Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(4/3/7)-(6/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(6/1/4)-(8/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(8/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(8/5/6)-(8/1/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/6)-(8/1/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6)-(8/1/3/9)-(1/7/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (8/1/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9)-(8/1/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/9)-(1/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/9)-(1/7/8/5)-(1/8/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/5)-(1/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/5)-(1/7/8/5)-(1/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/5)-(1/8/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/5)-(1/8/4/6)-(8/6/1/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/6)-(1/8/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/6)-(1/8/4/7/6)-(1/8/4/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/4/6)-(8/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/6)-(8/6/1/7)-(10/5/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7)-(8/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/7)-(10/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/2/3)-(10/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/2/3)-(10/5/2/3)-(10/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONG RUNNER Oct29 Sep16 Sep08 Jul14 Jun24 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00 5% 18.50    
2  GREENPOINT Sep24 Jun11 May07 Apr08 Mar01 (hunt d)SHEROSKI E 120 8.00    
3  EL GUAPO Feb09 Dec07 Nov12 Sep06 Aug22 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
4  GROUP HUG Sep02 Jul22 Jun02 May04 Apr19 (hernandez sand)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 63% 0.60    
5  SENTIR ZULIANO Aug25 Jul07 Jun01 Mar15 Feb12 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 1.60    
6  DISCREET DEVIL Nov12 Oct05 Sep16 Aug02 Jul14 (ochoa gerard)HIRALDO JOHN 118 6.00 6% 15.20    
 
TAM-2   12/01/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUINESSEY Oct12 Sep29 Aug31 Jun29 Mar25 (smith g)FERRER C 123 3.50    
2  LAST PROMISE Jun03 May06 Apr29 Apr14 Mar31 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 4.50    
3  EXPRESS PHAROAH Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 Aug22 Apr21 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  BRIGHT DEVIL (IRE) Oct15 Sep17 Jul01 May27 May06 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  ZONIC Oct19 Apr14 Mar18 Dec02 Oct28 (mcgoey monic)MORELOS E 123 30.00    
6  OFF THE MEDS Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 Jul26 Jul10 (avila c)BATISTA A 123 6.00    
7  PRIVATE NETWORK Aug10 Jul12 Jun14 Apr24 Apr03 (wasiluk )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 6.00 14% 5.90    
 
TAM-3   12/01/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLANE Nov18 Oct27 Sep29     (nunez mauricio)CENTENO E 119 6.00 25% 3.10    
2  THE HONEYMAN Nov18 Oct27 Oct11 Aug13 Jul28 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
3  CATALINA KID Nov24 Nov09 Oct27 Sep14 Aug25 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
4  MY NOBLE KNIGHT         (barbazonii)ALONSO LUIS 119 12.00 20% 4.10    
5  HERCULES N LOVE Oct07 Aug29 Jul04     (munoz carlos)GALVAN JHAIR 119 20.00    
6  THREEWHITESOLDIERS Oct31 Oct05 Aug26 Jul20   (morey wi)GALLARDO A 119 1.20 28% 2.60    
7  STYLE ME ROYAL Nov22 Sep07       (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.00    
 
TAM-4   12/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARFLY Oct05 Sep16 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00 ★    
2  STAR KANOO Feb04         (cascallares n)LUGO D 122 10.00    
3  RAMBO'S RETURN Oct26         (clay pat)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 20.00    
4  EL GABRIELO Sep09 Aug21 Jun24 May13 Apr26 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 122 4.50    
5  JERSEY GREGG Oct06 Aug27 Jul29 Jun04 May21 (sacco greg)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 36% 1.70    
6  BLACK ECHO         (dobber w)LOPEZ E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  COMMANDER BIZ Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul16 (duffy sean)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 15.00    
8  UNCAPTURED WARRIOR Oct28         (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
 
TAM-5   12/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Nov03 Oct08       (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  OSCAR GAZE Sep16 Sep04 Jul14 Jun25 May14 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 10.00    
3  SARATOGA GAZE Oct06 Aug27 Jul13 May28 Apr22 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 1.60 20% 4.00    
4  CALLAS Sep29 Aug28 Jun25     (house gary)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
5  ROUBAIX Sep04 Aug10 Jun09 May05 Mar19 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00    
6  SUSIE'S SAVER Sep14 Aug09 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00    
7  LOOKIN AT KISSES Oct06 Sep08 Aug11 Aug02 Jul01 (wernet)SHEROSKI E 121 30.00    
8  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Oct12 Sep03 Jul09 Jun11 May12 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
9  REBEL CONSORT Nov09 Oct06 Sep16 Sep06 Aug24 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   12/01/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANE'S JEWEL Nov01 Oct20 Oct04 Sep26 Sep13 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  GOLDEN TONE Oct23 Oct09 Sep13 Sep03 Aug13 (rivera xavier )MENDEZ KEVIN 121 15.00    
3  SWEEPING GIANT Nov22 Oct20 Oct05 Jun16 May28 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00    
4  PRACTICAL WAY Nov22 Oct27 Oct07 Sep16 Aug18 (avila carl)CENTENO E 121 5.00    
5  WAR NOVEL Oct25 Oct02 Sep18 Aug29 Aug03 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GREYZER Nov25 Oct20 Sep27 Sep09 Aug16 (de ka)MARIN A 121 12.00    
7  CONSPIRACY FACT Nov03 Sep20 Sep07 Jul19 Jun28 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  HOP AND SCOTCH Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 Sep20 Aug13 (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 6.00 11% 7.70    
9  GUILLAUME Nov03 Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 (simone michael)HIRALDO JOHN 123 5.00    
 
TAM-7   12/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY RUNNER Sep24 Sep02 Jul08 Jun16 May04 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  JUST COMPLY Oct06 Aug27 Jul29 Jul08   (dini mik)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
3  PAVONI Oct28 Oct06 Aug23 Feb03 Jan07 (motion g)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00    
4  FLAWLESS BOURBON Oct09 Sep18 Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEATHGUARD Oct28 Oct04 Sep02 Mar26 Mar16 (lerman s)JARA FERNANDO 118 6.00    
6  MONGOLIAN APPLE Oct21 Sep13 Aug27 Jul30 Jun24 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CATATUMBO Oct10 Aug06 Jul07 Jun16 May20 (wilson tony)CENTENO E 121 6.00 ★    
8  READY TO FLY Sep04 Jul30 Jul21 Jun25 May29 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
9  HERE COMES BILLY Oct28 Oct13 Sep04 Aug27 Aug06 (nunn douglas)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 15.00    
10  KINGDOM ON PAWS Oct26 Oct06 Sep09 Aug10 Jul23 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 12.00    
SCR  MR JACK Nov03 Aug18 Jul27 Jul12 Jun02 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 118 4.00    
SCR  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Sep09 Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 Jun03 (pompa)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 4.00    
SCR  CLEAR CONSCIENCE Oct26 Jul02 Jun10 Apr14 Nov11 (lewis l)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
SCR  FACE VALUE Oct10 Sep12 Jul18 Jun22 May30 (orantes r)LOPEZ E 118 15.00    
 
TAM-8   12/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER'S GHOST Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug10 Jul19 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 121 5.00 6% 14.60    
2  UNCAPTURED STAR Oct28 Oct01 Sep08 Jul14 Jun17 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
3  WHERE PARADISE LAY Nov01 Aug30 Jul30 Jun03 May04 (downing will)ARROYO S 121 6.00    
4  MY MAN VITO Oct20 Oct04 Sep08 Aug02 Jul06 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 8.00    
5  GET EVEN Oct10 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 121 12.00    
6  MADDY'S DREAM Apr08 Jun17       (vazque)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
7  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Nov15 Oct27 Sep09 Aug31 Jul21 (ness jamie)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  THE JUDGE AND JURY Nov24 Nov05 Sep06 Aug04 Jul06 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
TAM-9   12/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY WAY OR NO WAY Dec07 Nov05 Oct09 Sep05 Aug17 (munoz carlos)BATISTA A 121 30.00    
2  GUNSLINGER (IRE) Nov12 Oct22 Sep08 Aug18 Jul29 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 121 4.00 17% 4.70    
3  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Sep01 Jun09 May06 Apr22 Apr02 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CREATIVE CLOUD Nov22 Nov04 Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 (posadas ped)MARIN A 121 30.00    
5  ARTIE'S ANGEL Nov10 Oct10 Sep09 Aug06 Jul07 (breen kell)SANCHEZ J 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
6  OFFICER COUNTRY Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Aug18 Aug11 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 12.00    
SCR  SPIRITUAL KING Oct26 Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 (sacco d)FERRER C 121 3.50    
8  VITALE Oct26 Aug30 Aug06 Jul20 Jun21 (clay pat)CASTANON L 121 6.00    
9  VINTNER Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 May06 (yanez r)ALLEN D 121 15.00    
10  GRADED ON A CURVE Nov10 Oct05 Aug19 Jul20 Jun06 (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.