Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belterra Park
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-2   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
BTP-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BTP-4   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-5   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-6   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-7   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-8   Win (2/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BTP-1   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ROSIE Apr27 Mar18 Mar02 Feb02 Jan13 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 4.00 15% 5.70    
ABOUNDING Apr28 Mar18 Mar02 Dec30 Dec02 (cook k)MCKEE J 123 6.00    
QUIET DAWN Apr27 Oct05 Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 (grubbs jami)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 3.00 6% 15.90    
RISATA Apr22 Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Sep19 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
STYLISH ASH Mar07 Dec30 Dec08 Oct21 Sep06 (shetron phyllis)BUSH V 123 4.50    
LILLY CHROME Apr27 Apr16 Mar15 Jan02 Nov27 (acevedo israel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 6.00    
 
BTP-2   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3 ALL PT-12:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTROLLER Apr27 Apr12 Oct29 Sep26 Jul11 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 119 4.00    
SMOOCHER Mar14 Feb27 Jan12 Nov30 Oct29 (gorham m)FELIX E 119 3.50    
GRAY DAY Feb21         (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 4.50    
HIDDEN ACCESS Apr12 Dec30 Nov30 Oct29 Oct11 (hamm timoth)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.00    
LEMON MOUSSE Apr05 Mar20 Mar02 Sep14 Aug31 (gorham m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 114 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
BTP-3   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLAND CURRENCY Dec21 Dec05 Nov22     (rhoden carlton)HESS SARA 120 5.00    
CUPID'S NUMBER Apr28 Mar17 Mar05     (rodriquez r)CORREA L 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
J BOONE Apr28 Feb09 Jan26 Dec29 Nov30 (sands shane)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.50    
SPECIAL A Aug30         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 120 1.80 25% 3.00    
ANDY WALKS WITH ME Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (salcedo ramon)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50    
 
BTP-4   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILLER BEE Apr13 Apr05 Mar17 Mar04 Jan19 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.80 52% 0.90    
FRADY Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 Jan19 Dec02 (adams l)REYES R 117 4.50    
SCR  DAWN WEST Apr13 Mar28 Mar06 Feb23 Feb09 (skeens jeremy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00    
OVER CALENDARED Apr29 Apr13 Apr06 Feb04 Jan05 (hernandez javi)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 3.00 17% 4.90    
SILVESTRE Apr16 Jan28 Dec30 Nov30 Nov09 (cambray ignacio)CRUZ JUAN 123 10.00    
LEMONADEATTHELATCH Apr26 Mar17 Jan25 May21 Mar19 (shifflett chery)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 5.00 9% 10.00    
 
BTP-5   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTAGE Apr15 Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 Jan07 (reed r)FELIX E 117 5.00    
ONLY TIME Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb23 Feb01 (brownfield clau)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
DOOIT Apr23 Feb08 Jan13 Nov11 Oct22 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 4.50 5% 18.00    
QUIERO MAS Apr23 Feb25 Jan28 Jan01 Dec08 (lobo paulo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 2.00 20% 4.00    
PACIFIC GROVE (GB) Apr11 Mar18 Mar07 Jan31 Jan12 (gonzal)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 10.00    
BETTER HALF Apr05 Nov30 Oct29 Sep29 Aug15 (hamm timothy)REYES FRANK 117 6.00    
BOW DRAW Apr28 Mar26 Feb25 Feb12 Jan14 (mardif jame)CORREA L 123 6.00    
 
BTP-6   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Apr27 Mar23 Mar04 Feb08 Jan12 (bush s)MOJICA JR 125 2.00 21% 3.80    
BASILICA D ORO Apr27 Mar16 Feb08 Jan13 Dec11 (morelos mateo)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00    
TWELVE SHARP Apr05 Mar15 Feb08 Jan05 Nov10 (lopez a)MARCANO Y 114 3.50 21% 3.70    
SAINT SISTA May04 Oct20 Sep05 Jul08 Jun03 (toye lin)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00    
HUSH HUSH Mar16 Jul30 Jun24 May04 Mar19 (esquivel je)CORREA L 125 4.50 29% 2.50    
SHE'S A KEEPER Apr27 Mar23 Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 (esquivel jesus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.00    
 
BTP-7   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE MOVES Mar21 Feb27 Dec19 Sep20 Sep08 (haehn r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 6.00    
MAYBE FRANKY Sep27 Aug26 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 3.50 14% 5.90    
WILLIE JONES Jan05 Dec06 Sep27 Sep01 Aug04 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
FACTISIMFLASHY Mar23 Mar02 Feb01 Jan18 Jan02 (chapman jam)CORREA L 110 4.00    
ROLLIN SO PERFECT Mar30 Feb15 Jan16 Dec12 Nov29 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 5.00 14% 6.20    
HONKY TONK MUSIC Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 Feb07 Nov22 (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 121 8.00    
 
BTP-8   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE A DANDY Apr27 Apr06 Jan01 Dec07 Nov06 (ramos francisc)TAPARA BRANDON 119 15.00    
ITDOWHATITDO Feb24 Jan26 Dec22 Nov24 Oct01 (sims a)MOJICA JR 125 2.50 33% 2.00    
CHICAGO TYPHOON Apr13 Mar30       (morey e)FELIX E 119 3.50 19% 4.40    
ONTOTHENEXT May04 Apr25 Apr06 Mar18 Feb18 (evans michael )MARCANO Y 114 4.00 17% 5.00    
MAXIMUM JOY Oct26 Sep16 Sep07 Aug17 Jul05 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 125 10.00    
PRINCESS TONI Apr28 Apr06 Mar19 Mar09 Feb14 (hernandez j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 10.00    
REINA DEL BALI Feb11 May21 May03 Mar24 Feb11 (monday kevin)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 8.00    
CREATIVE WHIT Oct06 Sep16 Jul29 Jul22 Jun28 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00 11% 7.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.