Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - June 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/4/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/4/6/1)-(2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/1)-(2/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/1)-(2/1)-(5/2/6/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/2/6/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/2/6/4)-(1/4/7/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/4)-(1/4/7/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/4)-(1/4/7/2)-(9/3/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/2)-(9/3/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/2)-(9/3/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (9/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/1)-(9/3/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/1)-(9/3/5/1)-(9/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(5/6/9/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1)-(5/6/9/1/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/6/9/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/1/2)-(5/6/9/1/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/1/2)-(5/6/9/1/2)-(5/6/9/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODD GAL May29 May16 Sep29 Sep14 Aug30 (depasquale ki)DELGADO DAVID 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
ROLLING MO May29 Oct20 Oct10 Sep28 Sep12 (russell ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50    
DOWN TO EARTH May16 Sep29 Aug31 Aug08 Jul06 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 124 2.50    
KATESALUCKYGIRL May23 Jul24 May05 Mar15 Feb22 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
RISATA May11 Apr22 Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 (west w)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 13% 6.60    
YES IT'S ERIE May29 Oct24 Oct10 Sep08 Aug16 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
 
PID-2   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SORTARIA Apr12 Mar31 Feb22 Feb17 Jan29 (hardesty l)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
PROTECTTHEWITNESS May16 Apr20 Mar01 Feb08 May17 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50    
MONEY AND HONEY May15 Mar23 Feb25 Jan07   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
TERRAZZO Aug01 Jun28 Jun01 Mar12 Jan09 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO May15 Apr09 Mar18 Mar01 Dec03 (davis sc)MARTINEZ A 116 4.50    
SALLY'S MUSTANG May15 Dec27 Nov08 Oct08 Sep20 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
DOMINANT STRANGER Aug24 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00    
 
PID-3   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUGLE BARRY May24 Mar31 Mar10 Jan14 Dec31 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 117 2.00 27% 2.70    
CELEBRATORY May24 Mar11 Nov25 Oct16 Sep23 (weaver c)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
SUMMERFEST May24 May16 Oct26 Oct12 Oct05 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00    
SCR  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT May24 Oct25 Oct06 Sep29 Aug30 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
BEAR CREEK May16 Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Oct18 (hoffman )GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
TONY SMALL May24 Apr22 Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 (hoffman mark)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.50    
 
PID-4   06/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHARAOH FANCY PANT May30 Apr16 Apr02 Mar04 Feb18 (gonzalez aldana)STANLEY O 122 10.00    
GREG'S HONOR May29 Feb22 Jan29 Jan13 Jan05 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 2.50 13% 6.60    
RATTLESNAKE RIDGE May30 Apr16 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
NOBLE BEHAVIOR May16 May01 Feb27 Feb01 Jan17 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SIDE TRACKED Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug30 Aug08 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 3.00 49% 1.10    
COUNTY COURT May30 May16 Aug17 Aug01 Jul21 (rojas e)FLORES E 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
GYPSY KITTEN May31 May22 Mar08 Feb11 Jan25 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00    
SNAKERATTLEANDROLL May30 May16 Oct03 Sep21 Sep12 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00    
 
PID-5   06/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Apr21 Mar24 Mar12     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
LA PANDA May31 Feb10 Jan01 Dec17 Nov19 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL May29 Apr05 Mar20 Feb27 Jan28 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
SALIT May24 Apr19 Mar24 Mar08 Feb08 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
WORLDLY BEAUTY May24 Mar22 Feb10 Nov01 Aug20 (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 109 4.00    
WILL OR WON'T May31 May12 Apr14 Mar23 Aug18 (stites w)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
JULIETTE FALLS Oct18 Oct03       (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
 
PID-6   06/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNAR UNIT May24 Apr19 Mar25 Feb21   (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LATITUDE FORTY by CHESTER HOUSE)
EMPTY ENVELOPE May17 Apr22 Nov16 Oct23 Oct05 (rice kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 111 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MAID ON A MISSION by STRATEGIC MISSION)
DETERMINED GOLD May24 Apr28 Sep30 Sep07 May20 (schoenth)GALLARDO A 124 4.00 6% 15.60    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CAPPY Mar30 Mar03 Feb18 Feb01 Oct09 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SAIL AWAY HOME by KINGMAMBO)
SOLDIERESS May24 Apr07       (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOLDIER ON by ZIAD)
TREASURED GEM May07 Mar26 Oct22 Sep18 Aug21 (clement chri)CARROLL DECLAN 118 2.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MEI LING by EMPIRE MAKER)
HURRY UP HANNAH May14 Apr15       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of MALIBU SONG by POWER BROKER)
HEAVENLY HASH May15 Mar18 Feb15 Oct05 Sep19 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 111 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BUGLE ANN by BIRDSTONE)
HARD TO PLEASE May24 Apr28       (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 64% 0.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PACIFY by NORTHERN BABY)
 
PID-7   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY IN HEELS Dec31 Nov25 Oct06 Sep14 Aug22 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUARTERFLASH May22 Apr20 Mar31 Feb16 Feb03 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
DETERMINED CHARM Dec03 Nov18 Oct20 Sep18 Aug24 (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
CHEROKEE CHATTER May22 Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 Aug16 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
DEVRA WARRIOR Apr22 Mar18 Sep15 Jul26   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 6.00 6% 15.10    
KRISPY RICE May22 Feb18 Jan25 Mar03 Feb18 (walsh d)BECKMAN ALICE 115 3.00    
SWEET AMY May31 Oct17 Oct06 Sep26 Aug30 (wismer s)ALLEN D 124 6.00    
 
PID-8   06/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITED DEBATE May29 Oct26 Oct18 Oct10 Sep26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PITON May30 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug09 (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KENJI'S EMPIRE May31 May16 Apr19     (connelly tere)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50    
GOVERNOR ATWOOD May31 May16 Oct26 Oct10 Aug29 (russell ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00    
LITTLE BIG May29 Apr12 Mar17 Feb11 Jan01 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
MCGOLDEN May16 Apr26 Mar01 May13 Mar26 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
HOLD THE WARRIOR Aug22 Jul28 Jul19 Jun14   (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 118 15.00    
ROUND ROBIN May30 Apr28 Mar31 Mar09 Jan11 (hendriks rich)BECKMAN ALICE 111 20.00    
BLOWN OUT May15         (walden w)GALLARDO A 118 15.00 10% 9.40    
10  MO SNOW May25 Mar17 Jan21 Sep08   (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.