Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUEST IN MY HEART Nov08 Oct11 Jun30 Jun01 May22 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 6.00    
2  HALF SCOUT Sep14 Sep03 Aug17 May01 Apr15 (altamirano el)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 15.00    
SCR  BIG ON BROADWAY Mar27 Mar13 Jan30 Jan08   (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 4.50 ★    
4  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Sep06 Aug28 Aug16 Jul19 Jun27 (wilson me)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 ★    
5  MISS RITA Nov07 Oct19 Sep28 Sep17 Sep09 (donaldson jerr)QUINONEZ S 120 20.00    
6  MISS DUTTON Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Jun29 Jun05 (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 12.00 ★    
7  SWEETNESS TO Jul03 Jun09 May28 May06 Apr29 (westermann l)WALES T 120 8.00    
8  SHE'S HAMAZING Apr24 Mar31 Mar04 Feb18 Jan14 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
9  BLOW SUM SMOKE Nov14 Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 Jun04 (broberg k)TORRES A 118 1.20 51% 1.00    
 
OP-2   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAG MALIBU Nov30 Nov03 Sep24 Sep12 Aug15 (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 118 2.00    
1A  JOE BILL Dec01 Nov05 Sep29 Sep12 Aug22 (smith p)DIAZ RENE 117 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  CUNNING Sep30 Sep07 Jul24 Jul16   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 1.80 15% 5.50    
3  PIKACHU Sep26 Sep11 Aug30 Apr23 Apr03 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 111 10.00 ★    
4  CASTLEBERRY Nov22 Oct21 Oct07 Sep11 Jun14 (dixon tim)JORDAN R 118 15.00 ★    
5  CALIPARI Nov13 Oct13 Aug30 Aug06 Jun11 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00    
SCR  SHOTGUN UP Nov25 Oct22 Sep30 Sep14 Feb24 (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
7  TEQUILA REVOLUTION Nov22 Jul14 Jun28 May21 May06 (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 20.00    
8  STRICKLAND Nov10 Jul31 Mar19     (brennan t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
9  CLASSIC SHINE Nov25 Apr09 Feb18 Jan16 Jan01 (donaldson jerry)HARR KELSI 122 30.00    
 
OP-3   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNWAY MAGIC Nov23 Oct23 Oct01 Jun17 Apr16 (sharp joe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 2.50 ★    
2  PRINCIPE GUILHERME Nov08 Sep24 Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 20.00    
3  SOARING BIRD Nov13 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 May12 (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00 11% 8.40    
4  EGO Jul17 Jun23 May24 Apr23 Mar20 (broberg karl)MOJICA O 121 10.00    
5  TIZHOTNDUSTY Dec03 Nov02 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 2.00 15% 5.70    
6  CAN'T HUSH THIS Nov23 Oct27 Oct12 Sep11 Sep01 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  MYSTERY MO Oct22 Sep28 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.00 27% 2.80    
 
OP-4   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRADFORD         (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
2  LOBO IRISH Nov09         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 30.00    
3  LAKE HAMILTON         (broberg k)TORRES A 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
4  SEEKING CHROME         (pish danny)BAZE C 119 10.00 6% 15.90    
5  TIME ANDBEYOND Oct21         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 3.00    
6  RIDGEPOINT ROAD Nov19 Oct30       (catalano wayn)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
7  RUDIANO Nov22 Aug08 Jul29     (loy dewaine)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
8  CAMPISI Nov07         (von don)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
9  WESTHEIMER STREET         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  ELMO'S SECRET Nov11         (pish dann)RODRIGUEZ A 116 30.00    
11  FINISHWHATUSTARTED         (deville j)JUAREZ NIK 116 10.00 6% 15.90    
 
OP-5   12/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN BOOTS Oct26 Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 Aug08 (gleason tyro)JORDAN R 115 4.00    
2  HELLORHIGHWATER Nov03 Sep25 Aug25 Jul20 May14 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 19% 4.30    
3  GUARD Nov23 Nov08 Oct06 Sep22 Jun07 (lauer michael)BEJARANO R 125 5.00 ★    
4  CELERITY Nov16 Oct09 Sep28 Sep10 Aug06 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 ★    
5  TWITTY CITY Oct14 Oct01 Sep01 Aug17 Jun30 (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 1.60 37% 1.70    
6  LOOKIN HIGH Oct19 Oct06 Sep22 Sep10 Sep03 (loy dewaine)COURT K 121 20.00    
7  ZOFFA Oct19 Sep25 Jul17 Jun17 May28 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
8  GOLD BUCKLE Nov15 Nov02 Oct20 Sep29 Aug30 (amoss thomas )CABRERA DAVID 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
 
OP-6   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATKINS Nov03 Oct02       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 1.80 ★    
2  FLOOR IT Sep04         (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 30.00    
SCR  THE STEELMAN Nov26 Oct02 Sep23 Aug14   (smith p)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SANTINO'S FANTASY Oct27 Sep24       (shorter aaro)JORDAN R 119 30.00    
5  EL MONGO Sep25         (smith p)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 40% 1.50    
6  TALK TO TOKEY Oct27 Sep24       (deville j)JUAREZ NIK 119 30.00    
7  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Nov19 Oct23 Sep30     (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.50    
8  RUNNIN' BLOCK Nov15 Nov03 Oct01 Sep15 Aug20 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00 32% 2.10    
9  MALORIE'S BIG BOY         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 ★    
10  STORM APPROACHING         (anderson )DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
11  UPTOWN SOCIAL Jun26 Apr08       (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 20.00    
12  G T FIVE HUNDRED Oct13 Sep21 Aug06     (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 20.00    
 
OP-7   12/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLAR LILY Oct27 Sep30       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
2  KLASSY BRIDGETTE Nov04 Sep18       (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  THORN CROWN         (martin timot)JORDAN R 119 30.00    
4  UNSTABLE PRINCESS Oct24 Oct05       (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 30.00    
5  D'ORO STREET Nov24         (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  MOR HAPPY HOURS Nov10 Sep22       (vance r)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
7  UNIFIED GURL Nov11 Oct07       (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 20.00    
8  FLYIN BESSIE Nov16 Sep06       (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00 9% 10.20    
9  PATE Nov11 Oct19       (stuart c)BAZE C 119 12.00 6% 17.00    
10  SWEET SHUGS Sep03         (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 30.00    
11  ARMY KITTEN         (amoss thomas )CABRERA DAVID 119 4.50 7% 14.20    
12  ROMAN GODDESS Nov18 Oct16 Sep25     (maker michael )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00    
SCR  COLLECTED GLORY Nov16 Aug20 Jul31 Jul01   (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  MIDSUMMER SOIREE Nov20 Oct30       (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
 
OP-8   12/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEARCH ENGINE Nov04 Sep30 Aug20 Jul02 May28 (amoss thomas )CABRERA DAVID 118 8.00    
2  ALEJANDRO Nov02 Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 Jul02 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZOOMER Oct21 Sep16 Aug06 Jul17 May22 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  TIZ RYE TIME Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Aug01 Jul02 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 125 4.50 9% 10.00    
5  LEBLON Nov23 Oct23 Oct02 Sep01 Aug06 (maker michael )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00    
6  MOWINS Nov12 Oct05 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 (lauer michael)COURT K 118 30.00    
7  MY SIXTH SENSE Sep29 Aug21 Jun23 May13 Apr02 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 15.00    
8  MAJOR GENERAL Sep30 Jul09 Jun04 May07 Apr16 (hartman chris)BAZE C 118 15.00 6% 15.10    
9  KEYSTONE FIELD Nov12 Oct21 Sep10 Jul04 Jun17 (maker mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 1.40 32% 2.10    
 
OP-9   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBIZU Nov14 Oct29 Sep18 Aug21 Jul08 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
2  DEFLATER Sep17 Aug20 Jun29 May08 Apr30 (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 30.00    
3  SPANKSTER Nov12 Oct16 Sep25 Aug14 Jul02 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  LYKAN Oct01 Jul24 Jun25 May08 Apr15 (mason ingrid)WALES T 120 15.00    
5  NO SHIRT NO SHOES Nov05 Oct16 Aug07 Jul08 Jun10 (anderson dou)JORDAN R 120 12.00    
6  CAIRAMA Apr30 Apr10 Feb26 Jan01   (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00    
7  MOJO MAN Oct29 Jun11 Apr16 Mar25 Mar05 (divito p)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  ROBO MAN Nov05 Oct07 Sep17 Jul24 Jul02 (kerrick lacy)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
9  EDGE TO EDGE Nov11 Sep25 Apr02 Feb20 Jan23 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00 ★    
10  FORE LEFT Nov11 Oct01 Sep08 Jul23 Jun12 (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 15.00    
11  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS Oct02 May06 Apr09 Mar20 Feb18 (fires h)COURT K 120 30.00    
12  AIR COMBAT Nov11 Sep30 Aug14 Jul15   (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
13  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Nov23 Oct31 Aug18 Jun29 Jun11 (lauer michael)COURT K 120 20.00    
SCR  GAR HOLE Nov08 Apr02 Mar05 Feb13 Jan15 (ortiz al)CABRERA DAVID 115 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.