Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - April 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/4/6)-(1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(1/3)-(5/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/1/6)-(1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(1/6)-(2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/10/9/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/10/9/11)-(1/6/10/9/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/1/6)-(1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/3/4)-(7/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/9/4)-(7/5/1/9/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUESTION AUTHORITY Mar14 Feb21 Jan16 Jan02 Dec20 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 4.00    
2  CAT'S CURIOSITY Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul27 Jul12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  SPECTACULAR ROAD Feb15 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 17% 4.70    
4  COLONEL MIKE Oct19 Oct09 Sep13 Aug21 Jul20 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00    
5  LOCK ON Mar20 Aug09 Jul26 Jun24 Apr12 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 14% 6.10    
6  KEYED ON TOP Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 Jan03 Dec21 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.00    
 
MVR-2   04/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURRY SPUR Mar09 Feb13 Jan26 Dec03 Oct04 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00    
2  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Mar23 Mar09 Feb22 Sep19 Sep05 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
3  BEAT THE DEALER Mar08 Feb20 Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  SPEEDY MOBILE Feb28 Jan10 Dec21 Dec03 Oct31 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  TIDE RISING Mar08 Feb13 Jan28 Dec29 Dec06 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
6  TURNING PAGES Mar20 Mar06 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
MVR-3   04/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEYOND MY DREAMS Mar20 Feb13 Feb01 Jan19 Jan12 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Mar16 Feb21 Jan16 Dec13 Nov17 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 3.50    
SCR  NEPAL UP Feb23 Jan27 Dec08 Oct19 Sep28 (van be)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
3  NOT A GAME Mar27 Mar08 Feb20 Jan23 Jan03 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.00 5% 17.90    
4  BIG FRANK Mar20 Mar01 Feb07 Jan19 Jan02 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 5.00    
5  HEZA HANDFUL Jan03 Nov28 Oct10 Aug22 May24 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 ★    
6  WINWITHJIMMY Mar20 Mar01 Sep08 Aug31 Aug15 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
7  MASTER OF WAR Mar20 Mar01 Feb13 Jan23 Jan13 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 20.00    
 
MVR-4   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET EMPIRE Mar16 Feb08 Jan26 Jan16 Dec30 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 4.50 20% 3.90    
2  CONGRATS JENSEN Mar16 Dec05 Nov01 Oct07 Aug23 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 5.00    
3  CHECK OUT LINE Mar16 Jan26 Jan16 Dec05 Jul15 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.50    
4  CRISTALINDA Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 Aug29 Jun06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00    
5  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Feb16 Dec21 Nov08 Oct10 Sep26 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  PROPHETESS Mar27 Mar16 Feb28 Feb08 Dec30 (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
MVR-5   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE COACHMAN Mar20 Mar07 Feb07 Jan30 Jan11 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
1A  KAPHAVATA Mar16 Feb22 Jan30 Jan02 Dec13 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 2.00    
2  UPTOWN GUY Mar16 Jan28 Dec28 Dec08 Jun20 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
3  JOCKO ROAD Dec28 Dec13 Dec07 Nov27 Nov14 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
4  DUDLEY Mar06 Jan05 Nov17 Nov08 Oct19 (salced)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
5  THE WILD FLYER Mar06 Jan28 Jan02 Oct05 Aug29 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
6  PERFECT PICTURE Feb22 Feb07 Jan28 Jan12 Dec28 (reed larr)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 28% 2.50    
7  WHISKEY SUNRISE Mar21 Feb21 Jan23 Dec12 Dec04 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00    
8  FANELLI Mar16 Jan28 Jul07 Jun10 May19 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
9  JOE BRRRR Mar06 Feb16 Feb06 Jan19 Dec31 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00 ★    
10  JOYFUL CANDY Mar16 Jan22 Jan08 Nov12 Sep19 (brinsfi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 ★    
11  COAL TOWN ROAD Mar16 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   04/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTIE MY BOY Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec14 Dec07 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
1A  UNYIELDING Feb27 Dec27 Jun25 May16 Apr16 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
2  GEHRIG Mar01 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 Nov15 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  THE COOKIE MAN Mar13 Jan24 Jan16 Jan03 Dec08 (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 ★    
4  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Mar14 Mar02 Feb21 Feb07 Jan17 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
5  CALL PAPA Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 Dec13 Nov21 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
6  ATTUCK Mar13 Feb22 Jan27 Jan04 Dec17 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 8% 11.70    
7  CRAFTY CONQUEST Mar28 Mar09 Feb20 Nov26 Nov10 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-7   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UOTTALIKEIT Feb20 Jan28 Apr25 Apr02 Mar08 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  THEDAYOFTHEGREY Aug01 Jun21 Jun02 May06   (cline c)RIVERA R 123 4.50    
3  HIP HIP HOORAY Mar13 Jan30 Jan11 Dec29 Nov29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  MO DONT NO Jan10 Dec12 Nov21 Oct29 Oct14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 6% 15.10    
5  TO WIN Mar02 Feb07 Jan11 Dec29 Dec14 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 8.00 ★    
6  CHIEF RANDEL Mar20 Mar13 Feb23 Jan10 Dec22 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
7  IT'S YOUR CALL Mar20 Feb28 Jan23 Jan09 Dec12 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 123 10.00    
 
MVR-8   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSIDER ME Mar15 Feb23 Jan13 Nov30 Nov17 (lopez jacinto)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRIVATE CONNIE Mar06 Feb23 Feb02 Jan16 Dec16 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
3  HUNTERTOWN Mar09 Feb11 Jan19 Nov04 Sep29 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 4.50    
4  BOURBON TALKING Jul25 May29 May10 Apr02 Mar17 (fletche)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 ★    
5  R CARDINAL PRINCE Feb02 Dec22 Oct27     (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  ARCHARCH CAT Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 Oct16 Oct04 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 20.00    
7  SCRATCHOFF Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
8  SWELTER Feb09 Dec30 Dec07 Oct11 Sep06 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00    
9  SUPER BROTHER Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 (wilson j)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.