Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7)-(9/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7)-(9/5/3/1)-(3/8/4/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (9/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/1)-(9/5/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/1)-(9/5/3/2/1)-(9/5/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/5/3/1)-(3/8/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/3/1)-(3/8/4/2/1)-(3/10/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/8/4/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/2/1)-(3/8/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/2/1)-(3/8/4/2/1)-(3/8/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/4/2/1)-(3/10/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/2/1)-(3/10/4/2)-(3/4/2/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (3/10/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/4/2)-(3/10/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/4/2)-(3/10/4/8/2)-(3/10/4/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/4/2)-(3/4/2/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/10/4/2)-(3/4/2/10/5)-(8/3/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/4/2/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/10/5)-(3/4/2/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/10/5)-(3/4/2/10/5)-(3/4/2/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/2/10/5)-(8/3/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/10/5)-(8/3/2/5)-(2/11/5/10/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (8/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/2/5)-(2/11/5/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2/5)-(2/11/5/10/1)-(2/1/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/11/5/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/11/5/10/1)-(2/11/5/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/11/5/10/1)-(2/11/5/10/1)-(2/11/5/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/11/5/10/1)-(2/1/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/11/5/10/1)-(2/1/5/8)-(1/5/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (2/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/8)-(1/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/7)-(1/5/3/7/4)-(1/5/3/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA ART Dec20 Sep17 Aug31 Aug09 Jun17 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 3.00    
2  KIKILOVE Dec31 Nov25 Aug27 Jul22 May26 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
3  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Dec23 Nov24 Sep16 Mar11 Feb11 (bennett gerald)CEDENO CAROL 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  PLAYERA Jan06 Dec15 Nov04 Oct20 Oct07 (aguayo r)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 15.00    
5  MUSIC AMORE Aug12 Jul01 May27 May14 May02 (o'connor rober)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50    
6  VILLAGE QUEEN Dec31 Dec13 Oct26 Oct12 Sep25 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 12.00 9% 9.90    
7  THE SWEATY FOX Jan03 Dec20 Oct21 Oct09 Sep22 (wilson tony)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   01/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL GUAPO Dec27 Dec01 Feb09 Dec07 Nov12 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Jan12 Dec20 Nov22 Oct18 Sep22 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 120 4.00 ★    
3  POSEIDONS MYTH Jan06 Dec22 Aug05 Jul01 May27 (ubide max)ARROYO S 118 10.00 7% 14.00    
4  ACTION DREAM Jan06 Dec23 Dec09 Nov25 Oct14 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
5  WILD TIME Jan06 Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 Sep13 (robertson m)VILLASMIL EDGAR 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  TRAVEL GUIDE Jan06 Dec09 Nov24 Nov11 Oct22 (garcia pedro)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
7  UNIQUE PATH Jan06 Dec09 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 (rhone bernell)SOSA LAUREANO 118 20.00    
8  CALLIHOO Jan13 Nov17 Oct20 Oct01 Aug25 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
9  BOLD BLUE Dec27 Dec16 Mar15 Feb04   (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
TAM-3   01/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAR FROM HOME Dec03 Oct18 Oct10 Oct03 Sep08 (cascallar)HERRERA R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  BIG LOUIE Jan06 Dec15 Nov22 Oct12 Sep21 (marino g)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GUARANTEED SPECK Aug02 Apr22 Mar30 Feb17 Feb08 (russo j)LOPEZ E 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  MR. PENNY PINCHER Jan06 Nov22 Sep15 Sep02 Aug13 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  AIRMAN Aug30 Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 Mar22 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 6.00    
6  LAS OLAS Dec31 Dec06 Oct08 Sep17 Aug13 (orseno joseph )CASTANON L 118 4.50    
7  JUST MERCY Dec20 Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 Apr29 (preudhomme l)ARROYO S 113 20.00    
8  DECEITFUL Oct06 Sep18 Aug24 Jul19 Mar22 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
9  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Dec30 Nov24 Oct16 Sep18 Aug21 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
10  AWESOME HONOR Dec13 Nov24 Aug13 Jul01 May06 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
SCR  PRALINE'S CAT Jan05 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Sep16 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 3.50    
SCR  SPANISH NOBLE Dec23 Dec06 Oct06 Jan27 Jan06 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 4.00    
SCR  TUDDENHAM MILL (IRE) Dec03 Apr02 Feb18 Jan07 Dec03 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 3.00    
SCR  ERUDITE (FR) Dec13 Jun30 May03     (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 111 30.00    
 
TAM-4   01/21/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINING STONE Jan10 Dec23 Dec16 Oct25 Oct05 (lopez mar)RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00    
2  LEMONADEATTHELATCH Jan06 Dec22 Dec06 Oct19 Oct06 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  RANSEUR Oct19 Sep14 Aug18 May20 Apr29 (carvajal lui)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  HERE COMES BILLY Jan05 Dec01 Oct28 Oct13 Sep04 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HELLO SUCKER Dec27 Dec13 Nov24 Jul01 Jun03 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 119 12.00    
6  PHRASEOLOGISM Jan06 Dec24       (lilly p)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
7  JAY'S DELIGHT Dec31 Dec13 Nov22 Jul09 Jun11 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
8  FUNNY MAN Jan06 Nov01 Oct13 Sep25 Aug07 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 119 8.00 ★    
9  REDISUR Jan07 Dec02 Nov12 Oct20 Oct01 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00    
10  BOLD ADVANCE Jan05 Dec06 Nov04 Oct06 Aug27 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 29% 2.40    
 
TAM-5   01/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMOR SALVAJE Dec31 Dec13 Nov25 Aug17 Aug03 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 8.00    
2  HURRY UP DEAR Jan12 Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 Jun25 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
3  DUDEFOOLINGDARLING Dec15 Oct27 Sep17 Aug20 Jul01 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  RAPID MISS TAPIT Dec31 Nov25 Oct26 Aug26 Aug04 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  NEWYEARSPRESENT Dec15 Nov12 Jul08 Jun18 Jun02 (o'connor rob)BATISTA A 122 30.00 11% 8.20    
6  AIN'T NONCENTS Dec24 Aug24 Aug18 Jul27 Jul13 (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 20.00    
7  D CITY GIRL Dec31 Dec22 Nov03 Oct01 Jun30 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 115 10.00    
8  BET THE HOWES Aug18 Jun22 May27 May08 Mar26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
9  ITRIEDSELLINGHER Dec31 Dec15 May05 Apr22 Apr05 (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 122 15.00    
10  ACQUIRED TASTE Dec31 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
11  BACK OFF ME Dec15 Sep06 Aug17 Jul21 May26 (russo j)LOPEZ E 122 3.50    
12  WOW LADY Jan14 Dec30 Dec09 Nov29 Oct26 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 30.00    
SCR  MORENA DANCER Dec31 Dec22 May03 Apr15 Apr01 (marrero nest)MORELOS E 122 15.00    
SCR  DELIZIOSA Dec31 Jul27 Jul13 Feb05 Jan14 (ochoa gerard)HIRALDO JOHN 122 20.00    
 
TAM-6   01/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LACONIA Dec09 Nov10 Sep04 Jul15   (delgado )GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
2  MISPRINT Jan07         (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00 10% 9.20    
3  CHIEF LADY Jan03 Dec08       (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
4  NINETYNINECARATS Jul26 Jul08       (sillaman r)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00    
5  KHO KHO Nov29 Oct28 Sep24 Sep01   (fisher davi)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PANOLA Dec22 Dec02 Oct28 Oct15   (laurato mich)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
7  LIVING IN STYLE Jan06 Nov29 Oct25 Sep20 Aug24 (arriagada juan)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 5.00    
8  COPPER BOUND Dec23 Dec02 Nov22 Oct18 Aug31 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-7   01/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRYGIRL PRIDE Dec29 Dec09 Nov24 Oct19 Sep13 (smith g)FERRER C 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  HEAVENLY APPOINTED Dec08 Oct05 Sep07 Aug12 Jul15 (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
3  ARIANA VALENTINA Dec09 Oct20 Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 (aguayo ramo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00    
4  ROSARIO'S PRAYER Oct18 Aug09 Jul09 May22 Mar11 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
5  GABBY SQUARED Oct19 Oct05 Sep15 Sep02 Aug04 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00 6% 17.00    
6  DUNEEN BAY Nov25 Oct26 Sep02     (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
7  ALEXA'S DREAM Dec09 Nov25 Oct14 Sep03 Aug12 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
8  SARATOGA GAZE Dec23 Dec01 Oct06 Aug27 Jul13 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
9  EVITA Jan03 Sep07 Aug09 Jun24   (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
10  FACCIA BELLA Dec22 Nov25 Nov04 Oct01 Aug17 (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
11  CLASSIC VINYL Oct13 Sep06 Dec16 Oct14 Sep07 (motion g)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00 18% 4.50    
12  DAMASO Sep01 Jul16 Jun25 Apr15 Mar29 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  APROPOS Oct29 Oct07 Feb04 Dec18 Oct28 (toner j)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
SCR  NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) Nov12 Oct12 Aug17     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00    
 
TAM-8   01/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY FLY AWAY Jan05 Dec13 Nov22 Sep30 Aug24 (potts wayne)FERRER C 118 4.00 12% 7.20    
2  WORA Nov24 Aug05 Jul02 Jun02 Nov11 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  WHERE PARADISE LAY Dec22 Dec01 Nov01 Aug30 Jul30 (downing william)SPIETH S 118 6.00    
4  FREE SOUL Aug24 Aug12 Jul14 Jun10 Oct01 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
5  MADDY'S DREAM Dec01 Apr08 Jun17     (vazquez eduard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 11% 8.20    
6  JOHN JAY Dec27 Nov22 Oct26 Sep30 Sep09 (mcburney patri)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50    
SCR  BANG A RANG Dec23 Oct25 Oct12     (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 12.00    
8  ROAD TO STARDOM Jan10 Nov24 Oct07 Aug05 Jul08 (rivera xavie)ARROYO S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   01/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALLIC CHARM         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of DOLLY MADISON by GALILEO)
2  ZINGALES KING Dec24 Oct27 Jun24 May26   (d'angelo j)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DISCREET DECEIT by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  WARTIME RECESS Dec09         (mcgaughey clau)CASTANON L 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SABBATICAL by EXPELLED)
4  SPINNING HEART Dec24 Oct20       (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 120 5.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STREETWITHNONAME by STREET SENSE)
5  GRAN YACO Dec24 Dec02 Oct26 Sep03 Aug06 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LIKE IT HOT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  LONELY RIDE         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LONESOME TOWN by BROKEN VOW)
7  EHSAAN Jan03 Dec24       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 15.00 7% 12.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAMDOOHA by DAAHER)
8  REMERTON Dec24 Dec02 Oct27     (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ABOVE THE MIEN by TEMPLE CITY)
9  TAKE YOUR SEATS (IRE)         (brown c)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of TARAYEF by TEOFILO)
10  ATTRAYANT Dec24 Dec02 Sep22 Sep03   (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ELEGANT SUPERMODEL by LOPE DE VEGA)
SCR  SALACIOUS Dec28 Dec09 Nov11     (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of MY TINA by BERTRANDO)
SCR  SOUPER JUSTIFIED Oct08 Jul23       (casse ma)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BEYCHEVELLE by ANEES)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.