Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORCH OF HONOR         (borel renay)BOREL H 120 20.00 ★    
2  DARE ME Oct26 Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Jul27 (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.60    
3  AIN'TNOSWEETIE Nov22 Oct14       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
4  RCAPTIVATING Nov07 Sep24 Aug28 Jul10 May12 (keithan rachael)DIAZ RENE 113 8.00    
5  ESSENTIAL BELLA Jul11 Jun26 Jun09 Apr22 Mar11 (mcbride d)HARR KELSI 118 10.00 14% 6.40    
6  BAD OUTLOOK May29 May06 Feb27     (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
7  MI CRESCENDO Nov11 Oct10 Sep08 Aug17 Jul22 (haran john)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
8  G MONEY LIV Oct11 Sep20 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (jansen kenny)HIRALDO JOHN 118 10.00    
 
OP-2   12/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTH SIDE Jul17 Jun24 May24 May07 Apr19 (broberg karl)BOWEN ROCCO 120 4.00 ★    
2  TOWN CHAMP Nov08 Oct20 Sep16 Jul04 Apr23 (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 124 1.40 37% 1.70    
3  AWESOME FAMILY Nov04 Oct16 Oct07 Sep23 Aug21 (riecken bruc)MEDELLIN ERICK 113 15.00 8% 11.10    
4  SAHM TEQUILA Oct30 Sep15 Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 (litfin nevada)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
5  PULL MY CHAIN Sep18 Aug27 Aug12 Jun17 Jun05 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
6  COOL RUNNINGS Nov09 Oct22 Oct04 Sep12 Aug22 (vance d)COURT K 122 10.00    
7  HERD IMMUNITY Jul23 Jul04 May23 Apr30 Feb13 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
8  RELEASED Nov09 Oct16 Sep21 Aug16 Jul25 (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
OP-3   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAUSIBLE DENILE Oct29 Jun12 May20 Apr23 Apr02 (divito james )CABRERA DAVID 122 2.50 49% 1.10    
2  ANDY CANT Nov13 Oct08 Sep01 Jan06   (mott will)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 7% 14.00    
3  CAWKAB Nov03         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 1.80 18% 4.70    
4  STAND PROUD Sep25 Aug05 Apr22     (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 125 2.00 ★    
5  ORDER OF MERIT Oct19 Sep23 Aug13     (durham danele)MOJICA O 122 20.00 ★    
6  CHROME RUN Oct20 Sep26 Sep10 May22 Apr22 (mil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 20.00    
 
OP-4   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST SIDE GIRL Oct04 Aug25 Jun22 Jun06 Apr08 (puhl kim)DE CRUZ 121 3.00 71% 0.40    
2  ANNAGANGSTA Nov03 Sep28 Aug07 Jul22 Mar13 (schultz lindsa)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
3  MOHAYLADY Nov20 Nov03 Oct13 Sep28 Sep18 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 115 20.00    
4  XYLOPHONE Nov05 Oct13 Sep09 Aug28 May12 (keithan rach)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00 ★    
5  GOOD PENNY Nov16 Jul07 Jun04 Apr09 Jan29 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50    
6  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Nov25 Nov03 Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 (puhich mike)BAZE C 120 15.00 ★    
7  RIGHT TRAPPE Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 May26 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 5% 17.90    
8  GIANNA'S GIFT Nov16 Oct23 Aug27 Jul07 Jun10 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 1.60 ★    
 
OP-5   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTALICIOUS Sep24 Aug18       (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 2.50 ★    
2  HAPPY HOLLOW         (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 114 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  JANE BOND         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 119 1.80 41% 1.40    
4  OLD SCHOOL FLASH Nov11 Oct12 Sep23 Aug28 Aug07 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 ★    
5  BARGAIN HUNTER         (divito p)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  HER NAME WAS LOLA Nov03         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00    
7  GUN OF GOLD Oct21 Sep23 Aug20 Jul24   (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
8  BLUE COWGIRL Nov25 Nov02       (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 112 30.00    
9  NELLY TOO Sep15 Aug28       (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 30.00    
 
OP-6   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITIZEN         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 8% 11.80    
2  ROCKET AND ROLL Nov05         (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  CONSTITUTION DAY Nov03         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 30.00 7% 14.20    
4  COMMUNICATION MEMO Nov19 Oct21 Sep17     (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 1.60 31% 2.30    
5  ITWASTHISBIG Nov06         (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
6  COMMANDER REX Nov19         (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 114 15.00    
7  ONCE UPON A DREAM Oct23 Sep18       (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 119 15.00 7% 14.20    
8  MANO DURA Nov09 Oct01 Aug20     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00    
9  BACKSIDE BUZZ Nov26 Oct30 Oct09 Jul17 Jun25 (vance thomas )CABRERA DAVID 119 30.00    
10  PIER PRESSURE         (von do)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 30.00    
11  TEXAS PRIDE Sep17 Sep01       (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 119 30.00    
12  PAPPY WOLFE Oct30 Oct01 Sep03     (von donnie)BAZE C 119 12.00    
 
OP-7   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIACOMET Nov24 Nov06 Oct13 Sep17 Jan29 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  MAC DADDY TOO Oct22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul22   (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 1.80 31% 2.20    
3  REWIRE Nov18 Oct08       (sharp joe)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 12% 7.30    
4  SHINNECOCK HILLS Nov02 Feb19 Jan14     (brennan )SANTANA JR 115 20.00    
5  QUICK TO BLAME Sep17 Jul29 Jun19 May14 Apr02 (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
6  DEEP STATE Nov25 Oct27 Sep28 Sep08 Aug06 (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 3.50    
7  UNIFIED DREAMS Nov10 Oct06 Sep06 Aug02 Jun26 (amoss thomas )CABRERA DAVID 118 10.00    
8  CONSPIRACY FACT Nov25 Nov13 Oct12 Sep17 Jul01 (compton greg)COURT K 122 12.00    
9  R DOC Nov14 Nov07 Oct14 Sep23 Aug19 (keithan rach)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 15.00 ★    
10  TIGER MOON Nov25 Apr07 Mar04 Feb18 Jan08 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
 
OP-8   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEIZE THE NIGHT Nov17         (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 115 20.00    
2  JOLLY TOMMY Nov22 Nov02 Sep22 Aug21 Jul10 (contreras cipriano)BAZE C 122 15.00 ★    
3  TEN GAUGE Nov19 Nov11 Sep23 Aug21 Jan29 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 ★    
4  SPEED BIAS Oct16 Jun24 Apr30 Apr02   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  FAIR DINKUM Nov02 Sep18       (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  FILM STAR Oct22 Sep17 Aug05 Jul03   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00    
7  GRANTHAM Nov09 Mar12 Feb05     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
8  DEUS EX MACHINA Nov10         (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 119 20.00    
SCR  BRESLAU Oct17 Sep22 Aug30     (brisset r)TORRES A 120 20.00    
10  CARBONITE Nov24 Nov09 Oct09 Sep22 Aug08 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 110 20.00    
 
OP-9   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVLISH HOUR Sep15 Jul28       (robertson mcle)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
2  SIR PEEL Sep09 Aug03 Jul08 Jun10   (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00    
3  SKYPED Apr30 Apr03 Mar11 Feb13   (borel renay)BOREL H 124 6.00 8% 11.60    
4  FINBARFUREY Sep15         (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 30.00    
5  KISSOFTHENILE Nov25 Nov12 Oct22 Apr30 Apr10 (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00    
6  CLASSY SOCKS Oct13         (vance d)JUAREZ NIK 122 4.50    
7  ACCEL JOE Nov22 Oct21 Sep26 Sep04 Aug09 (willia)FLETCHER D 122 50.00    
SCR  HEART HEADED ARKY Nov11 Oct22 Jul18 Jun25 Apr30 (loy dewaine)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
9  SALTY JONES Apr30         (jordan todd )JORDAN R 122 20.00    
10  ALLO ENRY Nov06 Oct02 Apr30 Apr03 Mar24 (deville )SANTANA JR 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
11  POINT BLANK May08 Apr15 Mar31 Mar13 Feb19 (fires h)WALES T 122 30.00    
SCR  ALL IN GOOD TIME Jan01         (martin timot)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00    
13  STREET COMMANDER Oct20 Jan09       (cates al)HARR KELSI 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
14  STORM STRATEGY         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.