA Feb24 Feb02 Dec17 Nov25 Oct05 (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00    
SCR  SWEET MYSTERY Feb11 Dec31 Nov26 Oct29 Oct05 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50    
BON ADIEU Feb19 Jan07 Dec08 Oct07 Sep22 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
IN MY OPINION Feb17 Dec17 Oct30 Oct02 Sep18 (gaudet lacey)FRANCO MANUEL 123 12.00    
TONED UP Feb11 Dec28 Nov25 Oct27 Oct05 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 30% 2.40    
OCEAN GATEWAY Mar14 Jan18 Dec16 Jul13 Jun02 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
WHISTLER'S STYLE Feb24 Feb09 Jan14 Jan04 Dec23 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00    
 
AQU-6   03/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO GRAD Feb23 Feb04 Jan14 Dec29 Nov20 (d'alessa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
1A  MORTGAGE RATE Feb25 Jan13       (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
VAUNTED Jan14 Dec07 Nov10 Oct28 Sep04 (ryerson t)RUIZ ELISEO 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
ENGLISH STORM Feb24 Feb03 Jan04 Dec10 Oct05 (giangiulio mic)LUZZI J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SOMAMA BEACH Mar14 Feb24 Dec07 Nov10 Sep21 (persaud ed)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 20.00    
QOROKWE Mar09 Feb24 Feb03     (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
BINGOOD TO KNOWYA Feb24 Jan26 Jan07 Nov18 Oct27 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 125 5.00 14% 6.20    
HEY TOBY Aug20         (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  THE MIGHTY DON Mar14 Jan04 Dec09 Nov10 May19 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.00    
ONOFRIO Aug19         (giglio gina)HARKIE K 125 20.00    
 
AQU-7   03/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY FORTUNA Feb11 Jan07 Nov26 Sep03 Jul22 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
1A  SAIL WITH THE WIND Feb11 Nov19 Oct19 Oct01 Aug27 (arenas marcelo)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
FREDDYMO FACTOR Mar03 Feb19 Feb09 Jan26 Jan05 (jones ed)DAVIS A 123 30.00    
SCR  SCORING CHANCE Dec29 Nov19       (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
REIGNING CHICK Mar02 Feb11 Dec15 Nov25 Nov03 (walder r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00    
SARATOGA KISSES Jan07 Dec14 Nov19 Oct23 Oct01 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
CHASING DAYLIGHT Mar02 Feb11 Dec30 Dec08 Nov16 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 17.90    
SPEIGHTFUL LILY Jan27         (bond harol)RIVERA R 120 0.80 38% 1.60    
BELLA PRINCIPESSA Mar03 Jan26 Dec30 Dec08 Nov18 (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 120 12.00 12% 7.70    
JSK LUCKY'S PUSHPA Mar03 Jan30 Jan02 Dec06 Oct11 (lake a)OCASIO M 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONE MORE BREW Feb19 Jan26 Jan07 Dec17 Dec03 (cha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 30.00    
WINNING DRIVE Mar10 Feb25 Dec09 Nov30 Nov25 (sells ra)DAVIS A 118 12.00 14% 6.10    
MY FRIENDS BEER Mar09 Feb09 Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 (walder pe)CAMACHO JR 118 10.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS Mar09 Feb25 Jan28 Jan18 Nov25 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
SCR  CAPONE Mar15 Feb09 Jan01 Dec28 Nov24 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40    
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 Jan26 Jan18 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
QUICKFLASH Feb25 Feb10 Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 (chichakly amir)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
PRINCE JAMES Jan26 Dec30 Nov26 Nov11 Sep16 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  BOLD MEDICATION Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 Jan05 Dec06 (potts wayne)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
10  DATESFREEDOM Mar17 Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 Nov30 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  CLEM LABINE Feb19 Feb09 Nov30 Sep09 Aug11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.