Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (2/10/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/1/5)-(2/10/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/1/5)-(2/10/1/5)-(2/10/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/10/1/5)-(1/4/10/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/10/1/5)-(1/4/10/9/6)-(10/6/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-2   WIN (1/4/10/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/10/9/6)-(1/4/10/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/10/9/6)-(1/4/10/9/6)-(1/4/10/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/10/9/6)-(10/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/10/9/6)-(10/6/4/5)-(5/7/3/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-3   WIN (10/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/4/5)-(10/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/4/5)-(10/6/4/5)-(10/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/4/5)-(5/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/6/4/5)-(5/7/3/4)-(4/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (5/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/4)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/4)-(4/1/2)-(13/12/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-5   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(13/12/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(13/12/8/4)-(3/1/11/9/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-6   WIN (13/12/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/12/8/4)-(13/12/6/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/12/8/4)-(13/12/6/8/4)-(13/12/6/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (13/12/8/4)-(3/1/11/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (13/12/8/4)-(3/1/11/9/8)-(2/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CD-7   WIN (3/1/11/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/11/9/8)-(3/1/11/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/11/9/8)-(3/1/11/9/8)-(3/1/11/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/11/9/8)-(2/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/1/11/9/8)-(2/7)-(5/12/2/8/3) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
CD-8   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/7)-(5/12/2/8/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
CD-9   WIN (5/12/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/12/2/8/3)-(5/12/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/12/2/8/3)-(5/12/2/8/3)-(5/12/2/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CD-1   06/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENOUGH ALREADY Apr28 Mar22 Feb21 Feb02 Dec29 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
BORN FLASHY Mar01 Jan26 Dec29 Dec07 Nov02 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 6.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  REWIRE Apr18 Mar14 Feb07 Dec20 Nov20 (shorter aaron)GRAHAM J 123 15.00    
SCR  ZECA DIABO May10 Apr10 Dec21 Nov27 Nov06 (blair jordan)TORRES A 123 3.00    
TIS CHARMING Apr12 Mar01 Feb03 Dec06 Oct17 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DANCING NOAH May16 Apr29 Mar06 Feb23 Jan31 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 123 12.00    
HASTEN May22 Apr30 Mar15 Dec20 Nov07 (simms jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00    
PROBALE TEN Feb28 Feb06 Dec27 Dec14 Nov20 (chap)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00    
BECK'S SPIRIT May17 Apr13       (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
10  FORGE IN FIRE Apr26 Feb06 Dec12 Nov16 Oct18 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
 
CD-2   06/08/2025 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOX OFFICE Apr25 Nov17 Dec31 Nov26   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 1.20 43% 1.30    
WINNING SONG May15 Apr30 Apr18 Feb01 Aug26 (hill f)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
NASTINATE May17 Apr16 Feb22 Dec29   (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 118 15.00    
TAPAKENA May15 Apr26 Mar23 Apr06 Mar02 (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
MY BOY BILL May08         (clark rober)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
COME TO PAPA May17 Mar28 Mar07 Nov14 Oct30 (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIGWRIGDUDE Apr27 Apr04 Feb08     (burchell greg)JUAREZ NIK 118 20.00    
SCR  C MAC DA BOSS May17 Apr19 Mar13     (barnett c)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
JOHNSON May17 Feb28 Jan25 Dec13 Jun02 (king barr)LEPAROUX R 125 15.00 6% 15.80    
10  BIG SALT LICK May17 Apr13 Mar19 Feb13 Dec21 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 6.00 8% 11.90    
 
CD-3   06/08/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNY'S RENDEZVOUS Oct12 Sep08 Aug17     (bauer philip)TORRES A 118 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ROMANTIC INTENTION by SUAVE)
SUSTAINABILITY Apr10         (sweezey kent)JUAREZ NIK 125 20.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of DARK MISSION by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MIGHTY MIKE May02 Apr13 Mar22     (kelley james)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of PICKAWAY by PIVOTAL)
SOME PERFORMANCE May02         (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of PRINCELY SUM by LEMON DROP KID)
ITS BOURBON THIRTY Feb23 Jan24 Apr27 Mar23   (o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SEATTLE ARTIST by STORMY ATLANTIC)
MOON CHANNEL May02 Apr13       (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CRYSTAL MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  MARY'S LAD (IRE) May11         (beckman whitwo)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00    
  (by EARTHLIGHT out of GORGES by LE HAVRE)
DEMETRIUS May02 Dec21 Nov24 Oct24 May10 (frazier matt)LANERIE J 125 15.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ACADEMIC BREAK by BROKEN VOW)
KICKING CLEAR Apr08 Feb23 Dec06 Nov14 Sep19 (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of CHEEKY CHARM by A.P. INDY)
10  VIVALDI May02 Mar07 Oct28 Sep09   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CHANNEL LADY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
CD-4   06/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASHIN' DIVA May02         (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
  (by CARACARO out of GIANTS DIVA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BUCKLE CHASER         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of BELLERA by BERNARDINI)
IVORY AND EBONY Apr07 Aug04       (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of IMPRINT by QUALITY ROAD)
TEXAS QUEEN May09         (calhoun will)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SENECA JONES out of ELOQUENT QUEEN by RAJA BABA)
CHACHING CHACHING May02 Apr09 Feb23     (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LUCY GOOSEY by INTO MISCHIEF)
PRINCESS PROUD Apr24         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ULELE by CANDY RIDE)
DELIGHTFUL CLAIRE         (bauer a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of IZSHELEGAL by MARIA'S MON)
SCR  ACTION PLAYER         (norris mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 30.00    
  (by THE PLAYER out of ACTION LADY by ACTION THIS DAY)
SCR  HITHERTO         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of CARELLA by TAPIT)
 
CD-5   06/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Leslie's Lady Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLATANT May02 Feb01 Nov30 Oct04 Jun21 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DOWNSIDE SCENARIO by SCAT DADDY)
MISS MARTINI Apr19 Mar30 Feb24 Dec29 Jun28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SWEET DIANE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
SCR  IMPULSE BUY May02 Nov30 Nov02 Oct05 Aug11 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of JOJO WARRIOR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
KILWIN May10 Apr11 Nov01 Sep08 Jul27 (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 40% 1.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SPANISH STAR by BLAME)
VODKA WITH A TWIST Apr05 Dec07 Nov01 Sep07 Aug10 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BOURBON AND A KISS by SKY MESA)
EVANESCENCE May02 Apr07 Feb17 Sep13 Aug03 (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOVELY CARINA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
BOURBON MEMORY May02 Mar29 Mar01 Jan31 Dec27 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TAKE A MEMO by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
CD-6   06/08/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOURBON SERENGETI May11 Mar06 Jan01 Dec18 Nov21 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
TIZ SILVER Apr25 Feb21 May18     (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 123 5.00    
MIGHTY ERIU (IRE) May10 Apr11 Mar03     (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 4.00    
HEY OLIVIA Jan02 Nov10 Oct16 Sep15 Aug17 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VIRAL PLANE LADY Jun07 May14 Apr23 Feb14 Jan17 (labra rogelio)FLACO ARCELIO 118 30.00    
DALA Apr16 Mar07       (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 123 6.00    
BONNE FILLE May10 Nov07 Oct18 Sep08 Jul11 (oliver victori)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00    
LADY GO GO Mar08 Feb07 Dec19 Nov21   (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRADE A May02 Apr11 Mar01 Feb06 Jan15 (o'dwyer jer)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
10  MOOCHIE GIRL May02 Apr07 Feb26 Jan18 Dec27 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
11  MYIYLA Mar06 Jun09 Mar22 Mar03   (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00    
12  SWEET KAUFY Dec05         (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
13  SILVER MOONLIGHT Apr19 Mar08 Feb01 Dec27 Nov30 (joseph sa)TORRES A 123 5.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  MAE TOWN May09 Mar16 Feb15     (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00    
SCR  PERFECT FIGURE May15 Nov02 Sep20 Jul31   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
16  LAURIE'S SECRET May15 Apr26 Feb23 Jan18 Dec15 (stewart d)TORRES A 123 15.00    
 
CD-7   06/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIFREAK Apr16 Oct30 Sep21 Aug04 Jun30 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  SIDE EYE May16 Aug31 Aug01 Jul06 May03 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
CHANCE May11 Mar01 Jun28 May12 Apr26 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 3.00 57% 0.80    
UNCLE WILLIAM May16 Apr17 Mar22 Dec20 Nov08 (guida anthony )MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00    
BRODY May11 Apr20 Sep19 Apr26 Apr13 (pompell robert)BEJARANO R 125 20.00    
AJAAYB May17 Feb01 Jan04 Dec06 Nov23 (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 15.00    
ANTHONIAN Mar01 Jan25 Nov29 Sep29 Sep10 (morse l)CEDILLO ABEL 123 12.00    
SILVER HALO May17 Feb24 Jan27     (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GETTINBY May18 Apr19 Apr06 Mar16 Jan23 (jacobson david)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  C K WONDER May25 Apr24 Mar09 Nov30 Nov02 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
11  HONEST AL May09 Apr12 Aug04 Jul20   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 6% 15.20    
 
CD-8   06/08/2025 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Matt Winn Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GAMING May03 Mar30 Jan25 Dec14 Nov01 (baffert bob)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SO STYLISH by JOHANNESBURG)
FINAL GAMBIT May03 Mar22 Feb15 Jan04 Nov09 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PACHINKO by TAPIT)
SCR  CHUNK OF GOLD May03 Mar22 Feb15 Jan18 Dec19 (west ethan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of PLAY FOR GOLD by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  JUST A FAIR SHAKE May17 Apr19 Mar23 Sep28 Aug17 (mckenzie da)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of LADYMIDTOWN by MIDSHIPMAN)
BURNHAM SQUARE May03 Apr08 Mar01 Feb01 Dec28 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LINDA by SCAT DADDY)
COAL BATTLE May03 Mar29 Feb23 Jan04 Dec13 (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 123 4.50    
  (by COAL FRONT out of WOLFBLADE by MIDSHIPMAN)
EAST AVENUE May03 Apr08 Feb15 Nov01 Oct05 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 9% 9.80    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DANCE MUSIC by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
CD-9   06/08/2025 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLYDE'S GOT A GUN May10 Nov29 Oct05 Sep05 Aug04 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
TOUGH LITTLE NUT May11 Apr07 Feb22 Dec28 Nov22 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAFE TRIP HOME Apr17 Mar14 Feb08 Dec14 Nov08 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
LINCOLN HIGHWAY Apr08 Feb26 Jan24 Dec28 Nov29 (oliver vict)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00    
AMERICAN HOPE May10 Feb22 Dec21 Feb11 Dec29 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
BRITISH ISLES Apr24 Apr09 Mar01 Dec28 Nov30 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00    
FREEDOM'S WAY Apr17 Mar22 Feb22 May31 May02 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 12.00    
MUTAAWID Apr17 Mar02 Feb01 Jan05 Dec20 (maker michae)RAMOS D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
MENA May17 Apr19 Mar15 Feb17 Jan18 (blair jordan)TORRES A 122 20.00    
10  BIG TO DO May11 Feb22 Jan29 Dec28 Oct09 (wismer glenn)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 20.00    
11  LIPS SAY BLISS May11 Mar09 Nov21 Oct16 Jul04 (medina ro)TORRES A 122 12.00    
12  OSCAR SEASON May10 Apr24 Dec07 Nov02 Oct06 (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND May19 May11 Mar27 Feb26 Dec27 (richard tobiou)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
SCR  LIAR'S POKER May25 Feb12 Jan26 Nov29 Oct05 (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.