Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/5)-(4/5/8/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/5)-(4/5/8/7/1)-(10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-2   WIN (4/5/8/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/7/1)-(4/5/8/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/7/1)-(4/5/8/7/1)-(4/5/8/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/8/7/1)-(10/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/7/1)-(10/1/5)-(10/3/7/4/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-3   WIN (10/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/5)-(10/1/5/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/1/5)-(10/1/5/11)-(10/1/5/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/1/5)-(10/3/7/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5)-(10/3/7/4/1)-(7/11/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (10/3/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/7/4/1)-(10/3/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/7/4/1)-(10/3/7/4/1)-(10/3/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/7/4/1)-(7/11/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/7/4/1)-(7/11/4/9)-(4/7/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (7/11/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/11/4/9)-(7/11/4/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/11/4/9)-(7/11/4/9/10)-(7/11/4/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/11/4/9)-(4/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/11/4/9)-(4/7/2/3)-(5/11/6/12) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/3)-(5/11/6/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/3)-(5/11/6/12)-(5/2/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/11/6/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/6/12)-(5/11/6/12/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/11/6/12)-(5/11/6/12/10)-(5/11/6/12/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/11/6/12)-(5/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-8   WIN (5/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4/6)-(5/2/3/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAICI Jan28 Jan05 Dec14 Nov24 Aug10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00    
WICKED TRICK Jan07 Sep04 Jul31 May08 Mar05 (amoss m)LANERIE J 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
NATE'S REVENGE Dec29 Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 7% 13.40    
KEYS INCLUDED Jan28 Jan05 Dec08 Nov23 Sep02 (zeringue w )CARMONA SERAFIN 116 3.50    
MILLARD'S SMILE Jan21 Dec29 Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAX PANDOWDY Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 Dec08 Jul23 (hirdes john)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
HAMMERIN AAMER Jan28 Dec15 Nov25 Oct28 Oct12 (bourgeois ke)TORRES A 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
FG-2   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY'S GAME Jan28 Jan13 Dec29 Nov24 Oct26 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOOSIER Jan15 Jan05 Dec21 Nov18 Nov04 (camejo m)HERNANDEZ K 121 12.00    
FORTY THREE Jun11 May08 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.00    
HARD FOUR Nov30 Jul22 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 39% 1.60    
EL DEAL ME ACES Jan28 Jan01 Nov23 Oct14 Mar10 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
HALF MAGIC Jan28 Dec15 Jun22 May11 Mar09 (west pa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
OURPERFECTPRINCE Dec30 Dec02 Oct20 Aug10 Jul06 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
F T W SLAM Jan28 Jan05 Nov30 Aug10 Jul22 (ducoing j)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 6% 17.00    
HOLIDAY DIAMOND Jan28 May20 Mar01 Feb11 Jan20 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 121 20.00    
 
FG-3   02/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVATING STAR Jan19 Dec30       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50 7% 12.90    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of UNAMUSED by STREET SENSE)
SCR  MONSIEUR CANDY Nov03 Oct20       (alonzo howa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 5.00 8% 11.20    
  (by CATALINA RED out of CAJUN ROCKET by LION TAMER)
SOCIAL SOLUTION Jan07 Dec16       (david b)MELANCON G 125 20.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of PATTON ON PETITE by HANNIBALS STRATEGY)
GUS'S DREAM WORLD Aug05 Jul08       (gelner sco)WELLINGTON KYLIE 112 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of MEGA DREAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CHASTE ONE         (sharp j)GRAHAM J 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of SHARP AND CRAFTY by CRAFTY FRIEND)
DR SPECK Jan27 Dec30       (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 125 6.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of DICKSON STREET by STORM BOOT)
SPRINGTOWN Jan20 Dec09       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CONTRIBUTING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
LEISURELY Jan25         (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 20.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of JUST YOU WAIT by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  SPIRIT OF DREAMS Dec29 Sep11 Aug05 Jun03 Feb10 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 125 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  SUNNY SASSICAIA Jul28 Jun17       (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 125 4.00 57% 0.70    
  (by SASSICAIA out of FORTYSUNFLOWERS by FORTY WON)
11  BATTALION STRIKE Jan27 Jan06       (singh s)SINGH R 125 6.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of MISS ROMBAUER by SCAT DADDY)
 
FG-4   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONZE BEAST Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Nov11 Oct02 (heitzman eri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 7% 14.10    
SERGEANT RECKLESS Dec22 Oct14 Aug16 Jul01 Jun03 (alonzo howard)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 10.00    
MAGIC MONDAY Jan28 Jan05 Oct21 Jul13 Apr20 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
WHISKEY AND EASY Jan26 Jan13 Dec10 Nov24 Nov04 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 5.00 15% 5.80    
POINT AT YOU Jan05 Nov15 Oct06 Sep29 Aug26 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 20.00    
VORTEX (GB) Jan26 Jan05 Dec29 Dec03 May12 (desormeaux )CARMONA SERAFIN 116 6.00    
MISTER MULDOON Jan05 Oct14 Sep02 Jun18 May29 (robertson )WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 4.50 16% 5.10    
CHARLIE'S CREED Jan28 Jan05 Dec07 Jul29 Jul15 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
RAMMER JAMMER Jan28 Jan05 Mar11 Feb24 Feb03 (terre david)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 15.00    
10  LIL BRO COOP Feb03 Jan13 Jul26 Jun23 Jun02 (stidham michael)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
11  COME ON COME ON Jan26 Jan05 Nov24 Sep03 Aug19 (hirdes john)SINGH R 121 20.00    
 
FG-5   02/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG BRIDGE Jan27 Feb18 Jan21     (stewart dallas)MELANCON G 125 8.00    
SCR  PURRING         (stidham mich)MURRAY M 117 8.00    
CAPELLA RED Jan28 Jan06 Dec14 Jun09 Mar24 (west patri)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 8.00    
RUTH OF JUDAH Oct23 Aug13 Jul26     (roussel j)GRAHAM J 125 10.00 8% 11.90    
URBAN FORCE Mar18 Feb18       (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00    
UPSWELL Jan01 Nov23 Nov03 Sep24   (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00    
PLAYMATE Feb01 Oct28 Oct07 Sep07 Jul29 (schultz lind)TORRES A 125 4.00 44% 1.30    
DEFAULT Feb01 Dec31 Nov23     (vaccar)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 10.00    
BIKINI BOTTOM Jan06 Dec15 Nov25 Sep23 Aug01 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SILENT SECRETARY (BRZ) Jan28 Jan01 Dec14     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00    
11  NOBLE BERNADETTE Feb01 Jan01 Nov09 Sep09 Oct14 (stall m)LANERIE J 125 4.50 22% 3.50    
12  KAZILLION Jan06 Dec21 Jun03 May13 Apr23 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 125 20.00    
13  GATHER THE FACTS Jan06 Oct29 Oct08 Sep16 Sep06 (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00    
 
FG-6   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOO Feb10 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Nov23 (singh s)SINGH R 120 6.00    
DREWMAZING Jan21 Jan05 Dec21 Nov30 Nov04 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 6% 15.20    
PINCH ME A PENNY Jan25 Jan01 Nov10 Oct07 Aug12 (camejo m)HERNANDEZ K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
OAK HILL LG Jan25 Dec29 Dec16 Nov10 Oct26 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 60% 0.70    
SONO Jan28 Dec21 Nov30 Oct18 Aug27 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00    
HALF AGAIN Jan25 Jan04 Dec03 Nov23 Sep12 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 4.00    
HELAIRE Jan28 Dec09 Nov18 Aug05 May07 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 9% 10.00    
BIND FAITH Nov10 Oct18 Aug12 Jul07 May19 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
 
FG-7   02/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAGEL AND DELI Jan19         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of FUNNY MONEY by DEHERE)
RENFREW Jan06 Nov11 Sep27     (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMAZING PEYTON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
PROMDATEBONNIE         (handal raym)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY LIFE by QUALITY ROAD)
HUB CITY Jan21 Nov25       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of KEIRA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
BIG TROUBLE Jan21         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF Jan06 Nov18 Oct19 Sep27   (kenneally ed)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NEFERTITI by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ZOE'S PRIME         (camejo m)LANERIE J 120 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of PETUNIA by CHIEF SINGER)
LAUGHING OUT LOUD Feb01         (stidham mi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EMBUR'S MELODY by MR. GREELEY)
MY SOUTHERN GIRL         (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LET'S GO CHEYENNE by TIZNOW)
10  MT. MASADA Jan21 Jan01       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of SPEIGHT'S COMETE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
11  ALEXIS ROSE Jan21         (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 14% 6.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HILLS OF BEVERLY by GHOSTZAPPER)
12  GOLDEN DEGREE Feb01 Jan01       (calhoun william)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CELSIUS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  FROSTY VI         (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FROSTY FRIDAY by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  LYRICAL PARDON Jan13 Dec13 Oct19 Sep02 Aug09 (amoss m)NAVAS YOEL 115 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TREBLE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  NEED A BIT OF LUCK         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LILY THE PINK by RAHY)
SCR  LEMON LATTE         (barnett c)MELANCON G 120 12.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of DOUBLE LATTE by THE FACTOR)
 
FG-8   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZONG TOUGH Jan27 Jan06 Nov30 Jun12 May29 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00    
CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Feb01 Nov10 Oct06 Jul21 Jun23 (charles keit)TORRES A 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
AND FIFTY Jan26 Jan05 Nov25 Jul20 Mar18 (david b)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
GALLANT STAR Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov30 Nov17 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
WIN YA WIN Feb01 Dec21 Dec08 Nov18 Aug03 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00 47% 1.10    
CALLINGINTHENIGHT Jan13 Dec08 Nov15 Oct20 Aug19 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
SHANKINSTINE Jan20 Dec19 Nov16 Sep12 Jun24 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 124 10.00    
GREELEY WENT WEST Jan27 Jan11 Dec21 Jan29 Dec17 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 121 20.00    
STEAL IT BACK Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep10 (west g)MCMAHON J 124 8.00    
10  SENATOR CON Jan13 Dec08 Nov25 Sep10 Jul30 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 20.00    
11  UNWANTED INTRUDER Jan27 Dec16 Apr19 Mar02 Feb16 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.