Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - March 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(5/4/7/6)-(4/7/3/10/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6)-(5/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/6)-(4/7/3/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/6)-(4/7/3/10/2)-(9/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/7/3/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/10/2)-(4/7/3/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/10/2)-(4/7/3/10/2)-(4/7/3/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/3/10/2)-(9/5/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/10/2)-(9/5/8)-(6/10/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-4   WIN (9/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/8)-(9/5/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/8)-(9/5/8/6/4)-(9/5/8/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/5/8)-(6/10/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/8)-(6/10/3/1)-(5/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/10/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/3/1)-(6/10/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/3/1)-(6/10/3/1)-(6/10/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/10/3/1)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/10/3/1)-(5/1/4)-(3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/29/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS KAYS COWGIRL Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Nov30 Nov18 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 ★    
2  VICTORIAN RIVIERA Jan29 Jan22 Dec02 Nov13 Oct29 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  SANTAFE EXPRESS Mar15 Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Dec07 (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 4.50 27% 2.80    
4  SKIPOVER Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 Dec27 (cooper stac)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
5  CEREAL I D Mar15 Mar09 Feb08 Jan26 Dec20 (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
6  BABY BLUE Feb01 Jan13 Oct01 Sep11   (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 8% 11.60    
7  KRONE Feb23 Feb10 Jan26 Dec11 Nov26 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
 
PEN-2   03/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRACTICALLYMINE Mar08 Feb02 Jan19 Dec01 Oct28 (truehart jenn)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 8.00    
2  QUINCY ADAMS Mar09 Feb24 Feb02     (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 6.00    
3  DON'T QUESTION ME Mar02 Feb02 Jan25 Dec21   (jacavone j)LLOYD W 123 6.00    
4  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Mar02 Feb16 Dec07 Nov23   (houghton th)INIRIO J 123 2.50 21% 3.90    
5  DR GREENTHUMB Mar02 Feb16 Jan11 Dec07 Nov06 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  BARN SWALLOW Mar09 Feb02 Dec02     (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TAKING WHAT'S MINE Mar02 Feb17 Feb01 Jan06 Dec10 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 8% 11.60    
 
PEN-3   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. SKITTLES Mar09 Feb23 Feb08 Dec21 Oct11 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 50.00    
2  COAST TO COAST Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 Dec09 Nov16 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
3  SPEEDY MOONLITE Feb23 Feb08 Sep21 Aug31 Aug18 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 9% 10.00    
4  ANNAMATED MOON Mar16 Dec06 Nov08 Sep16 Aug24 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  PECOS BILL Mar09 Feb08 Dec27 Aug31 Jul20 (bartoni wayn)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
6  CRYPT Feb08 Dec13 Nov08 Oct28 Oct07 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
7  DROSSELMOON Mar09 Feb08 Jan19 Dec13 Nov15 (rathman elis)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
8  HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN Feb02 Dec30 Nov02 Oct19 Sep21 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 15.00    
SCR  EQUAL JUSTICE Feb23 Nov04 Oct18 Sep23 Sep08 (johnston ro)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
10  GUSHING OIL Mar06 Feb21 Jan23 Jan03 Dec13 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDWARD MADDEN Dec07 Nov14 Sep22     (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 12.00    
2  STRAWBERRY TREAT Nov29 Nov02 Oct18 Sep22   (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
3  SUPER ROCKER Nov25 Aug01 Jul20 Jun24   (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 10.00    
4  ORGANIZED CHAOS Jan20 Dec14 Oct24 Sep15 Sep01 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 116 4.50 ★    
5  NEON SIGN Mar01 Jan25 Dec16 Nov09 Oct18 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 28% 2.50    
6  MY BLUE EYES Feb15 Jan21 Dec16 Nov23 Nov09 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 ★    
7  UPSTATE AND BACK Mar06 Jan25 Dec16 Nov02 Sep24 (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
8  MOBEER Mar02 Feb15 Jan12     (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 5.00 7% 13.30    
9  KAZ PALACE Mar17 Feb20 Dec16 Dec02   (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-5   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OBER DARE Mar08 Feb10 Jan20 Dec07 Nov12 (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  WICKED RED Mar08         (jacavone j)LLOYD W 123 30.00    
3  SCARLET WARRIOR Mar02 Feb10 Jan20     (kulp brandon)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
4  LITTLEMISSKNOCKOUT Mar08 Jan27       (salvaggio m)INIRIO J 123 15.00    
SCR  DREAMINGOFROYALTY Feb23         (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 10.00 ★    
6  DESI'S REWARD Mar08 Jan20 Dec02 Nov15 Oct11 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 1.40 36% 1.80    
7  TRAJEC HOLIDAY Mar08 Feb10 Dec14 Nov15 Oct11 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 123 15.00    
8  SHUL Nov21 Nov08       (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 10.00    
9  LITTLE MOOJI Mar08 Jan10 Dec12 Nov23   (fields kevin)FLORES E 123 20.00    
10  FINISHING TOUCH Mar10 Feb09 Dec14     (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
PEN-6   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOT ANYMORE Jan12 Dec15 Jul27 Jun10 May27 (falcone r)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.00 19% 4.30    
2  TROPICALDEPRESSION Mar01 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Oct11 (johnston rob)RUIZ ELISEO 110 5.00    
3  UNION RALLY Feb17 Feb01 Jan11 Jul01 Jun11 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00    
4  MISS CONVEYOR Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Dec20   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  PLATINUM PROMISE Mar01 Feb08 Jan12 Dec06 Nov01 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  DEBBIE'S SURPRISE Feb28 Dec14 Nov07 Sep27 Aug31 (crook-demasi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.50    
 
PEN-7   03/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE A. PLUS Mar15 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Dec06 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 ★    
2  SHANGHAI CANDY Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 Jan07 Dec14 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00 15% 5.80    
3  CHRIS AND DAVE Mar16 Feb08 Jan27 Dec29 Dec08 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  BAVARIA Mar17 Feb24 Feb15 Jan12 Dec30 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 20.00    
5  PURPLE SHIRT Mar17 Feb15 Jan07 Dec14 Nov15 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
6  THE GREAT CASBY Feb24 Feb02 Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 122 4.50    
7  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Mar02 Feb01 Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 (shuchman alla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
8  HIZAAM Mar16 Jan27 Dec21 Dec09 Nov16 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.