Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Friday - June 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/2/4)-(8/6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(8/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(8/6/3/4)-(2/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-3   WIN (8/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/4)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/4)-(2/5/6)-(1/5/8/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(1/5/8/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(1/5/8/3/7)-(8/2/3/9/12) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BEL-5   WIN (1/5/8/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/3/7)-(1/5/8/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/3/7)-(1/5/8/3/7)-(1/5/8/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/8/3/7)-(8/2/3/9/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/3/7)-(8/2/3/9/12)-(2/9/6/8/1) 125 $1.00 $125 
BEL-6   WIN (8/2/3/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/9/12)-(8/2/3/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/9/12)-(8/2/3/9/12)-(8/2/3/9/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/3/9/12)-(2/9/6/8/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/9/12)-(2/9/6/8/1)-(6/1/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BEL-7   WIN (2/9/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/8/1)-(2/9/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/8/1)-(2/9/6/8/1)-(2/9/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/6/8/1)-(6/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/8/1)-(6/1/3)-(13/4/6/1/12) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
BEL-8   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(13/4/6/1/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BEL-9   WIN (13/4/6/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/4/6/1/12)-(13/4/6/1/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/4/6/1/12)-(13/4/6/1/12)-(13/4/6/1/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   06/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUN AND WIND         (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
  (by FREUD out of SOLAR VORTEX by ORB)
MAY PRINCESS         (donk david)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
  (by SOLOMINI out of WITCH PRINCESS by EXCHANGE RATE)
SORORITY PARTY Jun15         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LEHIGH by TOP HIT)
PLAY FREE BIRD         (contessa gary)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of STORMY SATURDAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CARA'S TIME         (friedman mitch)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 14% 6.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
DREAMERY         (moysey chelsey )DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 6% 15.80    
  (by MASTERY out of DREAMER'S PROSPECT by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
BEL-2   06/23/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES May28 Dec08 Oct16 Sep24 Aug26 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00    
BARRAGE May28 Jan28 Dec16 Nov11 Sep15 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
CATCH THAT PARTY May28 Nov11 Oct13 Sep04 Jul23 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 44% 1.30    
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR May20 Apr22 Mar19 Feb15 Dec31 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 13% 6.50    
BATTLE SCARS May28 May14 Apr08 Feb26 Feb04 (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
AGENT CREED May28 Nov05 Oct06 Aug20 Jul23 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50    
SCR  SON OF AN EX Jun02 May06 Mar18 Mar10 Feb18 (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 122 4.00    
 
BEL-3   06/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RISK FREE May28 Apr30 Apr15 Mar17 Feb17 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
SPELL ON YOU         (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of STAGE MAGIC by LAOMEDONTE)
ST. BENEDICTS PREP May12 Sep04 Jul31     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
STUNNINGLY Apr07 Sep04 Jul04     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HAPPY MESA by SKY MESA)
VITA DE VITO Apr21         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MARGATE GARDENS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
PITCH CLOCK May05 Mar04       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of THOUGHTLESS DOLL by JIMMY CREED)
PORTAGE May20 Mar16       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
HOLLYWOODLAND Jun03 Mar26 Feb12     (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of UNION CITY by DIXIE UNION)
 
BEL-4   06/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SWEET SUMMER May20 Mar19 Sep02     (giangiulio m)TORRES A 113 4.50    
CHASING DAYLIGHT May19 Apr13 Jun24     (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
LA AGUILILLA Jun16 May20 Apr28 Feb03 Jan13 (jacob)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 3.00    
DASHING DELLA May29 May04 Apr13 Mar12 Feb12 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
JULIANA'S ROSE May11 Apr13 Feb09 Dec30 Dec04 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
INTO HAPPINESS Apr21 Apr08 Feb24 Jan12 Dec11 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 6.00 10% 8.80    
 
BEL-5   06/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTONIO OF VENICE May12         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
1A  KHADULLAH May28         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of MIDWAY MUSIC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
MO BATTEN         (summers chad)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of ELEADORA by FINALITY)
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE         (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SOIGNE by INCLUDE)
SPLIT STRIKE         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPLIT TIME by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
WORKS FOR ME May18         (lee joseph)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of BELLA'S GAME by SOLDAT)
BLUE EIGHTY FIVE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BEARS MEASURE by TIZNOW)
UNAUDITED         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of GRACEWOOD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MISCHIEF JOKE May12 Apr07       (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHESABITDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
DR SCHUSTER         (avila carl)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of RED HOT HEELS by TAPIT)
SCR  CHARLIE TOUGH         (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 119 30.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of BETROFF TOUGH by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  BALI AMOUR Jun10 May23       (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 119 30.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of NEBRASKA by STREET CRY)
 
BEL-6   06/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CARA MIA MINE May18 Apr08 Sep30 Sep03 Aug20 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 125 10.00    
KARA PARA May28 May06 Apr20 Feb12 Jan28 (ryerson jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
CAMCHA         (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 9% 9.80    
JANNIE MAE Apr14 Oct22 Sep24 Aug12 Jul17 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00    
LEM ME DRINK May28 Apr14 Feb10 Jan19 Nov26 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
NEVER PERSONAL May13 Jan14 Oct28 Aug12   (levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES May28 Apr14 Nov04     (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
ORANGE FREEZE May28 Apr15 Sep15 Aug18   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
GIGGLING GHOST May18 Apr14 Mar19 Jul24 Jul04 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BOURBON DIVERSION Nov12 Oct08 Aug31 Jan13   (kingsley archib)CARMOUCHE K 125 20.00    
11  DREAMING OF CARLI May18         (barker edward )ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
12  MIZZ ME May18         (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPERSS Jun01 Apr14 Jan14     (bond harold )TORRES A 113 4.50    
SCR  SO ARE YOU Nov01 Aug31 Jul06 Jun15   (goodwin gabr)HARKIE K 125 30.00    
 
BEL-7   06/23/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN WHITE RABBIT May31 Oct26 Oct04 Aug08 Jun07 (romer)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
FOLIAGE (NZ) May26 Apr21 Mar30 May14 Apr21 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 44% 1.30    
VOLKERT May26 Mar10 Feb05 Jun14 May21 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00    
HATCH (GB) May21 May05 Jan26 Dec29 Dec16 (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00    
MAJESTIC JOHNSON Jul31 Jul08       (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50    
DADS GOOD RUNNER Jun11 May20 Apr29 Feb25 Jan08 (goberdhan chan)BROWN DALTON 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
BASIS RISK May14 Apr30 Apr15 Feb25 Feb05 (coffey maria)HARKIE K 123 30.00    
RUN SMITTY RUN Feb25 Oct08 May29 Apr10 Mar19 (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
WAR TERMINATOR Jun09 Jan22 Dec30 Oct30 Oct01 (contessa gary)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  PRESSURE May11 Apr21 Mar04 Jun21 May03 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 1.80    
SCR  MOVING PICTURES May26 May20 Oct08 Aug22 Jul17 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
 
BEL-8   06/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TO A T Apr30 Apr22 Mar22 Feb17 Jan19 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 14% 6.00    
1A  ROYAL POPPY May20 Feb05 Dec15 Nov20 Oct14 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.50    
SCR  AMARETTI May20 Apr12 Jun05     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.00    
CUPIDS GIRL Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 Feb09 Jan28 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
KHALI MAGIC Jun03 Apr21 Mar03 Feb05 Dec29 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
ADELIESE'S SMILE Feb04 Jan05 Dec18 Nov11 Oct14 (jimenez l)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
CUPID'S HEART Nov25 Oct23 Sep05     (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 125 1.40 57% 0.70    
 
BEL-9   06/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORN DANCER Oct21 Aug17 Jul09     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00 5% 18.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of ARGUABLY by SKY MESA)
OYSTA         (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of SALTY LITTLE SIS by CHIEF SEATTLE)
GOSSIPING PANDO         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUMORS OF GLORY by STORM CAT)
Z DANCER May29 May05 Apr01 Mar18   (romero rafael)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 25% 2.90    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
ALL GOOD HERE Apr14 Mar15       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PROFESSIONAL WOMAN by DISTINCTIVE PRO)
CHULLIGAN Oct07 Aug26       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 9% 10.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BAR OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
FERRIS MULER Jun01 May06 Mar26 Jan26 Dec10 (hosang oliver )RICHARDS G 118 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of CURIOUS LUCK by TRUST N LUCK)
UNAFFECTED Jun01 Apr21 Mar26     (romero rafae)TORRES A 113 30.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOLDEN MISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
SCR  FACTUALLY CORRECT May29 May05 Apr07 Jan28 Dec31 (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of KACY LAUREN by UTOPIA)
10  TONY O Jun01 May06 Apr14 Nov11 Oct27 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TOGA TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
11  BORDER PATROL         (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of COMMANDING JOY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
12  STOW ON THE WOLD Jun01 May06 Oct16 Aug26   (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by FREUD out of ALMA LLANERA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
13  CAPTAIN PARTY Jun01 May06 Jul08     (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SHEER BEAUTY by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  GOLD TEMPLAR Jun12 May23 May02 Nov07 Oct25 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRUSS by FRIENDS LAKE)
SCR  LOCKE AND KEY Jun02 May06 Apr16 Mar12   (catanese joseph)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
  (by MR. Z out of U R KEY by ALBERT THE GREAT)
SCR  TWO CHUCKLES Jun04 Jan08 Dec17 Dec02 Oct27 (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TEA FOR TWO by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.